this post was submitted on 28 Oct 2024
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An exercise in why you shouldn't worry too much about polls

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[–] Ghostalmedia@lemmy.world 24 points 2 weeks ago

Yes, but with a reputable pollster, questions and weighting are informed by historical data as much as possible.

Also, most of the good pollsters, who polled close to Election Day, tend to fall within or meet their margins of error when the final vote comes in. For as much as people like to complain about polls, I recommend that they go look at the big pollsters, and see how close they were right before an election.

The problem isn’t the polls, it’s that shit has been gerrymandered into a near 50/50 split and a winner is lost within the margin of error.

[–] pimento64@sopuli.xyz 19 points 2 weeks ago (3 children)

We still have polling conducted on the basis of who's going to pick up a cold call on their landline phone.

Who the fuck do you think is gonna pick a cold call up and talk to the weirdo who wants something from you at all, landline or no?

[–] Myxomatosis@lemmy.world 8 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (1 children)

That’s one reason why most of these polls are garbage. I personally haven’t used a home landline phone since the 90’s.

[–] kandoh@reddthat.com 1 points 2 weeks ago

Yeah but they adjust based on results, so they know for every person that says they're voting R on a landline there are 3 unreported D votes. There is a methodology further than writing down what people say.

[–] Rhaedas@fedia.io 5 points 2 weeks ago

I'm shocked they have enough that pick up any line given caller ID. Do a lot of people still answer an unknown call coming in and not let it go to voice mail?

[–] billwashere@lemmy.world 3 points 2 weeks ago

Who the fuck still has a landline?

[–] ByteOnBikes@slrpnk.net 9 points 2 weeks ago

"We polled America by putting up a Facebook survey on this Boomer Facebook Group! Our data is sound!"

[–] EvilBit@lemmy.world 5 points 2 weeks ago

I’ll take “fucking duh” for $100, Alex.

[–] homesweethomeMrL@lemmy.world 2 points 2 weeks ago
[–] MediaBiasFactChecker@lemmy.world -3 points 2 weeks ago

The news source of this post could not be identified. Please check the source yourself. Media Bias Fact Check | bot support