cross-posted from: https://lemmy.ca/post/69219331
Among other things github interaction with projects is analyzed so I think this is relevant to programming too.
open access paper https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.03877
Cross-channel prediction outperforms same-channel pre-
diction for early input-horizon, across all models. This is
consistent with correlations plots in Figure 3 and Figure 2....
...
We establish Lead-Lag Forecasting (LLF) as a formal prediction
problem, motivated by the gap between observed lead-lag dynam-
ics in important domains—including scientific and technological
impact—and popular time series forecasting benchmarks. We cat-
alyze research on LLF by curating and releasing two novel datasets:
arXiv papers and GitHub repositories. We establish lead-lag rela-
tionships in streams of activity data and provide baseline numbers
for several standard supervised machine learning methods on the
task of predicting a 5-year outcome from as little as one month of
observation. While our results demonstrate the existence of predic-
tive signal, we speculate that there are opportunities for innovation
to improve predictions.
Smells like Category Theory to me!
What I love most about Hasan Piker is how incomprehensibly liberals, empty centrists and conservatives absolutely panic when they see his name when in actuality Hasan Piker has very moderate and rationale beliefs.
No, Hasan isn't a moderate according to the definition of a moderate being completely unreflective of how their beliefs and ideals connect to reality, but Hasan is actually very much a moderate in terms of wanting systematic change in the most boring, broadly beneficial and policy focused way possible. In ideology Hasan Piker is a younger Bernie Sanders with a "scary" name. There is nothing "radical" about Hasan Piker's personality or politics when viewed from a rationale perspective, the beliefs of centrists are far more radical given the incredible unexamined hypocrisies at the heart of them.
People talk about Hasan Piker like he is some angry, dangerous man who casually suggests extremist forms of violence and judgement upon others as serious policy suggestions, which is another way to say that people talk about Hasan Piker like he behaves like a conservative.
This could not be further from the truth, Hasan Piker is a humanist, he is not someone like Tucker Carlson who harbors and nurtures ideologies of hate and violence like antisemitism and islamophobia.
If you want proof of this, watch some videos of Hasan Piker talking about Tucker Carlson, they both frequently criticize Israel, if Hasan didn't care about the ethics Tucker Carlson would be a natural and very powerful ally to reach across the isle too, but Hasan correctly identifies Tucker Carlson as an enemy of muslims, jews and collective peace even though he appears to be on "Hasan's side" on one of the topics Hasan is most passionate about.