this post was submitted on 11 Sep 2023
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Climate - truthful information about climate, related activism and politics.

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Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world.  About 1C of total warming.  Second chart:  about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability.  Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases.  About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

Recommended actions to cut greenhouse gas emissions in the near future:

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What Biden has done is to cut the issuance of drilling leases to the minimum required by law, pass the Inflation Reduction Act, enact a regulation to force vehicle electrification, and similarly force fossil fuels out of most power plants.

What Biden has not done: stop issuing drilling permits or impose export restrictions on fossil fuels. The former has some serious limits because of how the courts treat the right to drill as a property right once you hold a drilling lease, and the latter is simply untested.

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[–] sin_free_for_00_days@sopuli.xyz 195 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (4 children)

Biden literally just cancelled oil and gas leases less than a week ago. I agree he hasn't done enough, but there is some validity to the old statement that perfection is often the enemy of good.

[–] givesomefucks@lemmy.world 51 points 1 year ago (6 children)

That's stopping something trump tried to do from happening...

It's good, but we need to do a hell of a lot more than just sometimes stop things from getting worse.

That's pretty much the entire reason people don't like moderates. Why wait decades to fix something instead of fixing stuff now?

[–] sin_free_for_00_days@sopuli.xyz 37 points 1 year ago (1 children)

The graph from OPs link shows a significant drop off under Obama, a steep rise under trump, and then another drop off under Biden. Kind of follows the Dem-Rep seesaw I've been experience for decades. It's depressing that the Dems can't do more, but the reality is they are also funded by the deep pockets of the fossil fuel industry, Dems can barely hold onto majorities as it is, and voters vote for these morally weak candidates over and over. I'm really at a fuck-this-place, and fuck-all-these-people stage. The only thing I really regret is bringing a kid into this world. Just very selfish and narcissistic on my behalf.

[–] IndiBrony@lemmy.world 23 points 1 year ago (2 children)

I’m really at a fuck-this-place, and fuck-all-these-people stage. The only thing I really regret is bringing a kid into this world. Just very selfish and narcissistic on my behalf.

Can't say I've ever related to a statement this hard for a while. It's all just a shitshow and we seem to be at the "fuck it, let's ramp this up to 11" stage of self-extermination.

[–] vivadanang@lemm.ee 18 points 1 year ago

It’s all just a shitshow and we seem to be at the “fuck it, let’s ramp this up to 11” stage of self-extermination.

meanwhile a third of the people are saying "oh we've got time, we just have to convince the people to come together and unify"

and another third that's saying "FUCK YOU I HAVE FIREARMS AND WILL ROLL COAL AS MUCH AS I WANT I WILL LITERALLY SPEW OIL! I AM ANGRY ALL THE TIME BECAUSE OF THE PAINT CHIPS AND LEADED FUEL EXPOSURE OF MY YOUTH AND ZERO HEALTHCARE INFRASTRUCTURE AND WILL PUNISH EACH AND EVERY OTHER HUMAN BEING WITH MY EFFLUENCE."

We're stuck between kumbaya unity types and petrofascists meanwhile the world is COOKING.

Meanwhile the Shell, Exxon & BP execs are just happy no one's coming after them yet.

[–] Buelldozer@lemmy.today 10 points 1 year ago (1 children)

and we seem to be at the “fuck it, let’s ramp this up to 11” stage of self-extermination.

We do?

Here in the United States the amount of electricity generated by coal burning has dropped by 50% in the last 20 years and in that same time frame renewable energy has more than doubled. Greenhouse Gas emissions per capita were lower in 2020 than they were in 2000 and we now generate more energy from renewables than we do from coal.

https://usafacts.org/topics/energy/

We can argue that the changeover to renewables isn't happening fast enough but "fuck it, let’s ramp this up to 11" isn't happening at all, it's actually quite the opposite.

[–] vivadanang@lemm.ee 11 points 1 year ago

one part of the population is trying desperately to change the course, the other is rolling coal, opening new wells, spewing gigatons of methane from their fracking operations and standing around with their thumbs up their asses wondering why it's so damned hot now that a dem is in office.

the people trying to change the course won't make a difference once the bus has gone off the cliffside mate.

[–] Buelldozer@lemmy.today 19 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

Why wait decades to fix something instead of fixing stuff now?

The United States is not a Command Economy and The President is not a Dictator. The US via private enterprise is dumping ever larger sums into renewable energy production and is definitely making progress. It's not happening fast enough but it IS happening.

[–] givesomefucks@lemmy.world 11 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Moderates when something happens:

We did this!

Moderates when nothing happens:

Don't you know how the government works? We can't do anything

No one is demanding he succeed, we're just asking that they fucking try.

Bring stuff up for a vote and let people who see how their reps represent them.

[–] silence7@slrpnk.net 10 points 1 year ago (4 children)

The Republicans control the House of Representatives. Nothing can happen right now in the direction that we need as a result because zero of them will vote for it.

The Inflation Reduction Act barely passed with Vice President Kamala Harris as a tiebreaking vote in the Senate because it was structured to fit within the budget reconciliation rules and therefore not subject to filibuster.

It's going to take a lot more Democrats in both the House and Senate before a moderate President can pass climate legislation. Even then, it'll need to survive a court that's hostile to the idea.

[–] Bartsbigbugbag@lemmy.ml 8 points 1 year ago (1 children)

That’s really the fundamental issue, isn’t it? There is absolutely no democratic processes on the federal level. We get to pull a lever once every two years, and that is supposed to be a meaningful democratic participatory process.

[–] silence7@slrpnk.net 5 points 1 year ago (5 children)

There's a lot you can do besides voting.

Candidates need volunteers and money. There is organizing to do. Papers which need letters to the editor, and state and federal officials who need to hear from you.

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[–] Nonameuser678@aussie.zone 12 points 1 year ago

Our left wing party is still opening new coal and gas mines so be thankful for whatever progress you get I say.

[–] Franzia@lemmy.blahaj.zone 5 points 1 year ago

Seriously he couldn't pass the Build Back Better plan but then the Inflation Reduction Act provides a potentially unlimited amount of incentives/subsidies for green energy.

Painting him as "just a moderate" on this issue is some centrist level bullshit, OP. He's clearly giving oil, gas, and military convenient wins so they don't ruin the world before the next US election. Yes, the oil barons have more political power than a sifnificant amount of voters.

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[–] Defiant@lemmy.cafe 35 points 1 year ago (2 children)

We just have to learn the hard way don’t we?

[–] Four_lights77@lemm.ee 8 points 1 year ago

As an elementary school teacher, “the hard way” is the overwhelming choice of kids. I don’t think it changes that much when they grow into adults.

[–] silence7@slrpnk.net 6 points 1 year ago

Or we can work to stop things that are existential crises.

[–] nxdefiant@startrek.website 23 points 1 year ago (6 children)

The sun is a nuclear furnace. Climate change IS nuclear war!

(we should nuke the sun)

[–] hoodlem@hoodlem.me 7 points 1 year ago

Gotta nuke something

[–] Stoney_Logica1@lemmy.world 5 points 1 year ago

If it's good enough for Superman, it's good enough for me.

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[–] query@lemm.ee 22 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Of course. Climate change is happening, and will keep getting worse until all the biggest countries agree to do and actually go through with doing something substantial about it (or to fully isolate the economies of those that refuse). Nuclear war is just an idea.

[–] pinkdrunkenelephants@sopuli.xyz 6 points 1 year ago (2 children)

It's doubtful curbing CO2 output will put a stop to it now. We're already seeing the beginnings of feedback loops kicking in, and with them runaway climate collapse.

[–] query@lemm.ee 6 points 1 year ago (4 children)

Right, we need net zero emissions, no further destruction of nature, and then we can start doing something to undo what we've already done.

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[–] WaxedWookie@lemmy.world 15 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)
[–] silence7@slrpnk.net 23 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Not exactly. Most references to 1.5C are about the long term average hitting that level, not an individual year.

[–] WaxedWookie@lemmy.world 15 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

Given the trend, it's a pretty strong indicator we're there. What is long-term in the context of a change over 10-20 years, that's reaching a breakaway point?

You understand that when things are steadily moving in one direction, we'd need to overshoot the difference between the start of the reference period and the 1.5 degree figure by 100%(incorrectly assuming linear change - the reality is more exponential - far worse by the time it shows up)

For example - for a 1.5C change over 6 years, starting at 0C:

  • Year 0 - real temp 0, average 0

  • Year 3 - real temp 1.5, average 0.75

  • Year 6 - real temp 3, average 1.5

[–] silence7@slrpnk.net 6 points 1 year ago

The year to year variation is much larger than the underlying increase. We could easily see several years with the anomaly under 1.5C before

[–] MonkderZweite@feddit.ch 14 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (3 children)

Then finally start making the companies that make a win out of it pay more taxes!! Like, CO² taxes, import/export taxes.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_largest_oil_and_gas_companies_by_revenue

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[–] bitmage@lemmy.sdf.org 12 points 1 year ago
[–] SeaJ@lemm.ee 11 points 1 year ago (3 children)

The next 10 or 20 years? I just read an article that hit it already and will likely do it consistently over the next several years. The next 10-20 will likely few closer to a 3.6°F (2°C) rise.

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[–] jaybone@lemmy.world 10 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Putin might save us all when he orders some confused kid to turn those keys.

[–] stabby_cicada@slrpnk.net 19 points 1 year ago (1 children)

May I remind you global thermonuclear war is bad for the environment?

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[–] 4am@lemm.ee 9 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Didn’t we just hit 1.5C today?

[–] silence7@slrpnk.net 21 points 1 year ago (1 children)

We're still some years from hitting an ongoing sustained average of 1.5°C above what it was in the late 1800s. That's what people mostly talking about when they say 1.5°C

[–] bouh@lemmy.world 7 points 1 year ago

This year will be above 1.5°C. Which means we did reach that.

What you're talking about is the average of yearly average temperatures. But it's not what we're looking at. We've never seen earth average temperature above +1.5. And averages don't move much. I don't care if next year will "only" be +1.49...

[–] blazera@kbin.social 7 points 1 year ago (6 children)

Ive seen fuck all investment in solar where I'm at. Id really like to contribute labor to it, but there's nothing.

[–] silence7@slrpnk.net 5 points 1 year ago

A lot has been happening in the southwest US, including Texas.

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[–] TheDarkKnight@lemmy.world 5 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Unfortunately, Russia (and SA) complicate the matter. Russia earns based on the price of oil and if the US stops producing it that price goes up along with it. The world still will buy Oil and Europe especially relies on US Oil at the moment as they ween themselves off Russia’s. Oil is the main economic driver of Russia, and you can’t combat that without producing MORE. SA’s also in the mix as they have no real other (major) economic sectors to support their country and they know Oil is going away. All of this plus Climate change leave no good options on the board to choose from at this moment except to promote and support green infrastructure…which Biden has done. It all sucks.

[–] silence7@slrpnk.net 5 points 1 year ago

Nobody is suggesting that the US suddenly and instantly stop extracting, but that it be phased out in conjunction with getting rid of the need for oil in the first place.

The Saudi royal family has an alternative at this point, which is to live off their sovereign wealth fund, which owns stocks and bonds outside the country. They are also sitting on several million barrels/day in reserve extraction capacity, and could pretty easily crash oil prices if they felt like it.

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