this post was submitted on 17 May 2026
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His companies would probably do better too.
They would stop taking absurd risks for sure, which would result in lower rewards but overall a bit better still. No more industry-changing projects though.
We actually don't know if that would happen. for all we know they could replace him with RFK Jr and take 10x more risk than elon, which would mean even bigger rewards !!!
Which ones? The electric cars her hasn't improved on for 10 years, the drilling machine that nobody uses, the flamethrower, the social media company he murdered, it the government divisions he burned to ground? So innovative.
Starlink, rockets that operate like airliners, and there just might eventually come something out of neuralink and FSD some day. Also, how many companies in the US aims to build humanoid robots at scale? To me it looks like in many fields the situation is China vs elon, unfortunately.
Neuralink I suppose is an example where his appetite for crazy risk might pay off or be terrible.
FSD implies no one else is trying for self driving, and that's no shortage there for that ambition.
Humanoid robots at scale, they haven't displayed a capability to suggest they have any better shot than others, and there's plenty of less loud companies trying. None are particularly close, so Elon stands relatively alone in proclaiming success without the proof.
I don't know that his crazy appetite for risk is on display with SpaceX. I would argue most of their real successes were relatively lower risk, and generally when the companies indulge musk at his craziest are like the other comment says, comparative failures.