this post was submitted on 27 Oct 2023
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[4th Down Decision Calculator] - Tampa Bay, down 3, 4th & 2, 32 yards from Buffalo end zone Qtr 1, 04:21; Timeouts: Off 2, Def 3 - **GO FOR IT (+ 1.1% WP) (alien.top)
submitted 1 year ago by SeattleSealions@alien.top to c/nfl@nfl.community
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52% chance of a successful 4th down conversion. 66% chance of a successful FG.

  • If FG is successful: 18% chance to win

  • If FG fails: 12% chance to win

  • If conversion is successful: 21% chance to win.

  • If conversion fails: 13% chance to win.

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