this post was submitted on 08 Nov 2023
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With QBs that have retired in the last 5 years, there are some interesting HOF debates that I see coming up. Right now the sure-fire HOF guys are Brady, Brees, and Rodgers when he retires. The next tier, however, is a lot more interesting. You have Matt Ryan, Big Ben, and Rivers who are all very close. What's interesting is that according to Pro Football Reference's HOF Monitor, they all have fairly similar scores even though they have different resumes. Ryan has the MVP/All-Pro 1 season which is pretty much required unless you have 2 Super Bowls. Ben doesn't have a crazy MVP season, but he does have those 2 Super Bowls and 17 good years. Then Rivers has some crazy counting stats. I think that Ryan and Roethlisberger have a slight edge over Rivers but it is very hard to separate the 3. So my question is do we think any of them make it? If they do it opens up the debate for a lot of players in the future. Also, how do we think the HOF committee weighs Rings/MVPS/All-Pro teams? The media is always so focused on the rings but looking at the resumes of HOF QBs there are a lot more without rings than there are without All-Pro seasons.

Edit: Here is the PFR Monitor. The average HOF QB has a score of 108. Ryan has a score of 106, Ben has a score of 100, and Rivers is at 98.

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[–] brownjitsu@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

You all better keep that same energy for Ben Roethlesberger that your keeping for Deshaun Watson

[–] _moonbear@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Not that the committee weighs PFR HOF score, but there’s an argument to be made about whether a potential candidate should be better than the average HOF player.

[–] joeyrog88@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

It's going to be very interesting to see how they view some of these volume dudes. I think all the 04 1st rounders get in except for jp losman. I also think Matty ice gets in.

It's all weird though because Donovan McNabb won't get in.

[–] ironhead_mule@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Cumulative stats in an era of increasing stat accumulation should not be a factor, unless you have Marino or Brady type excess. Rivers and Ryan are both very good, but never great QBs and aren’t worthy of HoF IMO.

[–] sprout92@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Putting Ben with the likes of a dude who never won a Super Bowl is kind of...shit almost insulting.

Dude went to 3 and won 2 Super Bowls.

I think he'd be the only multi Super Bowl winning qb to NOT make it if he didn't?

[–] ksyoung17@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Would prefer Ben not getting in. Those super bowls were terrible performances.

That's a guy elevated by the talent around him, not elevating the talent himself.

HOVG in my opinion.

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[–] kander12@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Ben's going in 2nd or 3rd Ballot. He won't go first cause he's an ass. Eli is not quite a lock but is most likely getting in. If Phil makes it in the Hall is a fucking joke and it's discredited. Phil did nothing big his entire career, no wins, trophies or iconic moments.

[–] Sjdillon10@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Ryan and Rivers not winning a chip will keep them out even if i think both have a good case for sneaking in

[–] TRES_fresh@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Ben makes it eventually, Eli is similar to Ben and probably makes it because of the storylines, Ryan doesn't get in (but he would for sure if they won the super bowl, just unlucky for him), rivers doesn't get in either.

I may seemed biased, but if Rivers is in the conversation based on stats alone, then we have to include Romo in the conversation.

IMO, neither did enough to get in. Ben for sure, Matt is a toss up. But I’d lean towards no.

[–] WiseGuyNewTie@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

The HOF doesn’t mean shit anymore. Literally everyone gets in, even if they were just mediocre.

[–] ChicagosOwn1988@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Can you tell the story of the NFL without bringing up X player?

You can’t without talking about Manning, Brady, Brees, Rodgers, Big Ben, etc

You can without talking about Rivers, Ryan, etc

That’s the line.

[–] Hey_look_new@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Roethlisberger has the 2 Superbowl wins, plus a 3rd appearance that would have been a 3rd win if not for Fumbly McSlickFingers

He has the Volume stats overall, most wins as a rookie, lead the lead in passing twice, and iirc, the most 500+ yard games in history

They all should get in. The quarterbacks surrounding them are all HOF. Also with some quarterbacks that don’t belong, but are in, such as Namath or Kelly, only heighten the reason for why those 3 should be in.

[–] _Extrachromosome_@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

How you could mention Arron rogers but not Big Ben is ridiculous. Same caliber. Similar stats. Similar accolades.

[–] brvheart@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Rapists should not be elected to the hall of fame.

[–] tacobell999@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Big Ben is a lock

[–] IAmRSChrisG@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

The real question is how long do we have to wait for the BOAT Blake Bortles to get his bust in Canton.

[–] NatAttack50932@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)
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[–] RandomUserName316@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Ben is a lock and in. The more interesting debate gets when you include Eli. Eli I think has a better chance of getting in than Rivers or Ryan cause of the 2 Super Bowls but week in and out throughout their careers I’m taking Rivers and Ryan as better QBs over Eli

Ben gets in due to the rings. Rivers and Ryan do not. Rivers is basically Tony Romo. Ryan isn’t much higher.

[–] londoncatvet@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

My personal eye test is that only Big Ben belongs among those 3.

[–] thy_armageddon@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Two-ring soup.

[–] MildlyDepressed346@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Big Ben feels like a lock, I’d lean no for Ryan and Rivers

[–] TheIcy_One@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

No chance on Rivers or Ryan. Ben, Rodgers, Brady, Brees, Manning are obvious.

[–] Philyeagles710@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

I’d say Ben gets in. Ryan and Rivers I don’t think make it.

[–] TheDoomBlade13@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Is Brees really a shoe in with no MVPs and only 1 ring?

[–] LivingxLegend8@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

This thread is nerdy as fuck.

Yall don’t know shit about football.

[–] Head-Editor-905@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

I’m fine if people don’t think Ryan will get in, just always blows my mind if that same person thinks rivers is more likely. His career is really close to just “matt Ryan with no Super Bowl appearance, one less championship appearance, and no mvp or all pro”.

[–] Gavorn@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

How is big ben not a sure fire HoFer? He has two rings and put up great statistics.

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[–] Reduak@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Big Ben yes... Ryan and Rivers... not a chance.

It's the "Hall of FAME," not the "Hall of BETTER THAN AVERAGE."

The real question is, does Eli get in??

[–] Radumami@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Big Ben shouldn't be in the hall of fame simply bc he's a rapist.

[–] plantasia2000@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

This Eli slander shall not stand.

[–] Taserface585@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Matt Ryan. Absolutely not. With that SB win, probably

Big Ben: Absolutely will with the 2 SB

Rivers: Hall of Very Good. On the fence but lack of accolades keeps him out.

[–] The1andonlyZack@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)
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[–] SerDire@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Ben is a lock. Matt Ryan will take some time but I feel like he’ll make it eventually. That MVP greatly helps push him over the line, I feel like

[–] datcheezeburger1@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

I think Big Ben is the line between getting in and not, if you aren’t above him you won’t make it. You didn’t mention Eli but I think he’s more likely than Rivers tbh.

[–] mideon2000@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

This game has been around for over 100 years. If you have a resume like the guys in the second tier, you absolutely need to be in. Passing happy era or not. To stay healthy and productive for that long is amazing.

[–] endol@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Ben is absolutely getting in with 2 rings and 3 appearances on his resume, alongside all the individual accolades. Ryan and Rivers have the volume stats but were unfortunately just overshadowed by their contemporaries.

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[–] sliccricc83@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Where is Stafford ranked?

[–] DionBae_Johnson@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Obviously some bias, but I think Ben makes it in and the other two don't. The two rings ALONG with the 17 years of good to great play I think puts him over the other two, and even then Ben isn't a lock like the players above him.

It wouldn't be CRAZY if one of the other two made it in, but I wouldn't place any bets on it.

[–] GamingTatertot@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Big Ben will likely make it because of the two Super Bowls. But it won't be first-ballot

Matt Ryan has the next best chance out of those three, but MVP and Super Bowl appearance doesn't guarantee Hall of Fame - see Rich Gannon, Boomer Esiason, and Ken Anderson. Now granted, it seems Ken Anderson is on a path to get in as per Senior Committee so Matt Ryan could possibly do the same.

Philip Rivers, who I think was great, is probably last in the list. The lack of any Super Bowl appearance is likely his biggest obstacle. Other QBs who didn't make the Super Bowl still had other major achievements to their name, such as Dan Fouts (OPOTY, All-Pros) or Warren Moon (OPOTY, 2nd team All-Pro),

[–] GiddyUp18@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Ben will definitely be first ballot. There is no one else eligible right now that would be voted him ahead of him.

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[–] Aerolithe_Lion@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Brady - yes

Rodgers - yes

Brees - yes

Roethlisberger - yes

Manning #3 - yes

Rivers - 50/50, but probably eventually yes

Ryan - no

Mcnabb - no

Romo - no

Smith - no

Wilson - 50/50, but probably eventually yes

Luck - no

Cousins - no

Stafford - unlikely but plausible

[–] YourWorstNightmare9@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (6 children)

Eli Manning lol. It’s funny because Eli has TWO rings and TWO SB MVPs, while being top 10 in most counting stats of all time and is seen as only a borderline case for the HOF like Rivers and Ryan, while Big Ben has 2 SB rings with no SB MVPs and is seen as a lock for the HOF.

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