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[Haberstroh] Chris Paul’s teams have been favored in 15 of 20 playoff games with Foster officiating. They went 3-17 and lost by an average of 11.2 points. (alien.top)

submitted 1 year ago by Handcuffed@alien.top to c/nba@nba.space

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Haberstroh wrote an article about CP3 and Foster on his substack but he tweeted out this stat and it's astounding.

https://twitter.com/tomhaberstroh/status/1727596935534559437

reddit wants me to add more thoughts so I'll just add that Scott Foster is closely tied with a corrupt gambling ref and shouldn't have been allowed to officiate for the last 20 years.

https://www.cbsnews.com/boston/news/scott-foster-recipient-of-134-tim-donaghy-phone-calls-refereeing-celtics-heat-game-3/

Foster is the official who received 134 phone calls from disgraced referee Tim Donaghy between October 2006 and April 2007, as originally reported by FOX News. That was the same period during which Donaghy admitted to betting on NBA games. The report said that Donaghy called Foster more than any other ref and that he didn't call any other official more than 13 times.

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[–] NotBot2357@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (2 children)

How likely is it that someone would win 3 or fewer games out of 20 when they expected to win 75% of the time? According to a binomial distribution, the answer is 0. https://stattrek.com/online-calculator/binomial

That's literal mathematical proof that Scott Foster is fixing games against CPIII.

[–] kdognhl411@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

I can’t tell if you’re serious but you do realize the statistical method you’re using works with events with an ACTUAL 75% chance of occurring and you’re using it to apply to scenarios where betting markets or journalists think it’s a 75 chance right? Those aren’t the same thing and it means you can’t just blindly do a binomial distribution and declare it proof of match fixing lol.

[–] KnowledgePrevious@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

As the other reply says, this is not actually how statistics works