this post was submitted on 01 Dec 2023
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Israeli officials obtained Hamas’s battle plan for the Oct. 7 terrorist attack more than a year before it happened, documents, emails and interviews show. But Israeli military and intelligence officials dismissed the plan as aspirational, considering it too difficult for Hamas to carry out.

Archive: https://archive.is/WYXwd

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[–] Ab_intra@lemmy.world 78 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (2 children)

I've always had the feeling like this is something Netanyahu and his cabinet wanted. It seems to me that they thought in their screwed up minds it would benefit them somehow.

To read this article use archive.ph. I can't post direct link as it's against this instances rules.

[–] protist@mander.xyz 49 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (1 children)

It's well established that Netanyahu undermines moderate Palestinian leadership through legitimizing radical Palestinian leadership, aka Hamas. Netanyahu engaging in diplomatic relations with Hamas in Gaza while ignoring good faith overtures from the Palestinian Authority in the West Bank is par for the course. As long as he can keep Hamas in power, he thinks he can more effectively justify Israel's ethnic cleansing of the Palestinian people

[–] Ab_intra@lemmy.world 8 points 10 months ago (4 children)

There is one thing doing that.. And another thing of letting Hamas kill 1000 Israelis.

[–] protist@mander.xyz 18 points 10 months ago

It's all the same thing to Netanyahu, just further justification for violence. Netanyahu very blatantly does not actually care about Israeli lives, only how events impact his ability to retain power

[–] Altofaltception@lemmy.world 3 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

Hamas killing 1000 Israelis unifies the country in a way that a weak Palestinian Authority doesn't.

[–] orrk@lemmy.world 3 points 10 months ago

can't make an omelet without breaking a few eggs

[–] ThatWeirdGuy1001@lemmy.world 2 points 10 months ago

I mean think about it for a second.

You're a bully. You want to kill some kid but you can't just outright kill him. So you've been bullying this kid for years building up his frustrations and you know he's gonna break soon. He finally snaps and tries to fight back. You use this opportunity to kill him and then publicly declare self defense.

Seems pretty cut and dry for a piece of shit bully.

[–] Cockmaster6000@sh.itjust.works 26 points 10 months ago

Netanyahu's policy has been to bolster Hamas. It's not even a secret, he said as much himself.

[–] breakfastmtn@lemmy.ca 42 points 10 months ago (1 children)

The approximately 40-page document, which the Israeli authorities code-named “Jericho Wall,” outlined, point by point, exactly the kind of devastating invasion that led to the deaths of about 1,200 people.

Hamas followed the blueprint with shocking precision.

Then, in July, just three months before the attacks, a veteran analyst with Unit 8200, Israel’s signals intelligence agency, warned that Hamas had conducted an intense, daylong training exercise that appeared similar to what was outlined in the blueprint. . . . But a colonel in the Gaza division brushed off her concerns, according to encrypted emails viewed by The Times.

This is some crazy shit in here.

[–] FuglyDuck@lemmy.world 7 points 10 months ago (4 children)

The question: is the incompetence willful?

[–] PapstJL4U@lemmy.world 6 points 10 months ago

Its hubris. Not the first army to do so in the last 24 month. Despite advance in technology and sources, intelligence security seems to not be easy.

[–] Nougat@kbin.social 5 points 10 months ago

If not, the willfullness is incompetent.

[–] Monument@lemmy.sdf.org 5 points 10 months ago (1 children)

There’s got to be a corollary to Hanlon’s Razor that applies to politics:

Always attribute to malice that which cannot be more easily explained by incompetence.

[–] lolcatnip@reddthat.com 0 points 10 months ago

That's a much, much better aphorism than Hanlon's razor.

[–] killeronthecorner@lemmy.world 1 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Unless they can demonstrate that they took measures to react to this intelligence, it has to be willful doesn't it?

[–] FuglyDuck@lemmy.world 5 points 10 months ago (2 children)

Not necessarily. it's possible it was straight up incompetence.

That said, I'm extremely skeptical of that, because frankly, the powers that be really, really, wanted this war.

[–] somethingsnappy@lemmy.world 2 points 10 months ago

They (Israel) can't claim they didn't know where Hamas cells were hiding before the attack, and somehow know where they are after the attack. That is why the response is total bullshit. If they knew where to strike beforehand, they would have done it. It's all a power play at the cost of many lives on both sides.

[–] killeronthecorner@lemmy.world 1 points 10 months ago

Incompetently taking measures is still taking measures, but I see what you mean.

Incompetently attempting measures and then covering up their failure would be tantamount to having willfully ignored it.

[–] Dagnet@lemmy.world 34 points 10 months ago (2 children)

Always felt like they wanted an excuse to invade and decimate the Palestinians, maybe they did nothing so they would have the excuse

[–] ipkpjersi@lemmy.ml 8 points 10 months ago

That's honestly what I'm thinking and holy shit that's horrible if true, which it seems like it just might be.

[–] Something_Complex@lemmy.world 5 points 10 months ago

I mean if I wanted to do it, bombing the entire city to rubble would help, so you can just swoop in built your shit and pretend it never happened

[–] Rottcodd@lemmy.world 20 points 10 months ago

I suspect this is damage control - that Israel can no longer pretend that they didn't know in advance, so they have to pretend that the failure to act to prevent the attack was a mistake, rather than a considered decision made specifically so that Hamas would provide them with an excuse to invade and occupy Gaza.

[–] fosforus@sopuli.xyz 20 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago)

I listen to many defenders of Israel, podcasts and such. Each and every one of them mentions at some point how bad Netanjahu's government is and how Israel's intelligence community failed on and before Oct. 7.

That said, I think it would be useful context to know how many similar warnings go through the system typically? The terrorists have the privilege of failing many times if they succeed just once. The defenders against terrorism have to get it right every single time.

[–] ours@lemmy.world 19 points 10 months ago (1 children)

So much for "never again" after the Yom Kippur war.

Bibi asleep at the wheel, or, more likely, turning a blind eye to a deadly disaster to turn it into an "opportunity".

[–] jonne@infosec.pub 17 points 10 months ago

They said 'never again' about genocides as well, and yet they sent weapons to Azerbaijan to move Armenians off their land, and now they're doing the same to Palestinians.

[–] Scrof@sopuli.xyz 17 points 10 months ago (1 children)
[–] ladicius@lemmy.world 10 points 10 months ago (1 children)

He's not. He'll silence all critics with his constant battle cries and continue to create endless chaos so he is not the focus.

Hamas did him a favour, and he uses it.

[–] breakfastmtn@lemmy.ca 11 points 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) (1 children)

What are you basing that on?

In the latest election polls, Netanyahu is being absolutely destroyed by Benny Gantz. Public trust in Netanyahu is currently sitting at 4%. I can't see battle cries mattering when 96% of the population want him to shut the fuck up.

Gantz is a moderate on Palestine and backs both strengthening the PA and a two state solution. None of this sounds like victory for Netanyahu. His career is over, his legacy is irreparably tarnished, and his political enemies are going to come to power.

[–] ladicius@lemmy.world 3 points 10 months ago

I base that on voters choices not in polls but in elections - the clowns, the idiots, even the murderers are being constantly elected and reelected, very often by those who suffer the most from those dumb politics. You see it everywhere. I'm completely baffled by this - human nature really has some shitty effects.

I however hope you are right, and that the Israeli people will do the right thing. I will believe it when I see it. I don't believe it now.

[–] ubermeisters@lemmy.world 16 points 10 months ago

https://web.archive.org/web/20231201023523/https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/30/world/middleeast/israel-hamas-attack-intelligence.html/


This is a summary of the article contents:

  • Hamas's attack plan: The article reveals that Israel had obtained a detailed document of Hamas's plan to invade Israel from Gaza more than a year before it happened on Oct. 7, 2023. The plan, code-named "Jericho Wall", described a surprise attack with rockets, drones and gunmen that aimed to overwhelm Israeli defenses and take over military bases and cities.
  • Israel's intelligence failure: The article shows that Israel dismissed the plan as unrealistic and ignored the warnings from some analysts who noticed Hamas's preparations and capabilities. Israel also misread Hamas's intentions and did not take the threat seriously¹[1]. The article compares this failure to the 1973 war and the 9/11 attacks in the United States.
  • The consequences of the attack: The article reports that the attack was the deadliest day in Israel's history, killing about 1,200 people²[2]. Hamas followed the plan with shocking precision, breaking through the border fence, storming the Re'im base and other targets, and taking hostages³[3]. The article says that the attack was a major blow to Israel's security and morale, and that the government is expected to form a commission to investigate the events.

Source: Conversation with Bing, 11/30/2023

[–] donuts@kbin.social 9 points 10 months ago

Netenyahu, security mastermind.

[–] be_excellent_to_each_other@kbin.social 8 points 10 months ago (1 children)

This thread about Israel and Hamas is almost 12 hours old and Downpunxx hasn't shown up yet. That's odd.

[–] lolcatnip@reddthat.com 2 points 10 months ago

I've blocked a lot of people, but few are obnoxious enough that I recognize their names.

[–] Rapidcreek@reddthat.com 7 points 10 months ago

Why is it I keep thinking....

Bin Laden Determined To Strike In US

If Bibi wasn't screwed before, he sure is now and W should have been then.

[–] Sir_Kevin@lemmy.dbzer0.com 6 points 10 months ago

They're using Uncle Sam's playbook which was undoubtedly gifted to them by the US itself. There is so much profit to be made afterall.

[–] masquenox@lemmy.world 2 points 10 months ago

Ugh... the "Roosevelt knew about Pearl Harbor" types are going to go crazy about this - I suppose it's simply too much to understand that the Israelis aren't the supersoldiers their propaganda makes them out to be.

[–] HeyThisIsntTheYMCA@lemmy.world 2 points 10 months ago

Sending this to my wife. Called it on Oct 8.

[–] Meowoem@sh.itjust.works -4 points 10 months ago (1 children)

What were they supposed to do with the knowledge Hamas has lots of plans to attack them? Build a wall with a highly advanced defensive systems to try and stop them? Oh, right...

If I told you a year ago that I plan to punch you in the face then is it your fault when I do it?

Hamas loudly say they plan to kill all Jewish people in Israel, when Israel takes measures to prevent that everyone says they're the bad guy - now people are blaming them for not taking enough measures? It makes only one sense, that is if you assume the people saying it don't care about anything beside hating Israel.

[–] breakfastmtn@lemmy.ca 6 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Uh.. they acquired detailed plans about this attack that they just declared impossible then they received info from veteran intelligence officers that Hamas was actively preparing for the attack they said was impossible. After receiving those warnings, and also the previously disclosed warnings from Egypt, they left the area the plan said was the point of attack completely undefended. There doesn't seem to have been any contingency plan in place to deal with this if this if it turned out to be true. It doesn't seem unfair to say that this was an enormous intelligence and security failure.

[–] Meowoem@sh.itjust.works 0 points 10 months ago

They only have limited resources and were using those to defend areas where Hamas were actively attacking. If they'd put all their troops to defend mostly empty desert then the weakspot would have been somewhere else and they'd have targeted their attack at that weakspot instead.

War isn't easy, certainly not against well funded terrorist organisations. I'm sure the IDF knew of hundreds of potential attacks and plans that Hamas wanted to carry out, knowing what they'll actually do and when is an impossible feat - I bet they're weren't many in Hamas itself that had any idea what was going to happen, even Iran who trains and funds them appeared surprised.