Maybe I'm misreading the election result tracker on Apnews, but the Republicans are leading in more than 5 races. Pretty sure they're getting the trifecta and probably a cushion too...
this post was submitted on 11 Nov 2024
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Sure, sure, but why squander this rare opportunity to convert faint, glimmering rays of hope, into sweet, precious ad revenue?
It’s currently 214/203, with Republicans in the lead. 218 is needed for majority, and there are still 18 districts to be called. More than four of the remaining districts are historically Republican. They will have full control.
But admitting that will decrease the price of ad buys, which would make the shareholders grumpy >:(
There are a few straggling districts which are safe for one side or the other and the outcome is not in doubt, but the votes are being counted slowly and there are not enough returns in yet to feel like they can make the final call. Most trackers will not count them on the top line yet, but when they report the number of sets left to claim the majority, they will assume those seats are safe.
In general, though, Republicans have enough leads in enough races that if somehow Democrats win all the races where they are currently leading and the races where a Republican is currently leading by < 1%, Republicans will still retain control of the chamber, albeit with even slimmer margins than last time.
Google's election page with AP results shows:
Democrats - 204 Republicans - 214
17 races left to call.
CA 9 - Leaning Democratic
CA 21 - Leaning Democratic
CA 27 - Leaning Democratic
CA 39 - Leaning Democratic
CA 47 - Leaning Democratic
CA 49 - Leaning Democratic
LA 6 - Called for the Democrat.
ME 2 - Leaning Democratic
OH 9 - Leaning Democratic
OR 5 - Leaning Democratic - Called by local media.
AK 1 - Leaning Republican
AZ 6 - Leaning Republican
CA 13 - Leaning Republican
CA 22 - Leaning Republican
CA 41 - Leaning Republican
CA 45 - Leaning Republican
IA 1 - Leaning Republican
WA 5 - Leaning Republican
Looks like it's going to end up 213 D to 222 R
I'm actually shocked that it's close enough to even offer hope.