this post was submitted on 21 Nov 2023
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It seems like somehow the trade value of FRPs has increased a lot since early 2000s when I started following. It used to be a filler to trades but why does it seem like today its traded as if its equal in value to a near all star or average starter player? If you think about it, in an avg draft you’d get like 6-8 NBA all star caliber players (over the course of their careers), 15 (so half of the first round) to be solid starters/rotational players, and the rest won’t really pan out in the league. And of the NBA all stars there’s going to be 1 or 2 who are one hit wonders or didn’t really deserve it and most who will need 4-5 years to develop into one. So one random FRP has an expected value of basically just a solid starter or rotation player, and that’s over the course of a career - the expected value for the first 2-3 years is really just a bench player or fringe starter. So why are there trade scenarios where 2-3 FRP are seen as fair for an already established all star player?

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