this post was submitted on 16 Mar 2026
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Sure, but do the odds change constantly with each person buying in? And if so, does that mean somone who bought in at 10 to 1, could end up getting 2 to 1 by the time it pays out?
No, in this case, you own the contract. A winning decision is always worth $1 but the current price that people are offering their yes or no contract for sale change like a stock ticker.
There’s a bid and an ask, and when there are no takers people will adjust their offer or selling prices. Just like stock. The demand on either side changes the current price. In this case there are always two opposite sides with opposite prices in relation to $1
Okay, so a person wanting to buy may have to buy ay multiple prices if the quantity they want to buy is larger than any one bidder. Ugly from a user ineteraction perspective, but makes more sense. When people put up bids, do they put a range or something so they don't have to constantly monitor, and it adjustes some magical way?
I think that’s how it works but I understand how math works so I’ve never actually made a bet in my life.