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Whether it should be or not doesn't matter, Trump would see it that way and use it as pretext to actually invade.
Plus we gotta keep escalation options up our sleeve for when he escalates.
The second an American military boot lands on Canadian soil, the USA as we know it will cease to exist. All four borders of their country would be invaded by NATO within a week.
Hell, a good chunk of their own military would revolt, as well as starting a civil war in America.
Not to mention they can't win a war halfway across the country against people who don't look like them or speak their language. You think they can win a war against people who look and talk exactly like them?
I don't think NATO would invade, but you're right about the internal internal issues they would have. There would be orders straight up refused, malicious compliance, and we'd see defections like Russia was having issues with in Ukraine. Soldiers just walking up and surrendering, or getting "captured."
Most of them have no interest in taking over Canada, and there isn't even a clear way to "take over" Canada even if they wanted to. They could take over all of our military bases, and take the primary government institutions and it wouldn't really matter very much. They couldn't effectively control the population that would not go along with that plan.
No. But I think they're dumb as fuck and emotional children who can't stand to lose. I absolutely think they'd try it.