this post was submitted on 01 Nov 2023
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Honestly, not really. I photograph air shows, and over a busy weekend I can easily hit around 5k shots. But even with half a dozen shows over the summer months, that's still 'only' 30k actuations. Which means a camera rated for 300k actuations would be expected to last for 10 years.
In reality, it'll be less of course, because it doesn't just sit in a cupboard for the other 9 months of the year; I photograph other events too, but those are at most 1k shots per weekend rather than 5k.
Even taking all that into account, the reality is that my oldest camera is a 6D Mk2, released in mid-2017. So it's at most 6 years old (and more likely about 5, because I'm rarely an early adopter). Both my other 2 DSLRs and mirrorless bodies are considerably newer.
tl;dr - I'm almost certainly going to upgrade/replace the camera due to age and availability of shiny new tech before it hits its shutter count.