this post was submitted on 28 Nov 2023
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Heat outperforming their net rating is definitely a trend, and I wouldn’t bet on it stopping. They tend to win most of their close games.
Last year’s Heat were bottom 10 in net rating and they made it to the finals.
Mavs however, wouldn’t surprise me if they dipped a bit.
Yeah we have plenty of evidence to suggest this metric doesn’t really relate to us
This year has seemed to be a little different for the heat, they have blow multiple 20 points leads and struggled when close (e.g. vs knicks and bulls most recently)
Hopefully when Tyler is healthy that will change