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Expected Goal Difference in the Premier League this season (alien.top)

submitted 11 months ago by mishal_jayne@alien.top to c/main@soccer.forum

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[–] Lord_Wenry_Hotton@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago (1 children)

So you believe every organisation that has actual skin in the game (clubs, bookmakers, football consultants like StatsBomb) uses models based on the shittiest, most useless metric ever created?

[–] SeppFraudiola@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago (1 children)

No, I don't believe any of these stakeholders are using xG to determine their next course of action. Absolutely naive to think that.

[–] LukeHanson1991@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago

It is the best predictor how a team will perform over the whole season. Better than actual goals scored. You can bet every single one of those stakeholders uses it.