this post was submitted on 05 Apr 2026
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Prediction market platform Polymarket issued an apology for allowing users to place bets on the fate of American pilots aboard a U.S. fighter jet downed over Iran.

A two-seater F-15E Strike Eagle was shot down on Friday, according to a U.S. official. One crew member was rescued, but the other remains missing.

In a since-deleted market, users were able to wager on when the pilots might be rescued, with the majority predicting a Saturday rescue.

“US confirms pilots rescued by...?” the market read.

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[–] leftascenter@jlai.lu 55 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)
[–] jeffw@lemmy.world 13 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Note that none of these (that I saw) included anything about the number of casualties, fatalities, the fate of any specific individual, etc.

Not saying I agree, but I imagine that’s their “line in the sand”

[–] phutatorius@lemmy.zip 2 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Their line in the sand is entirely public-relations-driven.

[–] Armok_the_bunny@lemmy.world 1 points 2 weeks ago

I mean, that's at least better than no line at all... wait, why am I defending these pieces of shit!?

[–] ChadGPT2@lemmy.world 32 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Polymarket is inherently unethical and should be banned. There’s no sense trying to draw a line anywhere. The whole endeavor is a perverse mockery of the human experience.

[–] Doubleohdonut@lemmy.ca 5 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

"Prediction market" is so frustrating to hear when it's apparently pronounced "another legalized grift"

[–] phutatorius@lemmy.zip 6 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

It's gambling, just as a "prediction market" on the outcome of football games is. Regulate it as such.

[–] RagingRobot@lemmy.world 31 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

I don't see how that's any different from letting people bet on other stuff that they allow

[–] Chee_Koala@lemmy.world 20 points 2 weeks ago

Yeah, why even apologize? This is what they do.

[–] phutatorius@lemmy.zip 2 points 2 weeks ago

It can influence political events, and any coverage of those events. Reporters have already received death threats for writing news that didn't support an outcome that'd cause someone's bet to pay off.

[–] phoenixz@lemmy.ca 16 points 2 weeks ago

Wages on how many children will die in a genocide? All fine

A (possible) single US military death?

Oohhh, I'm so sorry

[–] mrgoosmoos@lemmy.ca 15 points 2 weeks ago

oh, this is where the line is?

[–] MrSelfDestruct25@fedinsfw.app 13 points 2 weeks ago
[–] phutatorius@lemmy.zip 10 points 2 weeks ago (2 children)

Polymarket creates a dangerous feedback loop, financially incentivizing certain political outcomes. It should be shut down.

[–] GreenBeanMachine@lemmy.world 5 points 2 weeks ago

Wait, let's put Trump's death on there first. Once he's dead, it can be shut down.

[–] muxika@piefed.muxika.org 9 points 2 weeks ago

Betting on someone's escape or capture is how we get Bachman's The Running Man

[–] BrianTheeBiscuiteer@lemmy.world 6 points 2 weeks ago

"It's cool."

- Republicans

[–] core@leminal.space 4 points 2 weeks ago

They're sorry someone complained

[–] tgcoldrockn@lemmy.world 4 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

It's clear gambling is destructive to peoples lives, why put on airs? This is the insincere time warner two finger nipple rub.

[–] KulunkelBoom@lemmus.org 3 points 2 weeks ago

Trump's boys. Criminal shit bags just like their daddy.

[–] Rentlar@lemmy.ca 3 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

I wonder if anyone's "Trump converts to Islam on Easter Sunday" bet has paid out...

[–] GreenBeanMachine@lemmy.world 2 points 2 weeks ago

Is Trump's death on there? How can we get it there?

[–] evenglow@lemmy.world -1 points 2 weeks ago

Stock market doesn't like competition.

[–] kokesh@lemmy.world -3 points 2 weeks ago

So we can't bet on the odds of a terrorist being captured?