Basically, the title
It is a common saying today in nba that scoring 30 pts today is just the same as scoring 20 pts 20 years ago.
Will the sequence and pattern be the same?
20 years from now in 2040s. Is it possible that 40 pts will be the new 20?
I mean, 40 pts game will be a common occurrence in that decade?
In that rate, by 2060-2070. We will see 50 pts game as normal. Scary.
Ofc, there might be more rules towards offense.
For ex: Adding a 4 pt line
It is a dumb idea for most nba fans. But that is the same opinion of 3pt shot back in 80s. So, maybe history will repeat itself.
And for those saying rules might change to favor defense. Well, no. They never gonna do that. Cause A Normal Nba Casual Fans (most of their customers) doesn't want a 60-55 score in a whole basketball game.
So, are we bound to see 40 pts and 50 pts game being normal in the future?
Maybe more 35~38 averages since it kind of started once everyone welcomed the existence/higher usage of the 3 pt line during Steph’s ascension in 2014.
Averaging 40+ is fucking hard which correlates with your idea of 40 points being common place.
Only Wilt, Mike and Kobe (I think Harden did it) averaged 40 for a month. And they are the pinnacle of offense excellence.
But
Defenses and schemes always adjust to curtail new/exuberant offenses over time. So I kind of doubt it.