teawrecks

Unfortunately relevant Desaparecidos song

Technically, she could have lost way more, she just successfully lost both.

But if she starts with 20 pairs, and only loses a sock if she wears it, and only wears matching pairs, and only wears one pair per day, and has ~5% chance of losing exactly one sock on any given wear, then you'd expect her to lose a sock every 20 days, so after ~400 days she would have lost one from every pair.

I guess the real question is how long did it take to reach this point, so we can calculate the odds of her losing a sock on any given day (there's a "sock market" pun in here somewhere, I'm sure....sonks?).

Vance: "I fucking knew it! You guys are assholes!"

So to be clear, you're literally telling me you're driving people toward the MAGA movement as a non-US citizen? Damn, I didn't know Putin's troll farms were allowed to go mask off now, that's confidence.

It's your party, do what you want.

You are right there with neo-liberals as MAGA's most valuable recruiters.

Why would he want his photo in the middle of that text? He's associating himself with negativity, I feel like this is marketing/propaganda 101. It honestly looks like a movie poster where he's the one leaking it.

The only good evidence against it I think is that, according to the article, these satellite images are from March 2024. But, it makes way more sense financially for these El Salvadorian prisons to have their "showroom" of prisoners that is too many for someone from a distance to tally, and meanwhile, cull the overflow so that taking US prisoners is still profitable.

There's a reason we don't hold them ourselves: it costs money. And the only reasons El Salvador would keep them alive is because of a justice system defending their rights, or 3rd parties auditing them for humane conditions. Neither of which are in place for these prisoners afaik.

Sure, maybe these splotches are nothing, but also, I'm fully convinced all the ingredients for a holocaust are there, and if it's ever going to go that far, I'd honestly be surprised if it hasn't already.

Obvious voter suppression is obvious.

It is a fact that there is a pattern termed a "death cross", and it is a fact that Tesla exhibits it.

It is also stated clearly in the article that, in the opinion of the author,

the chart pattern reading kinda strikes me as astrology for guys in suits.

And according to Reuters,

about half the time that a death cross appears, it marks the worst point for the index rather than a harbinger of a steeper decline.

Imagine reading an article before making inflammatory statements about it in 2025.

There is nothing to be gained from assuming your opponent is not acting rationally.

I know it's fun to circle-jerk around these headlines, but it's a misdirection to give lay-people something titter about because it's too difficult to explain what's really happening. His behaviour actually is rational, he's just an idiot.

For Trump's entire life, the US stocks/bonds markets have mapped closely to market greed/fear respectively. When the market gets spooked, they turn to more conservative investments, and US bonds have historically been that. (Government bonds are typically seen as the least risky investment, because it's unlikely that a country falls apart and fails to pay its debts).

Fast forward to today, the US has a bunch of debt that needs refinancing this year, and lately, we haven't been getting good interest rates on our bond sales (which indicates people are seeing US bonds as more risky than usual). So Trump said, "no problem, we just need to instill a bit of fear in the market to drive investors to bonds, which will cause the interest rate to drop, so we can refinance our debt at a better rate." So he announces a bunch of nonsensical tariffs, which tanks the stock market, and just like he expected the bond market saw a dip in interest rates......for about a day, followed by a sharp increase! That sharp increase is why Trump agreed to pause the tariffs. Not only did it not work how he thought, it would seem he exposed a pronounced decline in trust for the US' ability to pay its debts. Instead of running to US bonds, investors ran everywhere else (gold, the Swiss Franc, the Euro, etc.)

I don't know what his next move is, but I have to think he's feeling a bit desperate. He's going to probably try to up his "blame the Democrats for their spending" game, of course without acknowledging that he has also only increased spending (even with all of DOGE's hard fought, and definitely not half-baked, budget cuts).

But all his strategies seem to be overt market manipulation, and nothing else. I feel like it really highlights the difference between someone who can create actual value using intelligent planning and innovation, and someone who is a capitalist leech who has fooled themselves into thinking that buying low and selling high does something useful for someone.