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ELI5 TS% please (alien.top)

submitted 1 year ago by peanutburger@alien.top to c/nba@nba.space

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I’m a dinosaur and only know OG stats. I’ve sorted hated these manufactured stats but am open to change. I understand conceptually what it is (more or less) but not how it’s calculated or how it’s not sorta arbitrary. I’m not convinced it’s better especially when they say AI is overrated. Dude was a beast.

And are there other new stats I need to learn?

ELI5 but also open to complexity.

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[–] siphillis@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

IIRC an easy shorthand is just thinking of it as converting every scoring attempt into a two-point attempt, and determining how efficient that player "uses" possessions. The main flaw with FG% is that it doesn't account for the value-add of shooting from three-point territory, and eFG%'s flaw is that it doesn't account for a player drawing fouls, scoring and-ones, and converting free-throws. TS% pulls all that together into one equation for efficiency. It's worth noting that TS% has to estimate how often a player draws/converts a continuation, so it's not as accurate for small sample sizes.

This is one reason why TS% can exceed 100%: it's possible to score so efficiently that you cannot replicate it with two-pointers alone.