theneverfox

About 2 months ago I saw a news clip where he announced his resignation. There was a voice recording of him, he didn't say the word "resign" but implied it

Did I jump timelines?

I don't know what it's like where you live, but I do sometimes get woken up by the garbage truck. Not often, but it's loud as shit and comes just before 5am... IDK if it's bad luck, but everywhere I've ever lived seems to have garbage trucks that came well before sunrise, and they're about the loudest trucks before you get up to construction vehicles

Unloading a truck isn't even on the same volume scale. Especially if we used small trucks from a distribution center outside the city. Other countries do it, and we do it already, just not in the same numbers I'm proposing

This doesn't sound like an actual issue to me

It's not exactly some unsolvable logic puzzle. This is a problem not everywhere has, it's pretty simple.

Two solutions.

First, you create a second way in. It can be anything from dedicated streets for cargo with all the loading docks to shared warehouses at the edge of the city and underground tunnels like Disney. The main idea is to dedicate most streets to people and bikes, which can have all the storefronts

Or the easy way we could do far more quickly... Instead of slicing space you slice time. Limit deliveries from 4am to 7am, maybe an afternoon slot if necessary. The idea being people get the prime time, and you work out the logistics with that constraint

For better logistics, limit the size of the trucks and do shared distribution centers as a buffer for normal shipping times.

Ideally, you do #2 while transitioning to #1. Put a slowly increasing off hour delivery tax and create an incentive. The logistics will magically come together as the tax grows

You can survive without running water. You can survive without Internet.

Lack of Internet will make survival harder, just like lack of running water (if not to the same degree)

Keep in mind, if you fall behind too far people will kick you out of your house, disrupt any attempts to make a shelter, significantly increases rates of death for a variety of causes

The problem exists because most of the solutions are even worse

Everything you said makes a lot of sense, but this drives it home... The stock market is so unbelievably ridiculous. It's just unmanageable, it's such a simple idea with such horrible effects it might be a great filter

I think you're really undervaluing his contributions. Think of it from an employee of space X's shoes

Having the big boss show up one day and yell "I want to launch my car out of orbit, start building a prototype right now, and everyone is doing overtime until it's done! I'll be sleeping in my office and walking around looking for excuses to fire people" is irreplaceable.

Do you think engineers build things just because that's what they do? Obviously you need to have someone rich yelling at them and threatening to fire people

If we try our hardest and make electoral change, someday we might be able to have 3

My point is just that the statement "children do better when their parents stay together" is responsible public health messaging. Elaborating on it is heavily discouraged outside a technical setting, because a lot of people will leave that room with the exact opposite take away if you start talking about counterexamples

What you're describing is following best practices (although he might also have a punchable face, he doesn't sound very charismatic)

No, that's my point exactly... Public health communication is deliberately oversimplified and stripped of all nuance like this. It's a deliberate technique taught in school

Disfunction isn't the only scale though - people break up for all sorts of reasons. It can be just as simple as "I'm not in love with you" or "I found someone else" - or just the fact their lives suck and they expected a partner or kids to make it better

Ultimately, when you communicate to the public, nuance doesn't get across. You can't say "the COVID vaccine is right for everyone, unless you have certain allergy or autoimmune disorders". People hear what they want to hear and will latch onto additional detail - the best you can do is distill a message

For another example, we signal "daily flossing is inversely correlated with heart disease". People who practice hygiene to that level are probably a lot more health conscious, and we've never proven a casual relationship - but putting the thought out there does more good than harm

I'm not familiar with the guy so maybe there's more not mentioned in this thread that would change my mind, but the core message itself is solid - staying together is better for kids. That's true for most people, and thinking divorce won't impact your kids is nonsense (ask anyone who grew up through that). That should be part of the mental calculus in people's heads

If you need professional help, they can deliver the nuance - that's another public health messaging "see a therapist if you're having problems". You can't get into how some therapists suck and how getting the right match is critical, but most people would benefit from the idea seeking therapy is just self care

Going further, they're like magic. They're good at what takes up a lot of human time - researching unknown topics, acting as a sounding board, pumping out the fluff expected when communicating professionally.

And they can do a lot more otherwise - they've opened so many doors for what software can do and how programmers work, but there's a real learning curve in figuring out how to tie them into conventional systems. They can smooth over endless tedious tasks

None of those things will make ten trillion dollars. It could add trillions in productivity, but it's not going to make a trillion dollars for a company next year. It'll be spread out everywhere across the economy, unless one company can license it to the rest of the world

And that's what FAANG and venture capitalists are demanding. They want something that'll create a tech titan, and they want it next quarter

So here we are, with this miracle tech in its infancy. Instead of building on what LLMs are good at and letting them enable humans, they're being pitched as something that'd make ten trillion dollars - like a replacement for human workers

And it sucks at that. So we have OpenAI closing it off and trying to track GPU usage and kill local AI (among other regulatory barriers to entry), we have Google and Microsoft making the current Internet suck so they're needed, and we have the industry in a race to build pure llm solutions when independent developers are doing more with orders of magnitude less

Welcome to the worst timeline, AI edition

I don't think it's an unfair thing to say - as a professional doing public communication, staying together for the kids is in the child's best interest, generally

Obviously, if there's abuse of any kind anywhere in the house, that's no longer the case. And it's not always going to be the best choice, but it's a good idea to at least try

I wouldn't read that as "we should make divorce harder, legally or socially" - if they went on to say that they'd be way out of line IMO