this post was submitted on 17 Oct 2023
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It’s not just down to shot stopping and shooting. It’s also about the quality of the assists and the position of the defence.
I still agree it is the best simple metric to predict how teams will perform over a season. VfB Stuttgart in the Bundesliga for example will probably finish really high. I would bet top 6.
Absolutely, though aren't assist quality and defensive positioning both factors that influence xG and xGA? That's kind of my thinking when saying why it's a good metric.