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At what point could the Deshaun Watson trade be dubbed a disaster for the Browns?
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When the dolphins who were anti-tua at that point backed out of trading for watson at the last minute, the Browns should have rethought things. See, the thing about rushing to make a mistake as a franchise isn't just that you hurt yourself, it's that you keep another franchise from making that mistake. By not dumping Tua for watson, miami let the browns be the guys who made that mistake.
ATM Watson is the 26th rated QB by rating. He's 24th by qbr if you like it. Either way, this super expensive guy with a fully guaranteed contract who also cost you picks is stuck in the bottom quarter of QBs and needs to be dumped. But the browns can't dump him.
The biggest failure is if the Browns had an average QB, their defense would let them make a superbowl run. Baker Mayfield today, who the browns cut lose, would probably good enough with their defense to make a superbowl run. Crazy how that worked out.
At this point they've got a good chance of making the playoffs, but I don't think they'd last long. So considering how he's playing, it's already a disaster because the defense is ready now and he isn't.