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Traders placed over $1bn in perfectly timed bets on the Iran war. What is going on?
(www.theguardian.com)
Maybe we deserve to go extinct
this post was submitted on 18 Apr 2026
383 points (99.5% liked)
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Make all payouts over $1000 fully public record. Period. There should be ZERO anonymity for anyone who profits from this.
People betting on shit like this are dumber than doorknobs. Signing up to getting robbed voluntarily. Gambling in general is stupid but this is especially stupid.
It isn't gambling if you know what the outcome is going to be.
If the people betting on these polymarket shares were in a casino, they would have been escorted out long ago.
capitalism. this is just the owning classes playing games.
Corruption at its best!
This entire administration needs to go to prison.
What do you mean "What is going on?". It's Capitalism at it's best, converting peoples missery into proffit. In USA they found the way to convert peoples stupidity into profit. When you calculate how many idiots are living in USA profits are huge. For that Donald Trump deserve Nobel Prize in Economics.
USA is profiting off of fake wars for half a century is what's going on?
Trump is just making it blatantly obvious because nobody ever tried to hold them accountable before.
Traders placed over $1bn in perfectly timed bets on the Iran war.
It's spelled "traitors"
Traders placed over $1bn in perfectly timed bets on the ~~Iran~~ traitors war.
Happy now?
Traders placed over $1bn in perfectly timed ~~bets~~ traitors on the Iran war.
FTFY
Traders placed over $1bn traitors' perfectly timed bets on the Iran war.
FTFY
traitors traitors traitors traitors traitors
Am I doing this right?
traitors traitors buffalo buffalo buffalo traitors
Kind of funny that it was comparatively peanuts on polymarket and then 1 billion on oil futures and everybody is talking about the prediction markets. Especially kalshi who are mostly just catching strays here. It's hard to even find anybody pointing at specific suspicious trades on kalshi when they do KYC and ban people they catch insider trading.
Prediction markets are the insider trader's wet dream. Enjoy while it's unregulated and offshore!
Pretty easy to guess what's goimg on.
"we built a public gambling app that you can gamble on anything with that has little to no guardrails" "why are people using our gambling app for insider trading a war????"
Whats going on? It is called treason and Market manipulation.
"WhAt Is GoInG oN???¿‽"
Followed by that article. Horrific journalism.
"is the constant and obvious corruption exactly as it seems? Read more to find out. Also Kraft Mac and cheese is $2.99 at Walmart this weekend!"
Say what? Is kraft past its date still good? At least milk and butter is still cheap....right?
I figure if it's a dry powder, it should be good.
So Iran can watch the betting markets for signals of imminent attacks
A lot of these trades were timed to occur very close to the fact. It would be easier to just characterize this administration as prone to occasional random behaviours and sudden movements. Like an angry little monkey.
And Kalshi and Polymarket don't care because they make money regardless. But this is a national security threat. Other countries just need to check the odds and who is betting and can get free and easy intelligence
We’re so fucking stupid, man.
Disgusting.