baconlovr

joined 11 months ago
 

It's officially the Christmas season, /r/NFL! Everyone has their holiday decorations up, their gift lists sent out, their letters to Santa on their way, and their ugly sweaters out of storage. We had another interesting week where I went 11-5 on my picks, bringing me to 119-61 on the season. How did everyone else do? We're back to the byes in force, with six teams out and three less games to watch. We have just two division games this week, with five inter-conference and six cross-conference games lined up. Let's get to it!


Winner Loser Comments
Cowboys over Seahawks Seattle is limping into the game with poor QB/O-line play and can't count on the running game to boost everything. The Cowboys have destroyed reeling teams at home all season long and even though Seattle's defense has improved, there are enough holes to exploit for a red-hot Dak and Pollard can continue his recent surge.
Titans over Colts Minshew is finding ways to make enough plays off Taylor's running and a more active defense. The Titans haven't been pretty offensively with Levis, but they go as Henry goes. The Colts' defense has improved, while the Titans present a challenging front to the run. Levis comes through here as Tennessee makes it two in a row in Nashville.
Chargers over Patriots The Pats have bottomed out, and unproductive QB play remains a huge problem, averaging just 167.5 passing YPG through a four-game losing streak, with Mac and Zappe combining for three TDs and six INTs in that stretch. The Chargers are on a three-game losing streak, but Herbert's play is not the problem.
Lions over Saints I just can't with this team right now. When your QB has five trips to the red zone and the only TD you get is a pick six, there's a fundamental coaching problem that needs to change in addition to Carr's awful playing. The Dome is gonna have to be rocking extra loud to give the Saints a chance to win against a very good Lions team.
Jets over Falcons The Falcons got their rushing and defensive groove back with Ridder at home, and a breakout by Robinson. But Ridder isn't the same QB on the road and the Falcons' passing game won't post much of a challenge as a complementary threat here. The Jets will find some success with Hall and Wilson to spark their struggling offense at home.
Steelers over Cardinals The Steelers generated more than 400 yards under new OC Faulkner, and they return home after a pair of divisional road games. The defense has allowed just 15.7 PPG over the last six weeks. The Cardinals are 0-6 on the road and have not scored more than 16 points in any of those losses. Look for Pittsburgh to continue its playoff push.
Dolphins over Commanders Washington fired DC Del Rio after an embarrassing Thanksgiving loss to Dallas. Now, Rivera faces the challenge of slowing down a Miami offense that leads the league in total offense. The Phins have been loose with the ball with three turnovers the last two weeks, but they can clean that up.
Broncos over Texans Denver is on fire and I'm all aboard the Bronco wagon. Wilson has eight TD passes and no INTs in their streak. Houston, whose pass defense allows 252.5 YPG, could be in trouble. The Texans are 4-2 at home and Stroud has been brilliant, but Denver makes one more play on the road here.
Buccaneers over Panthers The Panthers fired Reich on Monday, the end of an era that produced a 1-10 record. Tabor is the interim HC, and there is always the opportunity for a play-up moment for the franchise. Tampa has lost six of seven games, but four of those losses have been of the one-score variety. Trashy division game incoming.
Rams over Browns Cleveland will struggle in their West Coast trip to L.A. Injuries to DTR and Garrett are a problem, and the Rams' Kupp should be healthier this week. Cleveland has failed to score 14 points in its last two games, and L.A. is fine with getting into a defensive battle. Stick with the home team by a field goal.
49ers over [](/PHI Eagles) GotW/NFC Championship Game rematch, and one hell of a tough pick. The Niners are a road favorite, but the Eagles are making second-half comebacks a thing this season, and both teams have similar sack totals. (San Fran at 33, Philly at 32). Which team will force that mistake at the right time? Hurts has more turnovers, and Purdy picks apart the Eagles' pass defense. Not confident at all in this pick.
Chiefs over Packers Mahomes is making his Lambeau debut. Love is making his SNF debut. The Packers have improved with back-to-back victories, but the injuries to the defense have mounted. The Chiefs' only road loss this season was part of a five-turnover nightmare in Denver. Green Bay is 5-2 as an underdog this season, and they will still be a tough out at home. This could be a monster game for Kelce.
Jaguars over Bengals Browning proved capable when he got the ball out quick for the Bengals, but he still took four sacks in his debut. Jacksonville has settled into a rhythm despite two blowout losses at home. The Jags have not been on MNF since 2011, so anticipate a rowdy crowd. Lawrence, averaging 303 passing yards the last two weeks, gets it done.

Byes: Bills, Bears, Raiders, Vikings, Giants, Ravens


Those are my predictions, let's hear yours. Keep it civil and fun.

 

Happy Thanskgiving Week, /r/NFL! I'm thankful that all you goobers read this series every year and participate. We had kind of a crazy Week 11 where I broke even, going 7-7 and bringing me to 108-56 on the season. How did everyone else do? As is Thanksgiving tradition, we have three Turkey Day games on Thursday. We also have our first Black Friday game this year, which will be fun. We have a massive 10 division games this week, with three inter-conference and two cross-conference games lined up. I may be throwing some Thanksgiving puns in my predictions... fair warning. Let's get to it!


Winner Loser Comments
Lions over Packers Our first Turkey Day matchup, and it'll be a good division one. The Pack's offense found more of a groove around Love recently and played more inspired defense. They should have some confidence for going into this rematch from Week 4 losing 34-20. The Lions will try to take pressure off Goff early with a heavy dose of running and shortening the game so they can get home for a heavy Thanksgiving meal.
Cowboys over Commanders The second course is less appetizing, as the Commanders just lost at home to the Giants. Dallas beat those same Giants 49-17. They rip into bad teams by pouring it on with Dak's passing, the running game, defense and special teams. The Commanders tend to show up in holiday division matchups, so maybe this game won't be overcooked.
49ers over Seattle The Niner's offense looks really good at this point. Purdy is in the zone with all of his weapons clicking at the same time. The defense is battling through more injuries, but the pass rush is revved up and still shutting down the run. Smith is hurting on a short week and should be without Walker in the backfield. It's not looking good for Seattle after it lost to the Rams and San Fra keeps the home team in a tryptophan stupor.
Dolphins over Jets Miami needs to remember to run the ball and not get too pass happy with Tua. The Jets are weak defending the rushing attack. They can't put Tua in a situation against a great pass rush and coverage. The Jets find a little more offense this week with Boyle, but it's not enough as the Dolphins' defense comes through to not spill the gravy.
Saints over Falcons The Saints have a little more stability and consistency with their offense vs. the Falcons, who are dealing with unknowns at QB and suspect personnel issues. Both teams are coming off a bye, and it's easier to trust Allen and his staff than Smith. This division matchup is always sloppy, but I think NOLA feasts of Dirty Bird this week.
Steelers over Bengals The Steelers still have Pickett at QB, which is better than the Bengals' situation minus Burrow. That didn't help them against the Watson-less Browns last week, but they can get on track running the ball and take advantage of their rival hosts also having other key injuries. Browning is going to have issues against Watt coming for his cornbread stuffing.
Titans over Panthers Reich's seat is hotter than the oil in a turkey fryer at this point. The Panthers are the lone one-win team left in the NFL, and it has been ugly all season. Tennessee averaged 12 PPG through a three-game losing streak, and Henry has just 45.7 rushing YPG in those losses. Henry gives Levis some run support, but Young keeps this battle of rookie QBs closer than expected.
Buccaneers over Colts The Bucs have lost five of six, three of them were one-score losses. With no running game Tampa is last in the league with 76.9 rushing YPG and can't be trusted on the road. Indy had a bye week and they remain in the playoff hunt, but I'm picking Baker to "bake" up some pumpkin pie throws out to Evans and Godwin.
Patriots over Giants Ah, this old Super Bowl chestnut. These two teams are a far cry from the Brady and Manning-led powerhouses we were used to. The Pats may give us a new starting QB this week, and coming off a bye, this could be the slight edge they need to win over DeVito.
Jaguars over Texans Great division game here. Jacksonville is 1-4 vs. Houston with Lawrence as its starting QB. But they are also 4-1 when they rush for at least 100 yards and limit their opponent to less than 100 yards. It's simple, they have to get after Stroud. Jacksonville is 3-2 when the spread is three points or less. If they don't spill the cranberry sauce, the Jags could stay on top of the division after this week.
Broncos over Browns Denver's on a hot streak, winning it's last four games. Cleveland has that elite defense, though, and they just brought on former Ravens Super Bowl QB Flacco to help DTR. This will be another close one but I think Russ will "cook" up some delicious plays to edge past the Browns.
Rams over Cardinals The Rams smashed the Cards 26-9 in the first meeting. Stafford led a comeback victory against Seattle, and now another opportunity on the road presents itself. Stafford is 2-1 in head-to-head against Murray, so this game could be tighter than you trying to fit into skinny jeans after eating all that turkey.
Chiefs over Raiders A win here would probably get Pierce the full-time HC job. KC is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings, including three wins at Vegas by an average of 16.3 PPG. They're working on a short week, but the Raiders will need to have more success on the ground to keep up with a Chiefs' team that turns the ball over a little too much. Not planning for an upset, but Pierce could spike the eggnog on this one.
Eagles over Bills The Eagles have a short week going to a hit-or-miss Buffalo team that is 1-3 on the road. Philly is 4-1 when they get four or more sacks, so look for this defense to turn up the heat on this Allen meal. Hurts does the rest, and the Eagles feast on Buffalo this week.
Ravens over Chargers The Ravens are rolling with another AFC North title in sight with their competition fading because of injury and attrition. Jackson has struggled with the Chargers in the past and their passing issues make them look less appetizing than a green bean casserole. The Chargers' defense will play a little more inspired at home with Staley on the hottest of seats. Herbert also can keep his team in the game with wild-card hopes on the line.
Vikings over Bears Minnesota couldn't finish well against Denver, but that changes back at home in prime time. Dobbs' mobility and playmaking can cause Chicago's defense problems and there's a good chance Minnesota will put Jefferson on the field before the bye. With him stretching the field, it will open up plays elsewhere. Then the Vikings' run defense and pass rush will take care of the rest to contain Fields, making him look drier than the white meant of that turkey you just ate.

Those are my predictions, let's hear yours. Keep it civil and fun. Best of luck and Happy Thanksgiving!

 

Good Wednesday to you all, /r/NFL! Turkey Day is coming up and many pundits are already scoping out their playoff picture for teams currently winning in their division. The byes are another four teams this week, so two less games to watch. I had a good Week 10, going 10-4 and bringing me to 101-49 on the season. How did everyone else do? We have a whopping seven division games this week (half the matchups) with five inter-conference and two cross-conference games lined up. Let's get to it!


Winner Loser Comments
Bengals over Ravens Starting off the week with a good one. Baltimore has two home losses this season, and this short week makes this a true toss-up game between division rivals. Jackson is 7-1 against the Bengals as a starter. Burrow could reverse that trend and give us an "upset". As with most good division games, this will be a toss-up.
Steelers over Browns So I picked the Browns to win this one and was typing this up literally as news was breaking about Watson's season-ending surgery. Clearly this changes things. Could rookie QB Thompson-Robinson light it up? Maybe, but probably not.
Lions over Bears The Bears could get Fields back for this matchup, which may give them a better shot in this division game. Chicago is 1-4 on the road this season, averaging over two turnovers per game. The Bears also allow 298.2 YPG on the road. This could be another huge game for Goff. Detroit is 5-1 as a single-digit favorite.
Chargers over Packers Chargers should be able to get the running game against a Packers' defense that has allowed 200-plus rushing yards three times this season. Green Bay is 1-4 in games decided by three points or less. Love has thrown eight of 10 INTs in the second half, so Green Bay may be in trouble if they can't get a big lead early in the game.
Dolphins over Raiders Seeing Pierce coach this beleaguered Raiders team to back-to-back wins is a great feel-good story we can all appreciate. But reality is about to hit them with a Dolphins team hosting this matchup. The Raiders average 33 rushing attempts and 149 rushing YPG the last two weeks, but the Dolphins have a decent run defense. Miami pulls away with a two-score lead at home.
Commanders over Giants This is going to be one nasty game. The Giants are a mess, but they did beat Washington in Week 7. Howell has taken a league-high 47 sacks, and that has disrupted the Commanders' offense. DeVito has taken 11 sacks in two blowout losses. If Howell can stay upright, he should be able to get a win here.
Cowboys over Panthers The Cowboys erupted for 640 total yards against the Giants, and the Panthers had a few extra days after the loss to Chicago. The Panthers average 14.5 PPG at home, which will not be enough against Dallas. I can't see Young outdueling Dak this week.
Jaguars over Titans Levis completed 52.5% of his passes over two weeks, and the Titans averaged 11 PPG in those losses. That won’t do on the road against the Jags, who are coming off a sucker punch against San Fran. Jacksonville has a chance to shake it off and get itself right with a solid division win this week.
Texans over Cardinals Should be a good matchup of Murray versus Stroud, who is 3-1 at home with a 113.9 passer rating. The Texans might not cover the spread, but Houston keeps the good times rolling.
49ers over Buccaneers San Fran looked different after their bye, with the defense totaling five sacks and 10 QB hits. The pass-rushing combo of Bosa and Young is pretty good. Tampa ranks 31st in the league in rushing offense (78.1). That is going to cost them in this one, even if Baker makes it interesting.
Bills over Jets This one may turn out way more wild than previous thought. After the stunner in Week 1, Buffalo is looking for payback. Allen is 6-4 with nine TDs and 10 INTs in 10 starts against the Jets. New York is 4-2 ATS as an underdog because that defense travels well. Bills in a close one.
Seahawks over Rams Seattle quietly won three of their last four games, and they are 2-2 on the road. Stafford is still dealing with a UCL injury and if he cannot go it might be Wentz against Seattle. Geno is coming off his best game of the season against Washington and I think he'll continue the trend.
Vikings over Broncos My gut is saying upset, but I don't think Denver is there yet. Dobbs does not turn the ball over and Denver still has the worst defense in the league, struggling most against the run. Chandler and Hockenson may be too much for the Broncos to contain, but then again we didn't think Denver could beat K.C. and Buffalo either.
Chiefs over Eagles Recap of last year's Super Bowl and possibly a preview of this year's. Tough pick for this one. Hurts has struggled with INTs on the road, where he has a passer rating of 87.8. Mahomes keeps the Chiefs rolling at home with Kelce. This one will come down to the wire again.

Byes: Falcons, Colts, Patriots, Saints


Those are my predictions, let's hear yours. Keep it civil and fun. Best of luck!

 

We're on the backend of the season, /r/NFL! We have another game in Germany this week and it looks like it'll be a bargain bin game compared to last week's. The byes are fours teams this week, meaning two less games to watch. I had a great Week 9, going 12-2 and bringing me to 91-45 on the season. How did everyone else do? We only have two division games this week with four inter-conference and eight cross-conference games lined up. Let's get to it!


Winner Loser Comments
Bears over Panthers We're starting the week off on an absolute clunker. Young, the running game, receiving corps and O-line have all been limited or inconsistent for Carolina. Whether it's Bagent or Fields, the Bears can go after the Panthers defense well through the rushing attack and a motivated Moore in the passing game.
Colts over Patriots Minshew is taking hits in the passing game, but he's been helped out by Taylor and Moss running every week while the defense gets better. Jones has been more competent with more diverse weapons and the running game is improving, but he's still missing throws and making a few key mistakes.
Bengals over Texans Stroud is red-hot as a former Ohio State QB. Burrow is also sizzling as a former Ohio State QB. Stroud and the offense hasn't been the same on the road and Cincy has a tough pass defense with its strong CBs and bookend pressure. Burrow picks apart Houston's pass defense inside out.
Saints over Vikings This will be a close one; coinflip. The Saints' offense is finally starting to gel, with some hiccups last week, but they got some big plays from Taysom as well as five turnovers from Bagent to get the win. Dobbs brings the support the Vikings need after losing Cousins, but I think the NOLA defense pressures him enough to make winning this matchup just out of reach.
Steelers over Packers Steelers' defense will be primed to jump on a limited Packers offense with Love still fighting through it. Watt will be ready to tear into Green Bay's O-line and Pittsburgh's run blocking should keep both Harris and Warren hot. Pickett won't need QB heroics here.
Buccaneers over Titans Another coinflip game. If Levis can play like he did against Atlanta, the Titans have a good shot in this one. But this Bucs defense has been legit for most of the season. Baker also has the receivers to give the Titans' corners trouble.
49ers over Jaguars Given that San Fran has to go cross-country on this one, I'm calling this my "upset". Purdy should be sharper from the bye with better weapons around him. Look for the Niners' pass rush to rev up with more help and do enough for Purdy to outduel Lawrence on the road.
Ravens over Browns Probably a low-scoring divisional matchup given these two teams' great defenses. Garrett and crew tend to play much better defense at home; not the case this week. Baltimore brings a nasty pass rush and secondary. Watson still isn't playing well and he'll make too many mistakes under pressure.
Cardinals over Falcons Bird battle. Murray should be back this week. Heinicke and the Falcons offense continues to lose any rushing or passing identity. If Murray plays, the Falcons' defense has proved the past two weeks it doesn't respond well to QB curveballs, either with athleticism or a big arm.
Lions over Chargers The Lions will have their offense at full strength after a bye around Goff and St. Brown. The defense will chase Herbert as L.A. gets too one-dimensional with limited weapons. The Chargers' pass rush will be held in check while St. Brown goes off to lead a big scoring charge.
Cowboys over Giants The Giants have lost Jones and Taylor, leaving them with DeVito and Barkley. That doesn't feel good against Dak and a defense that beat them up 40-0 in the first meeting in Week 1. Dallas will take out its disappointment at Philly by ripping into another, much weaker NFC East rival.
Seahawks over Commanders Commanders go from Washington D.C. to Washington state, hoping to keep playing well on the road with Howell. Seattle is coming back from getting blasted in Baltimore and won't mind a get-well game. Smith plays much better, while Howell gets rattled a few too many times.
Raiders over Jets Jets are coming off a short week to play another AFC West opponent. The Raiders are playing more inspired defense with a tough running game at home under interim coach Pierce, having just ripped into a much worse New York team. The Raiders can hang in there with a run-heavy, physical approach.
Bills over Broncos Ungulate battle. Wilson is playing well and at 3-5, the Broncos were inspired enough to think their offense can put them back in the playoff picture. Denver does have confidence with the defense playing well and just having dusted K.C. before the bye. But Buffalo is ready to bump off a lesser team at home after losing to New England and Cincy.

Byes: Chiefs, Rams, Dolphins, Eagles


Those are my predictions, let's hear yours. Keep it civil and fun. Best of luck!

 

Happy All Saints Day, /r/NFL! I hope everyone had an awesome and safe Halloween with tons of candy. We're into Turkey season now, with the temps getting cooler, fall in full effect, and we're starting the back end of the season. We have a game in Germany this week and it looks like it'll be a good one. The byes are back as well with fours teams off this week, meaning two less games to watch. I had a great Week 8, going 14-2 and bringing me to 79-43 on the season. How did everyone else do? We only have one division game this week with eight inter-conference and six cross-conference games lined up. With the trade deadline over and some shake-ups with certain teams happening, some picks may change based on that. Let's get to it!


Winner Loser Comments
Steelers over Titans With Tannehill out, Levis threw four TDs in Week 8 in a great debut that included three scores for Hopkins. Pittsburgh is 2-2 in home games this season, and Pickett might be out on a short week. That means Trubisky is probably starting. Take the under on a coinflip game.
Chiefs over Dolphins Tua and Mahomes rank first and third, respectively, in passing yards. The Phins have an opportunity to score a major step toward home-field advantage in the AFC with a win here. I just don't see the Chiefs losing back-to-back games. It took Mahomes being sick and pumped full of IVs to lose his first Broncos matchup.
Falcons over Vikings Battle of the backup QBs. Hall replaced Cousins, out for the season with a torn Achilles. Heinicke replaced Ridder in Week 8. The Falcons are 3-1 at home, but they might want to keep tabs on Addison who has five TD catches in his last four games. Both teams turn the ball over too much, so we'll stick with the home team.
Browns over Cardinals Murray is closer to a return for the Cards, who are on a five-game losing streak. They now have to face a tough Cleveland defense. Tune will start if Murray can't go, and Watson remains a week-to-week decision for the Browns. Cleveland is 3-1 at home, but they are 0-2 as a favorite this season. Could be a good, low-scoring garbage game.
Packers over Rams The Packers have been a miserable first-half team, and could lose their third straight at Lambeau. Rypien replaced Stafford for the Rams in Week 8 and they are 2-1 on the road. but I think the Packers break a four-game losing streak with a late TD drive from Love. This game may be trashy, but Green Bay breaks the curse at home this week.
Commanders over Patriots The Patriots rank 31st in the NFL in scoring at 14.8 PPG; a show of just how bad the offense has been this season. Washington has been in a free fall, but Howell's protection was much better in the loss to Philly. The Commanders have allowed 30+ PPG five times, but they are 2-2 on the road. Could be another trashy matchup, being either the lowest scoring game or the highest... take your pick.
Saints over Bears Happy 57th Birthday, Saints! Last week we finally saw what this offense could do, coupled with a defense that has been great all season. With Chicago ranking 30th in pass defense, look for Carr to continue his 50+yard deep ball relationship with Shaheed.
Ravens over Seahawks Bird battle. This is the fourth meeting between Carroll and Harbaugh, and Carroll has a 2-1 advantage. Seattle is 2-1 on the road this season, and Smith has a 93.7 rating with three TDs and two INTs in those games. Jackson has a 71.4% completion percentage with 5 TDs and one interception in a three-game win streak. The Ravens win, but this game will be tight
Texans over Buccaneers Houston is home to face the 6th-ranked Bucs scoring defense. Not an easy challenge for a rookie QB, but Stroud has looked up to the task so far. Houston is also ranked 6th on defense, with 18.3 PPG. This may come down to how much the QB turns over the ball, and Baker is not as good as Stroud.
Colts over Panthers Carolina finally won a game and now every team has won at least one game this season. Indy is stuck in a three-game skid, allowing an average of 38 PPG. The Panthers stay at and Reich is up against his old team, but Carolina allows 139.4 rushing YPG. This could be the Taylor breakout game for this season.
Giants over Raiders Vegas has so much drama going on with them right now. The HC and GM have been fired, Adams hates it there, and they're coming off a short week. Jones is expected to be back this week to hopefully bolster an offense that is last in the league in scoring (11.9 PPG). This will be a low-scoring game, but the team with a HC will win this one.
Eagles over Cowboys The only division game this week, and it's a good one. These teams split in the regular season last year. Philly could take a commanding lead in the division here. Dallas has limited Hurts to an average of 31 rushing yards in his last two starts vs Dallas, but the Cowboys have been an average road team at 2-2 this season. The Eagles haven't lost at home, and they are 4-0 when favored by less than six points.
Bengals over Bills Another great matchup. These two teams have emerged as AFC rivals in recent seasons. Burrow has a 77.9% completion percentage, 8 TDs and two INTs in his last three games. Chase has 31 catches for 372 yards and four TDs in that same stretch. How will Allen and Diggs (with five 100-yard games) counter in this one? Cincy is 15-6 the last three seasons with Burrow. It'll be a shootout with the safe bet being the home team.
Chargers over Jets The Jets continue to find ways to win games. They have one of the best pass defenses in the league, forcing 13 turnovers in their first seven games, the 4th-best in the NFL. But on offense they're averaging just 18 PPG. With a Chargers defense that has been pretty stout against the run and is also consistently forcing turnovers, Herbert will have another follow-on great game from last week.

Byes: Broncos, Lions, 49ers, Jaguars


Those are my predictions, let's hear yours. Keep it civil and fun. Best of luck!

 

We're getting to the over the hump part of the season, /r/NFL, and we're no closer to figuring out half of these teams' identities. Happy Halloween week, everyone! I hope all of you get dressed up in some amazing costumers, get big sized candy, and have a great team win. We had a lot of upsets last week, and I was barely able to predict close to halfway on these games, going 6-7 and bringing me to 65-41 on the season. How did everyone else do? We only have four division games this week with some more cross-conference games lined up. But strangely enough, there are no byes in Week 8, halfway through the season. Let's get to it!


Winner Loser Comments
Bills over Buccaneers Buffalo has off on their offensive performances the past two weeks, especially Allen. He will get charged up here in a matchup that will call for him to pass, pass and pass some more as there's not much point forcing a shaky running game on Tampa. Baker is struggling now with turnovers and being one-dimensional on a short week facing an angry Buffalo defense.
Vikings over Packers I believe the Packers are slightly favored, but they've averaged only 16.7 PPG the past three weeks, scoring just six points in the first half of the last four games. Minnesota's coming of a short week with two road wins and they'll add another one here.
Titans over Falcons Atlanta has been tough to pick this year and it'll continue this week as it's another coin-flip game for a young team on the road, but Tennessee is coming off a bye week. The Titans are 2-0 S/U at home. Atlanta ranks eighth in the NFL in rushing defense, so Tennessee will need to be more than Henry on offense.
Saints over Colts This Super Bowl 44 matchup could be what NOLA needs to right the ship on offense. Indy has four turnovers in back-to-back weeks. While the Saints are considered the underdog here, the defense will contain Taylor and the offense will sputter to a close in, splitting their AFC South games 2-2.
Dolphins over Patriots Belichick got his 300th win last week, and now the Pats head to Miami – where the Dolphins are coming off a loss to Philly. Miami is a different team at home, winning those games by an average of 28.7 PPG. Tua has a 132.3 passer rating at home, too and Miami has won the last three home meetings by 10.7 PPG.
Jets over Giants Since both teams' home is MetLife, neither one really has homefield advantage in this matchup. The Giants are coming off their first win of the season, but the offense still averages 11.2 points in its last five games. Jet's win coming off a bye in a close one.
Cowboys over Rams Dallas had a bye week, and they have been dominant in their two home games; winning by a combined score of 78-3. The Rams are stepping up in their weekly matchups, but Stafford has taken 11 sacks. The Cowboys will be bringing pressure.
Jaguars over Steelers This is a good matchup between two emerging AFC powers. Lawrence is locked in with Etienne and all of his weapons and the Jaguars' defense has been a turnover-forcing machine. Pickett is playing better with more of his key support and Watt is doing major damage for the Steelers' defense. This is really tough to call, but Lawrence's arm and athleticism can help him make more big plays.
Eagles over Commanders Hurts played through a knee injury on SNF, but the Eagles bounced back and head into a rematch with NFC East rival. Philly won a 34-31 thriller on Oct. 1. Washington has lost to the Bears and Giants in two of their last three games. Philly also has won the last two meetings at Washington. The trend will continue.
Texans over Panthers The clash of Young and Stroud will be interesting to watch in their first start against each other. Stroud has led the Texans to victories in three of their last four games, and they are coming off a bye week. The Panthers are winless but also coming off a bye week. Which QB avoids sacks and turnovers? Young has 20 (6 INTs, 14 sacks) and Stroud has 14 (1 INT, 13 sacks) at this point.
Seahawks over Browns Cleveland may be going on the road with either a gimpy Watson or Walker. They've won a battle of attrition against the Niners and a crazy shootout at Indy. But Seattle's settled defense can cause them problems with no consistent passing game. On the flip side, the Browns are leaky enough against the power run that Smith can lean on Walker to grind a win.
Chiefs over Broncos The Chiefs just saw the Broncos two weeks ago and nothing much will change in the rematch, except that Mahomes, Kelce and the offense will execute better with fewer mistakes. The Chiefs' defense continues to dominate and when the Broncos don't stick with running well, they are lost around Wilson.
Ravens over Cardinals The Ravens have allowed 17 points or less in their last four games. Arizona has lost four straight, and they have failed to score more than 20 points. Baltimore is hitting a groove at the right time. Lamar has completed 70% or more of his passes in all but one game this season.
49ers over Bengals Tough pick in this matchup. The Niners are working on a short week and Cincy had a bye week. The key for the Bengals on the road will be generating more out of a running game that only has 69.8 YPG. That will free up Burrow for more. The Bengals defense has also struggled against the run by allowing 142.8 YPG. Burrow can keep this one close. Both teams protect the football well.
Chargers over Bears Are the Bears a different team with rookie QB Bagent? The reason for improvement also is a tough run defense that has allowed just 52.2 rushing yards in its last four games. Chicago has covered in its last two road games, too. The Chargers' season is on the brink, and they cannot afford a third straight loss.
Lions over Raiders The Lions laid a big egg in Baltimore. Their defense went into the tank against the run after dominating all season and they couldn't pressure or cover anyone downfield. But they have an immediate get-well game against a weaker, Raiders team. Goff will rebound with plenty of help from the running game setting up big pass plays, while Hutchinson will go back to leading a much stouter effort on the other side.

Those are my predictions, let's hear yours. Keep it civil and fun. Best of luck!