this post was submitted on 15 Nov 2023
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Week 3 Adjusted Win % (alien.top)
submitted 10 months ago by sbudach@alien.top to c/nba@nba.space
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Rank Team Adj. Win % Weekly Rank Change
1 Boston .808 +2
2 Minnesota .798 +3
3 Denver .764 -2
4 Philadelphia .736 --
5 Dallas .646 -3
6 Houston .645 +11
7 Indiana .614 +5
8 Milwaukee .601 -1
9 Oklahoma City .592 -1
10 Miami .589 +8
11 Atlanta .575 -2
12 Brooklyn .553 +3
13 Golden State .552 -7
14 Sacramento .550 +12
15 Toronto .548 -2
16 New York .518 -2
17 New Orleans .509 -6
18 LA Lakers .501 +1
19 Orlando .492 -8
20 Cleveland .471 -4
21 Chicago .380 +1
22 Phoenix .375 +1
23 San Antonio .346 -3
24 Utah .336 +3
25 Charlotte .323 -1
26 LA Clippers .299 -5
27 Washington .270 +2
28 Portland .251 -3
29 Detroit .205 -1
30 Memphis .174 --

I'm using the Colley Matrix iteration process (https://www.colleyrankings.com/method.html)

To summarize, you take the win percentage of every team and correct it against the win percentage of their opponents. Then you have a new win percentage. And I repeat that process until the correction factor is below .001. Essentially this is what I would expect the win percentages to be if the teams played an average team every game.

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[–] GaimeGuy@alien.top 1 points 10 months ago

Awooooo

[–] loving-father-69@alien.top 1 points 10 months ago (1 children)

How is this better than W-L

[–] DrTom@alien.top 1 points 10 months ago

Imagine two 5-5 teams. One played the Blazers ten times. One played the Celtics ten times. Are those equal teams? Probably not. This accounts for the difference in opponent quality.

[–] dbgager@alien.top 1 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Its basically useless....You can't control what teams you play. Nor does it take into account differential. How many games you have played. Denver has obvioulsy won the biggest % of there games at 9-2. Don;t need anything but basic math to figure that out.

[–] 6unk@alien.top 1 points 10 months ago

Perhaps my biggest pet peeve on this sub is when people call a statistic "useless" because it doesn't return the ranking they want. For one, most single statistics aren't intended to rank overall goodness, though they may include relevant information. For two, you might be wrong.

[–] Tao--ish@alien.top 1 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Serious question, I haven't been watching, how is Memphis so bad?

[–] maybeacademicweapon@alien.top 1 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Ja is out, they lost tyus jones, and they don’t have a real #1 option

[–] MK_KORI@alien.top 1 points 10 months ago

+ with Adams injury they dont have a real center and imo Brooks is bigger loss then Tyus.