| Bengals |
over |
Ravens |
Starting off the week with a good one. Baltimore has two home losses this season, and this short week makes this a true toss-up game between division rivals. Jackson is 7-1 against the Bengals as a starter. Burrow could reverse that trend and give us an "upset". As with most good division games, this will be a toss-up. |
| Steelers |
over |
Browns |
So I picked the Browns to win this one and was typing this up literally as news was breaking about Watson's season-ending surgery. Clearly this changes things. Could rookie QB Thompson-Robinson light it up? Maybe, but probably not. |
| Lions |
over |
Bears |
The Bears could get Fields back for this matchup, which may give them a better shot in this division game. Chicago is 1-4 on the road this season, averaging over two turnovers per game. The Bears also allow 298.2 YPG on the road. This could be another huge game for Goff. Detroit is 5-1 as a single-digit favorite. |
| Chargers |
over |
Packers |
Chargers should be able to get the running game against a Packers' defense that has allowed 200-plus rushing yards three times this season. Green Bay is 1-4 in games decided by three points or less. Love has thrown eight of 10 INTs in the second half, so Green Bay may be in trouble if they can't get a big lead early in the game. |
| Dolphins |
over |
Raiders |
Seeing Pierce coach this beleaguered Raiders team to back-to-back wins is a great feel-good story we can all appreciate. But reality is about to hit them with a Dolphins team hosting this matchup. The Raiders average 33 rushing attempts and 149 rushing YPG the last two weeks, but the Dolphins have a decent run defense. Miami pulls away with a two-score lead at home. |
| Commanders |
over |
Giants |
This is going to be one nasty game. The Giants are a mess, but they did beat Washington in Week 7. Howell has taken a league-high 47 sacks, and that has disrupted the Commanders' offense. DeVito has taken 11 sacks in two blowout losses. If Howell can stay upright, he should be able to get a win here. |
| Cowboys |
over |
Panthers |
The Cowboys erupted for 640 total yards against the Giants, and the Panthers had a few extra days after the loss to Chicago. The Panthers average 14.5 PPG at home, which will not be enough against Dallas. I can't see Young outdueling Dak this week. |
| Jaguars |
over |
Titans |
Levis completed 52.5% of his passes over two weeks, and the Titans averaged 11 PPG in those losses. That won’t do on the road against the Jags, who are coming off a sucker punch against San Fran. Jacksonville has a chance to shake it off and get itself right with a solid division win this week. |
| Texans |
over |
Cardinals |
Should be a good matchup of Murray versus Stroud, who is 3-1 at home with a 113.9 passer rating. The Texans might not cover the spread, but Houston keeps the good times rolling. |
| 49ers |
over |
Buccaneers |
San Fran looked different after their bye, with the defense totaling five sacks and 10 QB hits. The pass-rushing combo of Bosa and Young is pretty good. Tampa ranks 31st in the league in rushing offense (78.1). That is going to cost them in this one, even if Baker makes it interesting. |
| Bills |
over |
Jets |
This one may turn out way more wild than previous thought. After the stunner in Week 1, Buffalo is looking for payback. Allen is 6-4 with nine TDs and 10 INTs in 10 starts against the Jets. New York is 4-2 ATS as an underdog because that defense travels well. Bills in a close one. |
| Seahawks |
over |
Rams |
Seattle quietly won three of their last four games, and they are 2-2 on the road. Stafford is still dealing with a UCL injury and if he cannot go it might be Wentz against Seattle. Geno is coming off his best game of the season against Washington and I think he'll continue the trend. |
| Vikings |
over |
Broncos |
My gut is saying upset, but I don't think Denver is there yet. Dobbs does not turn the ball over and Denver still has the worst defense in the league, struggling most against the run. Chandler and Hockenson may be too much for the Broncos to contain, but then again we didn't think Denver could beat K.C. and Buffalo either. |
| Chiefs |
over |
Eagles |
Recap of last year's Super Bowl and possibly a preview of this year's. Tough pick for this one. Hurts has struggled with INTs on the road, where he has a passer rating of 87.8. Mahomes keeps the Chiefs rolling at home with Kelce. This one will come down to the wire again. |