this post was submitted on 23 Jul 2024
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[–] ironhydroxide@sh.itjust.works 261 points 2 years ago (3 children)

The only certain thing is nobody knows who will be elected until after the polls close and counting is certified.

VOTE. Everyone vote as if yours is the only one that matters, because it may be.

[–] kmartburrito@lemmy.world 95 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago)

100% agree. Polls also don't really account for voter suppression tactics, or gerrymandering and other GOP fuckery, so absolutely vote because our democracy is literally at stake here.

Our future generations will be impacted by the outcome of this specific election.

[–] proudblond@lemmy.world 15 points 2 years ago (1 children)

I tend to wonder how these polls are conducted and who is answering them? Does anyone get polls via email or text? Are they still just calling people? I’m in my 40s and basically no one I know my age or younger answers numbers they don’t know anymore, and texts are ignored or flat out blocked because if you respond, they barrage you later, or at least that’s what we all assume.

So I’m not convinced polls have any bearing on what will happen anymore. VOTE!

[–] Natanael@slrpnk.net 6 points 2 years ago

Yes

Different polls with different methods.

Many call people, some online polls (using advertising with demographic targeting), some emails to various news list subscribers, some in person polling, etc. It's definitely harder these days to get accurate numbers because fewer responders means self imposed selection bias by those answering, which can correlate to the answers you get in unpredictable ways.