this post was submitted on 14 Dec 2023
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The plummeting poll numbers for Justin Trudeau and the federal Liberals might not seem as dire if Canada had adopted a new voting system.

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[โ€“] psvrh@lemmy.ca 48 points 11 months ago (3 children)

The problem is that, should they implement electoral reform, it would mean no more Liberal majorities ever.

They're okay with swapping seats with the Conservatives every few years, but having to cooperate with the NDP every day forever, and dragging Canadian politics leftward to meet the actual needs of the electorate, is a non-starter for the Calgary and Laurentian cheque-writers that underpin both the LPC and CPC.

[โ€“] AnotherDirtyAnglo@lemmy.ca 12 points 11 months ago

I suspect it would result in permanent minorities, and the growth of smaller, more local parties. I'm no political scientist, but as far as I can tell, formalized political parties are just magnets for corruption and consolidation of power that's for sale to anyone with a fistfull of disposable cash.

[โ€“] ILikeBoobies@lemmy.ca 9 points 11 months ago (1 children)

Libs are closer to the Cons than they are the NDP

[โ€“] FunderPants@lemmy.ca 4 points 11 months ago (1 children)

This isn't true at all. Liberals are much closer to social democrats than they are to fiscal and social conservatism.

[โ€“] ILikeBoobies@lemmy.ca 4 points 11 months ago (1 children)

They are fiscally conservative not just close

[โ€“] FunderPants@lemmy.ca 6 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (2 children)

No, the Liberal Party is fiscally liberal, not fiscally conservative. While both philosophies think a market economy is the best economic system, a fiscal liberal is more inclined to use fiscal policy to intervene in that market economy to rectify social or economic inequalities. This would be entirely counter to fiscal conservatism.

For example, a fiscal liberal will support a public health system, a public broadcaster, $10 a day childcare, and EV / electrification/greening grants.

A fiscal conservative will be more laissez faire, and not want any of those things.

I bring this up because by not recognizing the difference we set ourselves up to put conservatives back into power, after all , โ€œboth sides sameโ€.

Now social democrats (of which many in the NDP are) tend towards mixed-economy, social-liberalism. This philosophy contains the main body of New Democrats and a contingent of LPC (the left-liberals, social liberals). It's why we can see progress on nationalized programs under LPC-NDP governments. The NDP has a true democratic socialist rump too, but they have much fewer areas of true overlap with Liberal philosophy.

[โ€“] ILikeBoobies@lemmy.ca 2 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (2 children)

Public health/daycare

NDP

public broadcaster

Cons want this as well, but they want it to favour them

EV / electrification/greening grants.

Cons give grants to oil/gas, youโ€™re confusing energy grants (economic) with climate change (social)

[โ€“] anonymoose@lemmy.ca 3 points 11 months ago (2 children)

I thought the cons wanted to abolish the CBC?

[โ€“] psvrh@lemmy.ca 2 points 11 months ago

They want to talk about abolishing the CBC, but if they did they'd lose their whipping boy. If they really cared, they'd also be talking about defunding RCI, but they're too chickenshit to take that on because Quebecois conservatives like it, while their Alberta base hates the CBC because...reasons.

[โ€“] ILikeBoobies@lemmy.ca 1 points 11 months ago

Only for being non-biased

[โ€“] FunderPants@lemmy.ca 3 points 11 months ago (1 children)

No, I'm not confused. You seem married to some fairly unsophisticated ideas about political philosophy, and I'm no divorce lawyer. Sorry to waste your time.

[โ€“] ILikeBoobies@lemmy.ca 2 points 11 months ago

Your argument of giving grants to energy sure

But then the Cons also give grants to energy

So if you want to say they are both fiscally liberal then youve made a point but I think it is meaningless

[โ€“] psvrh@lemmy.ca 1 points 11 months ago

This would be entirely counter to fiscal conservatism

Good thing that the Conservatives and Liberals are both...neoliberals, then.

[โ€“] Altofaltception@lemmy.world 7 points 11 months ago

Bingo. The LPC and the CPC are two sides of the same neoliberal coin.

For all the people arguing for a third party option in the US, this is why it won't work. The two main parties will be happy to trade roles every few years and maintain the overall status quo.

[โ€“] grte@lemmy.ca 24 points 11 months ago (2 children)

It's not too late. I'm sure the NDP would be on board.

[โ€“] LostWon@lemmy.ca 6 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (1 children)

I'd love to see it, but ~~as I posted above~~, petition e-4701 could make it too late.

(edit: deleted my other comment to avoid repetition)

[โ€“] Pxtl@lemmy.ca 7 points 11 months ago (1 children)

I have trouble believing that petition matters since it reads like business as usual for the CPC. The only thing that stands out is that it doesn't specifically call out the carbon tax.

[โ€“] LostWon@lemmy.ca 2 points 11 months ago

Lol, true. I was just concerned as it has a lot of signers. (But maybe they've been doing these monthly, I have no idea.)

[โ€“] FunderPants@lemmy.ca 5 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (2 children)

My wonderful internet acquaintance , the NDP are a big part of why the electoral reform change never happened. Unpopular opinion time: The CPC, NDP and GPC deserve every bit as much blame, if not more, for the failure to move away from fptp. Why? They banded together in committee to poison any hope of getting electoral reform past the Senate or even the house. Trudeau , naively I think, promised to do things differently from Harper. True to his promise he balanced the electoral reform house committee by popular vote, instead of using his majority power. This meant that the opposition parties could outvote the liberals in committee and, seemingly forgotten by everyone, the opposition parties welded that power to deliver a complete nonsensical , posion pill filled committee report / reccomendation to the house which had no real chance of passing. That document, a worst of all ideas document if I ever saw it, threw out all ideas put forward by the LPC (the majority in the house, who had a free vote on this) instead favoring CPC demands for a referendum, NDP demands for a vague and nonspecific system that wasn't STV, but was proportional. The GPC and Bloc got in on it, and passed this report that had no chance , none, of passing the house. Even if it had passed the house it wouldn't have got past the Senate and the committee delayed their report so long nothing could be done before the next election.

I know parliamentary procedure is boring, and most people don't follow it, but I do and I saw what happened here. The LPC failure was only in so far as they didn't just stomp all over the opposition to impose their changes. The LPC acted in good faith instead and got politiked so bad people still blame them, reducing the whole thing down to "Trudeau break promise".

[โ€“] SamuelRJankis@lemmy.world 2 points 11 months ago

I fully acknowledge the intricacy of what went on but also "Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau vowed that the upcoming general election will be the last one using the first-past-the-post voting system."

It's also clear wants a system that favours large parties: Trudeau says, however, that he would not favour proportional representation as an alternative, because it "gives more weight to smaller parties that are perhaps fringe parties."

I know parliamentary procedure is boring, and most people donโ€™t follow it, but I do and I saw what happened here.

I'm not certain you intended for this to sound condescending like you're the only here that pays attentions to what's happening. The person you're replying to has practically single handily held up most of the Lemmy Canadian content for a while.

Even if it had passed the house it wouldnโ€™t have got past the Senate and the committee delayed their report so long nothing could be done before the next election.

And that was 2 elections ago.

[โ€“] anonymoose@lemmy.ca 1 points 11 months ago

This is interesting, and I've never heard about this before. That's really disappointing, but from a game-theoretic sense it makes sense it played out like that. If Trudeau did in fact opted for a popular vote instead of using his majority power, I can respect that, even if it blew up in all our faces.

Like everything these days, I realize it's too difficult for me to understand and keep up with the complexities of modern life ๐Ÿ˜ฉ

[โ€“] psvrh@lemmy.ca 11 points 11 months ago (1 children)

Here's the thing: he could still pass it.

The NDP would support it, as would the Bloc and Greens. Hell, the PPC would, too. He could just ram it through. Easy-peasy-lemon-squeezy. He has the time left in his mandate.

The problem that the the Liberal Party doesn't want it because it would mean no more Liberal majorities. No Conservative ones, either.

If you go back through electoral history, you have to go back to 1984 to find a party that won a majority. Before that, you have to go back to 1958. It's a little more common before that, but still the exception.

Do we really think the Big Red or Big Blue machines will abandon the system that gives them majority rule without a majority vote share? Fuck, no they won't. Adolf Hitler himself could be running as CPC leader (or Josef Stalin vs the Cons, take your pick) and at risk of winning and they'd still avoid electoral reform because it would mean they'd be one party among many, and thusly less important to the donor class, than they are now.

[โ€“] corsicanguppy@lemmy.ca 2 points 11 months ago (1 children)

The problem that the the Liberal Party doesn't want it because it would mean no more Liberal majorities. No Conservative ones, either.

Ranked-choice only gives majorities. One of the problems with it is that it kills what gave us almost everything we're happy about as Canadians: minority governments need buy-in at all stages and have to work together with party of similar views, and that's how we got healthcare and peacekeeping and now dental care.

[โ€“] Omgpwnies@lemmy.world 3 points 11 months ago

uhh.. no? We would keep the parliamentary system that we currently have, but the riding level elections would be ranked choice (or some other method) vs FPTP. It would actually lead to more minority and coalition governments as smaller parties would be able to have more representation in parliament.

[โ€“] CanadaPlus@futurology.today 9 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (2 children)

I don't know if they would ever consider it, but they could split ridings with the NDP, so there would be a single main left-wing candidate in each. They could basically guarantee a win with even a few of those.

Proportional rep would be great. Still pissed that Trudeau just completely lied about that. If we do go there we should do what Norway does, where there's no snap elections, to avoid coalition instability problems.

[โ€“] anonymoose@lemmy.ca 5 points 11 months ago

Going back on representational voting is what made me decide never to vote for the Liberals while Trudeau was in power again. I'm still pissed about that.

[โ€“] psvrh@lemmy.ca 0 points 11 months ago (2 children)

You're mistaken in thinking the Liberals, or the NDP for that matter, care about advancing causes. They don't. They care about getting elected.

They aren't interested in teaming up because that puts policy ahead of party, and the apparatchiks in both parties don't want that. Especially the Liberals: they'd rather go down in flames than risk losing political leverage by forming a coalition. They saw, quite clearly, what happened to the Progressive Conservatives when they merged with Reform.

[โ€“] CanadaPlus@futurology.today 1 points 11 months ago

Youโ€™re mistaken in thinking the Liberals, or the NDP for that matter, care about advancing causes. They donโ€™t. They care about getting elected.

As a registered member of one of those parties, I actually do. However, when it comes to the politicians, you're either partly or completely right. Getting elected butters their bread, caring about the issues is optional, although at least some do as a hobby.

As for professional staffers, I don't have as much experience. Mostly they just seem very busy when I interact with them.

Especially the Liberals: theyโ€™d rather go down in flames than risk losing political leverage by forming a coalition.

I mean, the Liberals have been in a not-technically-a-coalition with the NDP for some time now. Some of them don't seem to like it (of course, having all the power would be better for them personally), but from the outside it seems to be going well.

They saw, quite clearly, what happened to the Progressive Conservatives when they merged with Reform.

They continued being a highly relevant political party?

[โ€“] corsicanguppy@lemmy.ca 1 points 11 months ago (2 children)

They care about getting elected.

Psst. When you're done "both sides" -ing the issue, I bet you can find one of the two that is better than the other and cares more about Canadian happiness.

Vote for them. Then it's a win for them (election)and a win for us (least-worse party in power). If everyone did that, there'd be no blue left.

You see how your both-sides assertion isn't even relevant?

[โ€“] psvrh@lemmy.ca 2 points 11 months ago

I do that. I do vote NDP. Every election except 2015, when I voted Liberal on the electoral-reform promise. Shame on me.

What I won't say that I'm happy doing it, and it doesn't mean I don't get to criticize the NDP for putting party ahead of the electorate. I said it about Layton teaming up with Harper, I said it about Mulcair getting flanked by Trudeau, and I'll say it about Singh's unwillingness to really step up and own the socialist label.

It's not "both sides'ing" when you wish your team did better.

[โ€“] CanadaPlus@futurology.today 1 points 11 months ago

If everyone did that, thereโ€™d be no blue left.

My riding would still be very, very blue.

At this point the main difference between Liberals and NDP is style, as far as I'm concerned. I'd vote for either, or the Greens if that ever came up.

[โ€“] Pxtl@lemmy.ca 8 points 11 months ago

I was thinking it's not too late but the Bloc would never support a system with PR outcomes since it's the FPTP system that gives regional-intense groups like them outsized power.

A shame. I still insist that a regional-based open-list MMP would be the ideal fit for Canada.