| Rank |
Team |
Adj. Win % |
Weekly Rank Change |
| 1 |
Philadelphia |
.780 |
-- |
| 2 |
Kansas City |
.743 |
+1 |
| 3 |
Baltimore |
.724 |
-1 |
| 4 |
Detroit |
.719 |
+1 |
| 5 |
Cleveland |
.694 |
+2 |
| 6 |
Pittsburgh |
.674 |
-- |
| 7 |
Jacksonville |
.674 |
-3 |
| 8 |
San Francisco |
.653 |
+2 |
| 9 |
Seattle |
.610 |
+2 |
| 10 |
Miami |
.582 |
-1 |
| 11 |
Dallas |
.574 |
+1 |
| 12 |
Cincinnati |
.571 |
-4 |
| 13 |
Minnesota |
.566 |
-- |
| 14 |
Houston |
.557 |
+1 |
| 15 |
Indianapolis |
.503 |
+3 |
| 16 |
LA Chargers |
.481 |
+1 |
| 17 |
Tampa Bay |
.464 |
+5 |
| 18 |
Buffalo |
.462 |
-4 |
| 19 |
NY Jets |
.452 |
-3 |
| 20 |
Denver |
.451 |
+5 |
| 21 |
Las Vegas |
.451 |
+3 |
| 22 |
New Orleans |
.440 |
-3 |
| 23 |
LA Rams |
.408 |
+3 |
| 24 |
Tennessee |
.403 |
-4 |
| 25 |
Atlanta |
.382 |
-4 |
| 26 |
Washington |
.379 |
-3 |
| 27 |
Green Bay |
.353 |
-- |
| 28 |
Chicago |
.294 |
+2 |
| 29 |
Arizona |
.270 |
+3 |
| 30 |
New England |
.267 |
-2 |
| 31 |
NY Giants |
.251 |
-2 |
| 32 |
Carolina |
.196 |
-1 |
I'm using a simplified/modified Colley Matrix iteration process (https://www.colleyrankings.com/method.html)
To summarize, you take the win percentage of every team and correct it against the win percentage of their opponents. Then you have a new win percentage. And I repeat that process until the correction factor is below .001. Essentially this is what I would expect the win percentages to be if the teams played an average team every week.