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New wave of Mastodon users thanks to Elon Musk floating around the idea of charging everyone for Twitter
(media.tech.lgbt)
this post was submitted on 21 Sep 2023
441 points (97.6% liked)
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What a terrible graph. That "huge" spike is a mere 0.5% increase. That might as well be noise.
Don't believe any graph whose y-axis starts at any value but 0 people.
It does start at zero. 2000 people per hour
Indeed the right sides of the graph start at 0. The left side does not.
Note that 2000/h (10^3) aren't all that significant when there's already 14000000 (10^7) users present.
Is a quarter percent increase in users in one day meaningful? I have no idea.
Well. It is and it isn't. It's per hour. So per day (24^1) that's 48000 (48*10^3) and per year it's 17532000 (1.7*10^7). That adds up pretty fast, a 100% increase in the full year.
Plus, hey, new friends!
Both right axes start at zero. They're the important part of the graph.
If you talk about a new wave of users, then the number of users is also important, really important
It clearly shows a major update in signups
Plus the second graph shows the average number of instances went down compared to yesterday, which was itself down further from the day before.
This "wave" is looking mighty sus.
Yeah, a couple days of temporary spike does not a wave make.
Mastodon (and the Fediverse) tends to see "scalloped" growth: big increases, followed by gradual declines. Every time Musk does something dumb, you see days or weeks of increased signups. Then the new users fall off, and they become inactive. Usually, it stabilizes a little higher than the last wave.
The waves come in, and the tide rises. The weather passes over, but the climate stays stable (or increases).
If Twitter collapses, then the tsunami arrives. :P
Reread the caption. That second graph tracks active instances