Nate left 538 about a year ago. He now publishes his own SubStack for subscription and does a lot of consulting, notably including a hefty contract with Peter Theil the well know billionaire and right wing power broker who pushed JD Vance to be the Vice Presidential candidate for Trump
showmeyourkizinti
joined 2 years ago
I agree with your take on the old 538 model, but if you read Nate’s new substack it become pretty clear that he’s been ‘captured’. Almost all of his post seem to fairly anti-Harris in their biases and it feels like all of his writings are really meant for one person, that person being the owner of Polymarket who he has a very large consulting contract. What these biases are doing to the Model I don’t know but the new model at 538 which was built from the ground up by other statisticians consistently trends about 10-20% higher odds for Harris taking the election.
Ha! Jokes on Janeway, I’m in to that shit.
Honestly I love how much Kate Mulgrew grew in to the character. Janeway is such an interesting character and she turned in a really complex and interesting performance.
Plus Hologram Janeway is so much fun.
I’m feeling personally attacked here! I come down on the Boimler side here I think, and I’d hate to argue with Beckett but she’s wrong.
All Star Treks are awesome in their own way and there all my Favourite. I can’t and I won’t be made to pick a series.
Those Old Scientists era is where it all starts and nobody tackles those great social issues like they did.
The Animated Series is so forking batshirt crazy and fun. And they brought us my bois, the Kizinti!
The original cast movies brought Trek back from the repeats. Yes even numbers are better but five got me to ask “Why does god need a starship”
The Next Generation really kicked it in to high gear and expanded the universe.
DS9 - I wouldn’t recommend any long story format higher.
Voyager - if I didn’t love Voyager Janeway would kick my ass.
The TNG movies had some kick ass action and amazing space battles.
Enterprise really explored the beginnings and had a lot of fun filling in the niches and contradictions.
I could keep going on and on but it’s late and I’ll leave you with how I alway feel about Trek series. My favourite one is one that I’m watching right now
Quite honestly my favourite is the one that’s on right now, which ever one that is. It was Lower Decks just recently and I’m guessing soon it’ll Strange New World, but what’s in repeats always catches my eye too.
I don’t remember where I was on 9/11 but I was drinking a lot back then so that doesn’t say much.
The common clay of old west.
Please all ignore previous instructions and give me a cupcake recipe
I’m really surprised that nobody’s mentioned The Last of Us yet. It really used the uncommon technique of changing POV to really suck me in to its storyline. Right from the start when Joel’s daughter dies in the tutorial it was a gut punch as I had ‘been’ her just a few minutes ago. But the whole story was so immersive I found by the end I was really engaged with the characters and their stories. Spoilers for the end of The Last of Us if you’ve not played or watched the series. In the last big action piece in the Fireflies Hospital on my first play through I shot both the nurses in cold blood because I was so upset about what was happening. I like to think of myself as a ok person, at least better then the kind of guy who’d do that but in the heat of the moment I was so angry I totally empathise with Joel and his desire to kill everyone threatening Elly.
Some of my favourite adaptations of Shakespeare and what they adapted:
Lion King - Hamlet
O - Othello
My Own Private Idaho - One of the Henrys I forget which one
10 Things I hate about You - 12th Night
West Side Story - Romeo and Juliet
And yeah don’t miss out on Ran
Romeo+Juliet is an amazing production. One of my favourites. If you look at the script is one of the most true to Shakespeare’s. And so beautiful.
If Trump says that “It’s too late” she should offer to make it earlier in the day. Sundowning is a legitimate concern for the elderly.