this post was submitted on 17 Nov 2023
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1-1 when tied
13-6 when having the lead. 68% win when leading going into the 4th feels really low.
https://www.reddit.com/r/nfl/comments/9dblm0/oc_quarterbyquarter_win_percentage_analysis_2017/
This post from 5 years ago had teams winning around 87% if they led after 3 quarters.
Small sample size, but still should have won 16-17 of those they led instead of 13.
Too lazy to find any better data, was just curious cause that felt off.