Even if it doesn't pass, it'll push voters to the polls. No idea if it's enough for Biden to win Florida, but it's a pretty big boost. Trump's margin in 2020 was 371,686 with 77% turnout, which compares to 74.5% turnout in 2016. Ohio's turnout for Issue 1 was 49.6% in an off-year election, compared to 74% in 2020. These ballot measures are extremely motivating for abortion rights supporters in a way that they simply aren't for pro-birthers.
this post was submitted on 05 Jan 2024
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The kicker is any ballot initiative in Florida needs 60% to pass. It’s tyranny of the minority, but in a twisted way that works in Democrats favor this year.
There’s no doubt in my mind they’ll be a spillover from this to the presidential and senate races, where a simple majority or plurality wins the day. I can see a situation where abortion passes due to a huge push by Democrats and both Trump and Scott get swept out of the state in the 60%.
At least that's the plan.
That is one of favorite TV shows, actor and quotes. But, it's not like Florida Republicans don't know that already.
But did God know?
Abortion and weed refrendums are out best hope this November
I hope it drives voters to the polls. If the Rs keep their statehouse majority, however, it'll suffer the same fate as their voting rights for felons thing.
20,000 surplus signatures when your threshold is apparently 890,000 is a razor thin margin. Unless they're already been certified, a bunch of those signatures are going to be thrown out. They always are.
Has any kind of abortion measure even won 50% of a vote in any state recently?
Kansas Kentucky Michigan California and I think Ohio.
Ah sorry I meant has any """"pro-life"""" measure gotten over 50%
Don't you mean forced birth measure?
but a challenge by the state's attorney general could still block it.
So that means there will be a challenge and then it will be delayed enough to not get on the ballot. And if it actually passes, Republicans will interpret it to mean something it clearly does not.