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At the halfway point of the season, which team is better than their record and which team is worse than their record? (alien.top)

submitted 1 year ago by justainsel@alien.top to c/nfl@nfl.community

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Yeah, we know Bill Parcells said "You are what your record says you are."

But which to teams do you feel are not what their record says they are?

Better than record: Cardinals only because Kyler Murray is back

Worse than record: Steelers whose luck will run out any week now. Right guys? Any week now.

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[–] splat_edc@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (5 children)

Team	Win %	Pythagorean Win %	SRS Win %
BAL	70.0	79	86.4
SFO	66.7	80.2	76.2
CLE	66.7	63.7	71.1
DAL	66.7	77.5	70.9
JAX	66.7	51.9	69.6
KAN	77.8	71	66.4
BUF	50	70.6	65.6
PHI	88.9	65.8	63.1
HOU	55.6	57.5	62.8
DET	77.8	60.7	62
MIA	66.7	65.1	59.1
CIN	55.6	46.8	58.5
IND	50	48.4	57.1
MIN	60	56.7	55.6
TEN	33.3	40.9	55.6
NOR	50	54.7	54.4
LAC	44.4	56.7	53.6
TAM	44.4	51.7	50.6
PIT	66.7	41	50.6
SEA	66.7	49.7	48.2
LAR	33.3	41.8	47.6
NYJ	44.4	39.8	43.8
GNB	33.3	49	42.6
ATL	40	41.7	40
LVR	50	39.8	29.4
ARI	20	27.1	28.6
CHI	30	36.4	28.4
CAR	11.1	24.4	24.9
DEN	44.4	35.5	24.5
WAS	40	35.6	23.3
NWE	20	22.4	22.9
NYG	20	12.7	17.1

Teams are sorted by Pro-Football-Reference's "SRS"/"Simple Rating System" converted into winning percentage using the formula laid out here. Pythagorean winning percentage is based on points scored and points allowed per game.

[–] perfect_fitz@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

I think this means we should have more wins. I like this chart. Also, I hate football.

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