this post was submitted on 15 Oct 2024
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[–] TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world 66 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (3 children)

I mean, he's up across the board in all the swing state polls. When you are up on points and are looking to run out the clock, you run prevent defense. Its the same reason he's not going to take another debate; that would help Harris. Reduce surface area, reduce exposure, don't give opportunities for mistakes.

[–] Atom@lemmy.world 44 points 2 months ago (2 children)

I'm not sure why you're getting down voted, you're right. Going strictly by polls and ignoring registrations (which are trending favorable for R), strategy, finance, early voting, etc. Trump was neck and neck with Harris up to the debate. The debate say the sharpest shift toward Harris. Afterwards, he has been sticking to Golf and Rallies of his most loyal supporters, keeping him away from the general public. That put the polls back to a toss up.

If he did another debate, he's on display to everyone again and that won't go his way. Even if Harris fucks up, he's still a fascist in decline. His campaign knows he needs to stay in safe spaces until the election is over

[–] orcrist@lemm.ee 9 points 2 months ago

They claimed Trump is up in all the swing state polls, but five minutes on Google shows that's just not true. People can read, and if you lie to them, they'll downvote you.

[–] orcrist@lemm.ee 21 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (1 children)

No, he isn't up in all the swing state polls. Only in some of them. It took me less than five minutes to find that you were wrong, because of course you were wrong. There are many polls out there, and you tried to claim that they all showed one thing, when of course they didn't.

(If you want to argue that your preferred polls show something, you can make that argument. And we could debate the reliability of those particular polls. At least then we could start with facts and disagree about how to interpret them.)

[–] TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world -1 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

RCP:

https://www.realclearpolling.com/elections/president/2024/battleground-states

Or you could look at, you know, literally any other political news outlet. They are all showing basically the same thing.

[–] Poot@discuss.tchncs.de 11 points 2 months ago (1 children)

Not sure why this is getting down voted. It's a pretty damn good assessment imo.