| Rank |
Team |
Adj. Win % |
Weekly Rank Change |
| 1 |
Philadelphia |
.809 |
-- |
| 2 |
Baltimore |
.747 |
+1 |
| 3 |
Cleveland |
.728 |
+2 |
| 4 |
Detroit |
.711 |
-- |
| 5 |
Kansas City |
.704 |
-3 |
| 6 |
Jacksonville |
.693 |
+1 |
| 7 |
San Francisco |
.683 |
+1 |
| 8 |
Pittsburgh |
.651 |
-2 |
| 9 |
Miami |
.615 |
+1 |
| 10 |
Dallas |
.592 |
+1 |
| 11 |
Houston |
.571 |
+3 |
| 12 |
Seattle |
.562 |
-3 |
| 13 |
Cincinnati |
.553 |
-1 |
| 14 |
Minnesota |
.516 |
-1 |
| 15 |
Indianapolis |
.514 |
-- |
| 16 |
Buffalo |
.498 |
+2 |
| 17 |
Denver |
.492 |
+3 |
| 18 |
LA Rams |
.465 |
+5 |
| 19 |
Tampa Bay |
.438 |
-2 |
| 20 |
New Orleans |
.436 |
+2 |
| 21 |
Las Vegas |
.427 |
-- |
| 22 |
LA Chargers |
.420 |
-6 |
| 23 |
NY Jets |
.418 |
-4 |
| 24 |
Green Bay |
.397 |
+3 |
| 25 |
Tennessee |
.379 |
-1 |
| 26 |
Atlanta |
.374 |
-1 |
| 27 |
Washington |
.342 |
-1 |
| 28 |
NY Giants |
.295 |
+3 |
| 29 |
Chicago |
.275 |
-1 |
| 30 |
New England |
.272 |
-- |
| 31 |
Arizona |
.262 |
-2 |
| 32 |
Carolina |
.180 |
-- |
I'm using a simplified/modified Colley Matrix iteration process (https://www.colleyrankings.com/method.html)
To summarize, you take the win percentage of every team and correct it against the win percentage of their opponents. Then you have a new win percentage. And I repeat that process until the correction factor is below .001. Essentially this is what I would expect the win percentages to be if the teams played an average team every week.