this post was submitted on 25 Nov 2023
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Was really surprised to see the difference in fumbles.

  • Tua: 3177 yards passing, 69.8%, 4 fumbles lost
  • Allen: 2875 yards passing, 69.6%, 3 fumbles lost
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[–] Meadows14@alien.top 1 points 9 months ago (29 children)

Better metric is PFF’s turnover worthy play % (lower is better)

Tua: 3.3% (19th best in NFL)

Allen: 2.4% (6th best in NFL)

If anyone is interested, here’s the top 5 and bottom 5 among QBs that have had over 285 passing attempts (basically at least half of games started).

Five best:

Dak Prescott (1.6%)

Matt Stafford (1.9%)

Joe Burrow (2.1%)

Kenny Pickett (2.1%)

Kirk Cousins (2.3%)

Five worst:

Geno Smith (3.9%)

Josh Dobbs (4.0%)

Brock Purdy (4.1%)

Mac Jones (5.1%)

Desmond Ridder (5.6%)

[–] mmamma177@alien.top 1 points 9 months ago (3 children)

How do the dorks at PFF determine if it's turnover worthy maybe they're just tight window throws

[–] Meadows14@alien.top 1 points 9 months ago

I think on a case by case basis it could be muddy. For example they didn't call any of Tua's throws in that game in Germany TWP, even though I'm sure some were.

Over a season though it's fairly accurate, and a better - but still flawed - way of estimating how well QBs take care of the ball.

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