this post was submitted on 09 Nov 2023
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The 40-40 chuck it up strategy. Basically if you are a team at the 40 yard line or greater, every play should just be a chuck it 40 yards or more deep pass. Why? Each time you do it, one of 4 things are likely to happen.
1)A completed deep pass (Good) 2)A pass interference call (Good) 3)An incomplete pass (nul) 4)An interception (Bad)
So 50% of likely options are good and only 25% are harmful. Yet because this strategy only starts at the 40 yard line, you have basically made a punt anyway so the harmful result isn't really that punishing.
Well, an incomplete does cost you a down, so I wouldn't call that null.
If you take enough deep shots eventually one will be DPI statistically
This was the Ravens offense with Flacco and Torrey Smith