this post was submitted on 29 Nov 2023
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In both of these reasons the "victim" is the team in the group that did not play a game in the last day of group stage tonight (11/28).

  1. If it ends up coming down to point differential, the teams playing on 11/28 have the advantage of knowing how many points they need to catch up to the team that is not playing on 11/28. They would know this before their last game starts.

  2. Since the other 4 teams play on the last day, the last game that the "victim" team plays is going to be a game that is NOT the other teams last game of the group stage. This means it's more likely that the team that they are playing would still be in the running for the tournament, and would make an effort to maintain the point differential until the end of the game.

To give a perfect real world example...East Group C! The Magic played their last game of the tournament against the Celtics. When that game was over, the Celtics immediately knew how many points they would need to score in order to catch up to the Magic in point differential, AND they had the benefit of playing on the last day, matching up against a Bulls team that was already out of the tournament from the start of the game. Of course the Bulls wanted to win the game, but once the Bulls had already shit the bed as we all expected, they did not pay any mind to the point differential of a tournament they were already eliminated from the week before.

I realize this is a small nitpick, but I believe those are two genuine structural advantages that the 5th left out team does not enjoy. Might not seem like a big deal, but when the final point differential between first and second in your group is 5 points, maybe that makes you look into the details more.

Signed, A coping Magic fan

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[–] LamboJoeRecs@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Hopefully the powers that be realized that Pt Diff isn’t an adequate tie break in basketball as it is in futbol

[–] CapBrink@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

No one should care this much about a made up gimmick

[–] Pandamonium-23@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

This would be a good argument if teams didn’t know about the point differential in the beginning lol

[–] Knightbear49@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Win all your games next time

The suns are literally the counter argument to this. They played first and knew they needed to set a high differential….so they left Book in during garbage time to run up the score.

[–] Foi_@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

be at ease that the algorithim will give you favorable matchups in ur two regular season games next week.

[–] HarbingerML@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Oh I like this as a consolation! Hadn't thought about that

[–] dont-YOLO-ragequit@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Counter point: it is not easy to run up the score if the team actually cares as they can consider keep the spread low and eliminating the other team s consolation Victory. Also smart teams would be running up the score in the first games knowing they will get tougher matchups at the end.

[–] yoloqueuesf@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Yeah this.

What team is willing to have their own players get completely wrecked on even if its garbage time. Yeah they might sub on a bunch of rookies but rookies are going to play hard just to prove it to coaches they're worth a spot on the roster.

Your team actually has to be good to win let alone be scoring 20+ point wins. If the magic were worried then maybe try building a bigger point differential

[–] LeonidasSpacemanMD@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

I really had t thought about the fact that the bulls had no reason to even theoretically care about point differential, that’s a good point

it's the 1st year, i'm sure they'll tweak it.

[–] DEEZLE13@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Every team play as hard and as long as they can. Problem solved

[–] Vic_Vinager@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

complete collapse

lose the 12 point lead

lose CP3 and GP2

you can't also lose the game after all that

That locker room is gonna suuuuuuuuck

[–] Nkosi868@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Hence why the last games of the group stage in the FIFA World Cup are all played simultaneously.

This entire in-season tournament feels half-baked.

These should not count as regular season games. It should be a separate tournament, just like the Playoofs are separate from the Regular Season.

[–] itshurleytime@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

teams that play more back to backs have a structurally unfair schedule. we deal with it.

[–] epoch_fail@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

I think a Swiss-style tournament format would be insanely entertaining.

[–] N-tronic@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Or if Orlando has a problem with it they could have just won 4-0 like the Lakers and Pacers but if they’re not good enough to do so just say that?

so your team ddnt make the knock out stage huh

[–] MXero1@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Yeah the tournament still needs to be refine. Nothing wrong with Celtics running up the score. But it does suck that the Magic missed out. The Celtics playing the Bulls the last match is also dumb. The Bulls clearly sucked and didn’t care, so the league had to fix that, like fine them, a lot of the other teams were competitive.

[–] themanofmeung@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Growing up, I remember watching soccer tournaments with structures like this in that the top team in every group advances, but then some, but not all second place teams go through based on goal differential or something.

Those teams were called "lucky losers", not wildcards. When you look at it like that, every team blew their shot when they didn't win the group, only a couple lucky ones got given a second chance on tiebreakers. So yeah, it's unfair, but someone has to get lucky for it to work out.

I think the tournament structure is flawed for other reasons, but it's basically a single elimination tournament with a few dice rolls that let you survive a loss in the group stage. It just adds an element of luck to the single elimination format (which already has a huge element of luck), so I don't see that as a major issue.

[–] -KFBR392@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

In a real tournament this is true, but all these games are also regular season games so a team that’s out of the running isn’t just going to bend over and play their reserves, they still want to win because it’s a regular season game.

A fringe playoff/play-in team isn’t just going to lose a game and act like it’s not a big deal.

[–] LiveFromFLORIDA@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

it’s in the past now. let’s play that song and move on

[–] jambr380@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

The Magic were up 8 points on the Celtics with 2 minutes left in the game and ended up winning by 17. This isn't an instance where the Magic were this dominant team and just took their foot off the gas at the end. They were literally down by 12 points in the 3rd quarter until Porzingis went down and the Celtics completely fell apart.

I kind-of agree with your sentiment, but even in this case, a team like the Celtics - who were the #1 seed in the group when the groups were created - at least deserve 'last chance' because they earned that privilege.

[–] Adam0529@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

While you have a point, group C also proved the exact opposite.

Let's ignore the fact Orlando pushed their point differential to the max the game b4 against the Celtics. And let's pretend Celtics lost to the Bulls.

The premise to your argument is that the Nets would then easily beat Toronto by more than 14 and finish 1st.

The Nets tried. And failed. They beat Toronto only by 12.

What Group C proved to us on the last night was that while 2 teams were racing for point differential against the resting team, one succeeded, but the other failed.

The lesson learned for future seasons is that teams got to play all 4 group games for points and not leave it to their last game.

If the team is disciplined enough to do it all 4 games, it's no longer unfair, regardless of whether it resting the last round

[–] Think_Exam_8611@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

You assume these teams can get whatever differential they need, you know there is another team actively working to not let them run up the score right?

Silly silly take