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Sea levels rise the same everywhere. And not in 10 yrs it won't.
They don't. Rise at the equator is slightly more due to the same reason the Earth bulges at the equator: centripetal force. The already-elevated sea level plays into the gravitational baseline at sea level, so gravity is 0. 5% weaker there than at the poles. The tides are also typically more aggressive at the equator and will only get worse, since it's in the plane of the moon's orbit.
The rules say you're going to be attacked. Surely, the victor will hold the land for decades. Why not try to take it now first before the rest of the planet is desperate?
Okay, fair enough.
I fail to see the distinction. By OPs prompt, we're getting attacked no matter what once his plot armor expires.