NFL

I feel like we are representative of our record. We had a few nail bitters in there but we also beat some pretty good teams . 6-3 seems right.

Now, your actual question:

Better than their record: Bengals and Commanders

Worse: the Jags.

Vikings had a an insane amount of fumbles in there first few games, that’s stopped and they are on a 5 game win streak

The browns are not as good. That defense is great, top 5 in the league. But nobody is scared of that offense. I think they finish closer to .500

The Broncos are suddenly a respectable team somehow

According to the Pythagorean record, which estimates how teams 'should' have done based on their point differential, here are the results.

Luckiest teams in the N.F.L. (Teams worse than their current record):

1. Pittsburgh Steelers. Should be 4—5, but are actually 6—3.
2. Philadelphia Eagles. Should be 6—3, but are actually 8—1.
3. Detroit Lions. Should be 5—4, but are actually 7—2.
4. Seattle Seahawks. Should be 4—5, but are actually 6—3.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars. Should be 5—4, but are actually 6—3.

Unluckiest teams in the N.F.L. (Teams better than their current record):

1. Buffalo Bills. Should be 7—3, but are actually 5—5.
2. Green Bay Packers. Should be 4—5, but are actually 3—6.
3. Carolina Panthers. Should be 2—7, but are actually 1—8.
4. San Francisco 49ers. Should be 7—2, but are actually 6—3.
5. Los Angeles Chargers. Should be 5—4, but are actually 4—5.

Meanwhile, the teams almost spot—on with their predicted records are the Indianapolis Colts (5—5) and the Houston Texans (5—4).

The Seahawks are better and worse than 6-3, mostly worse but… go hawks.

Vikings at the start with Kirk and JJ were way better than their record

Vikings without them is way worse than their record

Overall it works out lol

49ers “should” be 7-2, b/c of a missed field goal. If we really have fixed our defense issue then we are way better than our 6-3 record. If not, we are exactly where we should be.

I mean, we are way worse. It's kind of a miracle we won three games and I wouldn't be surprised if we finished with three wins. The roster is incredibly shallow once a few guys got banged up and went down it practice squad caliber players wherever you look.

These are the current Pythagorean records of all N.F.L. teams.

8—2: Ravens.

7—2: 49ers, Cowboys.

7—3: Bills.

6—3: Browns, Chiefs, Dolphins, Eagles.

6—4: Vikings.

5—4: Buccaneers, Chargers, Jaguars, Lions, Texans.

5—5: Colts, Saints.

4—5: Bengals, Jets, Packers, Rams, Seahawks, Steelers, Titans.

4—6: Bears, Commanders, Falcons, Raiders.

3—6: Broncos.

3—7: Cardinals.

2—7: Panthers.

2—8: Patriots.

1—9: Giants.

I don't think the lions are quite as good as their record. Yeah they beat the chiefs on opening night without two of their best players, but their other wins are against not very good teams. Baltimore embarrassed them, and Seattle showed that a competent offense can hang with and beat them.

Broncos

It’s football season? Man I haven’t seen the Patriots on at all. Surely they’re doing great as always!

Bills were only a few plays away from winning every game that they lost. If you look at each individual loss they could feasibly be 10-0, 9-1, 8-2. Yet they also looked like the worse team in most of those losses and deserved to lose all of the games that they did and arguably at least one of their wins. They just somehow managed to keep them close. They are at times one of the worst teams in the league and at times one of the best, and they are capable of both beating the best teams in the league and losing to the worst.

Pats have 5 losses by 1 score, and 2 wins by 1 score. Could be 7 and 3 or 0 and 10.

Bills are better than their record, Steelers are worse. One finds ways to lose games they shouldn't, the other wins games it shouldn't.

Is Denver better than their record indicates?

Seahawks are worse than the record indicates, lot of last minute ugly wins and the offense stalls up for quarters at a time.

Vikings are better than their record, I thought that at the beginning of the year too.