Rank |
Team |
Adj. Win % |
Weekly Rank Change |
1 |
Philadelphia |
.809 |
-- |
2 |
Baltimore |
.747 |
+1 |
3 |
Cleveland |
.728 |
+2 |
4 |
Detroit |
.711 |
-- |
5 |
Kansas City |
.704 |
-3 |
6 |
Jacksonville |
.693 |
+1 |
7 |
San Francisco |
.683 |
+1 |
8 |
Pittsburgh |
.651 |
-2 |
9 |
Miami |
.615 |
+1 |
10 |
Dallas |
.592 |
+1 |
11 |
Houston |
.571 |
+3 |
12 |
Seattle |
.562 |
-3 |
13 |
Cincinnati |
.553 |
-1 |
14 |
Minnesota |
.516 |
-1 |
15 |
Indianapolis |
.514 |
-- |
16 |
Buffalo |
.498 |
+2 |
17 |
Denver |
.492 |
+3 |
18 |
LA Rams |
.465 |
+5 |
19 |
Tampa Bay |
.438 |
-2 |
20 |
New Orleans |
.436 |
+2 |
21 |
Las Vegas |
.427 |
-- |
22 |
LA Chargers |
.420 |
-6 |
23 |
NY Jets |
.418 |
-4 |
24 |
Green Bay |
.397 |
+3 |
25 |
Tennessee |
.379 |
-1 |
26 |
Atlanta |
.374 |
-1 |
27 |
Washington |
.342 |
-1 |
28 |
NY Giants |
.295 |
+3 |
29 |
Chicago |
.275 |
-1 |
30 |
New England |
.272 |
-- |
31 |
Arizona |
.262 |
-2 |
32 |
Carolina |
.180 |
-- |
I'm using a simplified/modified Colley Matrix iteration process (https://www.colleyrankings.com/method.html)
To summarize, you take the win percentage of every team and correct it against the win percentage of their opponents. Then you have a new win percentage. And I repeat that process until the correction factor is below .001. Essentially this is what I would expect the win percentages to be if the teams played an average team every week.
So if I understand correctly, you did all this work to prove that Carolina really is butt this year? The rams and chargers adjustments are rather intriguing.