Lauchs

joined 1 year ago
[–] Lauchs@lemmy.world 2 points 8 hours ago

The American stock market is hugely weighted by the top 5 or so companies, all of whom if I remember have jumped hugely in value based on ai (nvidia, microsoft, amazon, apple, meta) so if it turns out/investors decide there isn't a way to make ai profitable, those valuations tumble as does the American stock market and likely the world's.

[–] Lauchs@lemmy.world 3 points 16 hours ago

That experience hits too close to home.

I think because we choose the topics we engage with on social media, they're usually ones we're passionate about.

But the size of the online community means most folks are anonymous. So, unlike your friends or even a group of strangers, there's a much lower consequence for jerkiness, rudeness etc in response to views which in your eyes may range from insane to evil.

[–] Lauchs@lemmy.world 16 points 1 day ago (2 children)

I didn't go to a job because I wanted to watch trailer park boys. Don't know how unique that is though, it's a pretty good show.

[–] Lauchs@lemmy.world 1 points 1 day ago

t’ll help if you didn’t reduce someone’s viewpoints as being childish or that they know only the basics

You say that but then go on to equate what's happened in the West Bank with what's happened in Gaza, which is downright insane. It's like saying "I had a paper cut, not much different from being the victim in a Saw movie." Like, you think it's a coincidence they announced plans to annex just hours after the election? ffs

Admittedly, I do love the silliness of "Harris just had to have a harder stance." Trying to picture how she'd campaign like that has kept me giggling for awhile. "So, do you oppose the current administration of which you are a part?" "No, I just... We need to do things differently." "Are you making Biden a lame duck president in August? What other policies of his do you think are wrong? Do you think Biden doesn't value Palestinians? Why do you think Biden won't do this? If you disagree with your administration, why did you wait until you were a candidate to take a stand? Should foreign leaders just deal with you directly instead of bothering with Biden these days?" "Damnit guys, can we please just talk about Rampart? "

Goodness. I get that you want to care etc but you're digging yourself into stranger and sillier positions. As you grow up, you'll find it's not just useful to admit you weren't entirely correct, it's actually a really mature response which people respect that. Doubling down on sillier and sillier claims just makes you and your side look foolish.

[–] Lauchs@lemmy.world 1 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Check local community colleges? My province has a few that offer pretty decent coding courses.

I've never met/zoomed/chatted with a teacher in real time but you can usually ask questions in lecture or whatnot.

[–] Lauchs@lemmy.world 11 points 2 days ago

That's one of the reasons I cut the cord.

And unsubscribed from Netflix/Prime when they started asking for more money for ads.

And freak out whenever the weird hacky fix from the depths of Lemmy that kills youtube ads stops working for a day.

Ads are the goddamn worse, Carpenter had them dead to rights in They Live.

[–] Lauchs@lemmy.world 7 points 2 days ago

I suppose I could've just checked wikipedia, I was sort of right but also sort of wrong:

Development Tom Clancy met Larry Bond in 1982. The two discussed Convoy-84, a wargame Bond had been working on at the time that featured a new Battle of the North Atlantic. The idea became the basis for Red Storm Rising. "We plotted out the book together, then, while I researched the military issues, Tom wrote the book," Bond said.[5] "I'm listed as co-author, but I wrote like 1 percent of the book," Bond stated in a 2013 interview.[6] For research on the Politburo scenes, Clancy and Bond interviewed Soviet defector Arkady Shevchenko.[7]

Clancy had purchased Bond's wargame Harpoon as a primary source for his future novel The Hunt for Red October (1984).[8] Clancy and Bond used the board game's second edition miniature rules to test key battle sequences, notably the Soviet operation to seize Iceland and the attack on the carrier battle group in the "Dance of the Vampires" chapter.

Dance of the Vampires This refers to the chapter where the Soviets lure a NATO carrier group into a trap and almost manages to wipe it out.[9]

The game sessions typically involved several players on each side (Clancy among them) acting in various roles.[10] with Bond refereeing. The games did not influence the outcome - the chapter's ending was already decided - but they gave Clancy and Bond a "better understanding of what factors drove each side's thinking".[11][12]

This attention to detail made Vice consider Red Storm Rising a "great example of fictional military history."[9]

The collected and annotated notes on the three Dance of the Vampires scenario playthroughs would later be published by Bond.[11][13]

[–] Lauchs@lemmy.world 18 points 2 days ago

I think it was mostly meant as military nerd porn.

Like, the guys who blow up the refinery are only important in asmuch as they create the need for a conflict with the West. Some oppressed group pulls off something wild but doesn't have the men/material to do anything major afterwards (which is how a lot of terrorism goes.)

[–] Lauchs@lemmy.world 16 points 2 days ago (2 children)

I'm pretty sure I remember reading that Clancy and a buddy essentially wargamed the conflict and wrote out the results.

[–] Lauchs@lemmy.world 1 points 2 days ago (2 children)

But there’s a lot I know as well.

See, I think this is the issue. You've shared some of the very basics. Most explainer articles should (and do) include this info. And I think you're confusing knowing a handful of basics with something approaching authority. Admittedly, I imagine you have given more context than most Tiktoks, so yay?

Here are a few other basics but that add context and illuminate the difference between Harris and trump:

About half of Palestinians live in the West Bank, which has basically been off limits for Israeli military incursions, despite the far right. In large part because of American red lines, Israel has mostly left the West Bank alone in this conflict.

The United State's policy on Israel/Palestine has been to advocate for a 2 state solution (which the PLO has walked away from, repeatedly.) Donald already shred any pretense of supporting a 2 state solution when he recognized Jerusalem as capital of Israel. For the loudest and most loyal part of his base, the evangelicals, Israel must own all of its own territory in order to bring about the End Times. (yay.) So, there's a definite possibility that trump actively encourages Israel to ramp up their move to a 1 apartheidish state and West Bank becomes Gaza without the restraint.

And yes, you might complain that Gaza is unrestrained but that's pretty silly. Some 40k Palestinians have died, which is too many but at that rate, the war could go on for another half century and more than half the Palestinians would be around. (And of course, if you note that most of the casualties were in the first 4 months after Hamas murdered and/or raped more than a thousand civilians, and "only" ~ 10K have died since Februaryish, well, you should realize that's a deaccelerating conflict.) Unfortunately, trump means that hard right/Bibi have a good chance of escalating things right back up. (The Biden administration has demanded more aid etc in exchange for continued support, something that's highly unexpected from a trump administration.)

Meanwhile, somewhere between 2-3 million Palestinians, who don't have the first world luxury to ignorantly declare things are the going to be the same, know how much worse things are about to get.

And of course on the American side, the notion that Harris would be able to override Biden while she's VP is lunacy. Pray tell, when is the last time you saw a VP undermine their boss like that? (The closest I can think of was when Biden let slip that the administration was moving to codify gay marriage, but that's not even close to the same ballpark.) Arguing for a radically different path while in office but without any authority is similarly nonsensical. (If the Harris administration would be different, that incentives Israel to go much harder now while they can and puts Biden into a no win scenario.)

Would I have liked the Democrats to do more? Absolutely. But to say that because Palestinians in Gaza are dying those in the West Bank should too suggests you are too ignorant to know the difference between Gaza and West Bank or too racist to care.

Finally, I'll remind you that the original question was what can America do to prevent the situation from worsening. Electing Harris over trump is a no brainer move to prevent things from getting as bad as they can under trump. Then electing progressive Dems in the primaries so they can move Harris on this. With trump in power, the Democratic primaries and midterms are relatively meaningless and unlikely to help the Palestinians.

[–] Lauchs@lemmy.world 1 points 3 days ago (4 children)

The older you get, the more you'll realize it's okay and even a good idea to just say "I don't really know about this."

To say that Harris and trump mean the same thing for the Palestinians is outright nonsensical. Some of the Israeli ministers (notably Smotrich) have been very explicit about the fact that trump's win, among other things, makes annexation of the West Bank much more likely.

There's a lot of background that you kind of really have to be in the weeds to catch but if you've been reading Foreign Policy and others, you'd know that while the Biden administration ought to have done more, there were still some red lines (annexation, hitting Iranian oil/nuclear facilities etc.) With trump in charge, it's unclear which if any red lines still exist.

It's a humanitarian crisis but to claim that Harris and trump mean the same thing is as downright silly as you can get. Saying things that are patenly nonsensical makes you look pretty danged silly.

 

Such an unforced error and at a moment when trump was playing defense. Are we surprised that the President calling people who vote trump garbage would be a bigger deal than one trash comedian amidst a dozen or so speakers?

We keep shooting ourselves in the foot and it breaks my heart.

 

Title pretty much says it all. When I watched the Sadness I learned, much to my surprise, that I sort of have limits where the gore becomes a bit too much.

That being said, that movie was on another level of impressively realistic horribleness happening for about two straight hours. Terrifier seems more Western and classic blood and stuff but wondered if anyone had seen both and had thoughts?

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submitted 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) by Lauchs@lemmy.world to c/asklemmy@lemmy.world
 

Almost everyone agrees there should be more compromises in politics. So I'm curious, how would that play out?

While I love the policy debates and the nuances, most people go for the big issues. So, according to the party platforms/my gut, here's what I'd put as the 3 for each party:

Democrats: Abortion rights, gun control, climate change.

Republicans: Immigration, culture war (say, critical race theory in schools or gender affirming care for minors) , trump gets to be president. (Sorry but it really seems like a cult of personality at this point.)

Anyway, here's the exercise: say the other side was willing to give up on all three of their issues but you had to give up on one of your side's. OR, you can have two of your side's but have to give up on the third.

Just curious to see how this plays out. (You are of course free to name other priorities you think better represent the parties but obviously if you write "making Joe Pesci day a national holiday" as a priority and give it up, that doesn't really count.)

Edit: The consensus seems to be a big no to compromise. Which, fair, I imagine those on the Right feel just as strongly about what they would call baby murdering and replacing American workers etc.

Just kind of sad to see it in action.

But thanks/congrats to those who did try and work through a compromise!

 

Having large numbers of people starve to death seems like a pretty damning indictment of a system. But I dunno, maybe I'm overly attached to food?

 

Listened to Billie Jean while cleaning, wondered what the all time playlist might be.

I imagine Kanye, Clapton, Pink Floyd, James Brown, Ike Turner all make the cut with MJ but I'm curious what Lemmy comes up with!

 

Kind of amazing. In my head this is basically saying "we can't protect people in parts of downtown Vancouver and rather than change that, it may just be easier to abandon the area.

 

Original Joe's at Cambie and Broadway used to be great for this.

Trying to think of a bar with a window view of a busy street on a hill...

 

Crosspost from c/politics

 
 

Hi! I'm trying to figure out if my anti fat biases etc are colouring my view. Background: I've lived in an olderish apartment (1970s) for about a decade, got a new upstairs neighbour a couple of years ago and now my bathroom ceiling leaks, grows mold etc. The maintenance folks have cut through the drywall a few times, confirmed mold, replaced the pipes, checked and watched for leaks without luck.

My guess as to what's happening is that the bathtub is an older one and the new neighbour is really big (for a Canadian. Like, not infinifat or whatever but would definitely take up more than a seat in the movies or airplanes) and not just belly fat but quite wide as well. I can't imagine he can turn in the shower without the sheets coming out of the tub and spilling water all over the ground (and with our poor molding etc I could easily see it working its way down)

Unsure how to bring it up so I figured I'd check and see if that's even a thing that actually happens or if that's just my inherent anti fat assumptions going to work. I don't know anyone socially even close to his size so don't really know where else to ask.

 
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