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That’s not the purpose of bail, to determine whether they will or will not reoffend. It is purely a guarantee that the accused will show up for trial. That’s all that’s meant to be. Sadly, in recent decades, it is instead used punitively and very unfairly. If the prosecution successfully convinces a judge that the accused is a danger to society, for example, then they should be held in custody.
Whether the accused is even guilty in the first place is a matter for a jury to decide. Whether they are likely to reoffend is a matter that should be raised during sentencing, but only after a guilty verdict.
And I'm saying cash bail needs to be abolished, and only the criteria I outlined should be considered. I know what cash bail is for, I just reject the concept altogether, as there's no way to make sure it's fair.
A poor person would never make bail (or would need to go into an exploitative loan arrangement), and there's no number you could set for someone with the amount of wealth like Elon Musk that would keep them from fleeing.
First of all, a system of reliable surety must exist, and it must be applied fairly. Currently, as I’ve explained, it is not.
Second, you personal rejection of the concept is irrelevant. We live in a pluralistic society wherein the wishes of the individual must give way to any collective negative effect. A bunch of selfish jerks insisting that their individual “rights” are more important than than the needs of the many is not only morally and ethically bullshit, it undermines the concept of a cooperative, democratic society.
Lastly, for any society to prosper, all needs must be considered in equanimity. If you’re incapable of that, if you’re incapable of looking beyond yourself, you are destructive to society, as it is currently defined.
This is not a country of a bunch of lawless assholes doing whatever they want all the time. And turning this country into that would shortly precede its immediate collapse.
But if getting your way by any means be damned, is so important to you that you realize the cost would be to risk the collapse of western civilization, then I can’t see how that makes you anyone other than terrifyingly psychopathic.
The needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few. Or the one.
Wtf are you talking about, western civilisation doesn't depend on cash bail, most western countries don't have this and they're not lawless dystopian hellholes. A judge can easily determine if someone is likely to abscond or reoffend in an initial hearing, and that's how it's done basically anywhere except the US.
Your argument is so disingenuous, it’s pretty much just a strawman.
I wasn’t talking about or even arguing about any of that. If you have to work so hard to recontextualize and misappropriate, what I said into a completely different argument, just so you can win, then you’re clearly not interested in a good faith discussion.
Best of luck to you.