Good.... goood...
this post was submitted on 28 Mar 2025
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So much winning.
Billionaires and corporations are absolutely winning, in the foreseeable future.
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We also believe the dynamic macro environment has contributed to a more cautious consumer
Am I getting this right? Is this double speak for "the government is fucking up so badly, people try to save some wealth for the inevitable fall of society"?
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Looks like I made the right choice pulling most of my 401k out of stock/blended funds and into stable bonds.
Looks like I made the right choice by not saving money at all and working until I die.
Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit sniffing glue
Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit amphetamines
It's going well with the 'Make America Great Again' over the other side of the pond
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Bro just quit buying avocado toast and pull yourself up by them bootstraps, you're just not working hard enough bro get on the grind and then you can maybe retire in a slightly larger cardboard box
Maybe even be able to afford the ritzier corrugated cardboard boxes everyone’s talking about?
Looks like I made the right choice pulling most of my 401k out of stock/blended funds and into stable bonds.
You've made HALF the right choice. You "sold high", which is great!
However, the harder part is knowing when to go back in for the "buy low" part. If you're out of the market when that recovery occurs you'll be missing out on those gains. I've look at historical recoveries and can tell there is no way I'll know when that time is. I will guess wrong every time.
I hope you're better at it than I am.
Timing the exact top and bottom is impossible, but you can always sell at an all-time high and buy at a 52 week low.
Personally, I find it more effective for myself if I frame it in terms of "owning the most shares" instead of "making the most dollars".
If I started with 100 shares and now have 200 shares, I consider that a win, even if the 200 shares together are worth less than the 100 shares were at one time.
Timing the exact top and bottom is impossible, but you can always sell at an all-time high
An all-time high? So on point over the prior record and you sell?
and buy at a 52 week low.
I'm not understanding your strategy here. What are you accomplishing by putting your money back into the market at the dollar figure equal to the lowest value in the last year (52 weeks)? Especially if you sold at one point over the prior record (the all time high) you could be out of the market for years while stocks are on a rapid increase. The last 2 years of the S&P500 were both north of 23% returns back to back. Using your method you would have sold sometime in 2022 losing all those HUGE gains.
What if the recover occurs prior to stocks ever hitting the 52 week low? You'd still be out of the market and will have missed the recovery.
Personally, I find it more effective for myself if I frame it in terms of “owning the most shares” instead of “making the most dollars”.
If I started with 100 shares and now have 200 shares, I consider that a win, even if the 200 shares together are worth less than the 100 shares were at one time.
This confuses me even more. Number of shares is completely irrelevant. Stock splits double shares (and half values), a reverse stock split would double value (but half number of shares). I mean, if you're just interested in number of shares, you do you, but most people use stocks as an investment vehicle where the value of those stocks is primary value (voting rights being a second value but most people don't care about that).
If you can't even understand that I am obviously not including things like stock splits, then I don't think my comment was intended for you.
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The right time to go back in is whenever this admin is done, there is no "low" when the floor keeps falling out.
That sounds like a rational answer. Stock markets are not rational. Also, who's to say the next admin isn't just a carbon copy of this one?
You can never time the lowest point. What you can do however is guarantee yourself a massive gain over the next few years when the stocks inevitably go back to pre-trump levels by buying it now, which is already much lower than it was 2 months ago
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That's great, until our money is worthless and hyper inflation sets in. Nothing will keep your money safe from that.
That is a good point. I think Turkey is a good example of that happening right now. I don't know that they are technically an example of hyperinflation, but they have had extremely high inflation.
About Jan 21st, I moved 50% to "international developed market", there is 0 stock from USA in the fund.
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wow, pandemic numbers without a pandemic. trump rules...!
imagine what it'll look like when the second pandemic hits
Stable genius getting results!!!
since 2023
So what's the explanation for why stocks dropped so much in 2023?
Inflation was part of it, also the Russian incursion into Ukraine was sparking fears of ww3.
The actions of this admin are reigniting those fears and we’re witnessing similar results in the market.
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