DruTangClan

I have always sort of thought this and not surprised to see some of that research.

First, regardless of draft position you need to be able to scout well and evaluate talent well. Generally, the higher pick you get the better chance you have on hitting on a player, but it’s not a lock, and if a team is really bad, that could partially be due to poor scouting/talent evaluation so unless you fix that the problems may continue.

Second, even teams with good scouting departments get picks that turn out to be busts, or at least don’t turn out to be a franchise-changing force. Basically there’s no guarantee that even a person widely agreed upon as a good prospect will pan out that way.

Third, even if the selected player IS really good, their career could be derailed by injuries or off the field issues. Another layer of uncertainty.

Fourth, I kind of stated before but unless the team around the person is good, it’s unlikely that the team will suddenly become playoff contenders. The exception would probably be if you hit on a HOF calibur QB that can basically carry a team, but even then there typical has to be some level of support. But like for example the Texans once used a first overall pick on Mario Williams. Great player, but didn’t really turn the franchise around. A great QB is more likely to do this, but again not a lock.

The Browns have had very good O lines over the years, but with the revolving door at QB and less than stellar defense it didn’t typically translate to wins.