jfgiv

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With the Broncos @ Texans being flex to Noon. Will Texans be the first team to play in one time slot for an entire season? in c/nfl@nfl.community
[–] jfgiv@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago (1 children)

Weird. Both the Browns and Bills played all their games at 1:00 that year...something that hasn't happened in any of the other years from 2000 - 2022

With the Broncos @ Texans being flex to Noon. Will Texans be the first team to play in one time slot for an entire season? in c/nfl@nfl.community
[–] jfgiv@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago

Nope, both the Bills and the Browns played their entire 2010 campaigns at 1:00pm

Taking all the data for the last 12 seasons, not a single team has a positive rushing EPA. Do we need to readjust how we use EPA? Is this causing too many pass happy teams this season? in c/nfl@nfl.community
[–] jfgiv@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago

how is EPA currently calculated

Explain how the Saints will operate next year with their cap situation. in c/nfl@nfl.community
[–] jfgiv@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago

they'll restructure

edit: by my quick back-of-the-napkin math, they can clear up to $103,327,015 worth of space by restructuring the contracts they have on the books. they can also clear $34.293,164 through cuts.

[OC] QBs are the youngest they've been in the last quarter century: Average QB Age plotted since 1999 in c/nfl@nfl.community
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[OC] QBs are the youngest they've been in the last quarter century: Average QB Age plotted since 1999 (alien.top)
 
Has anyone else found themselves enjoying watching football much less than years prior due to the number of penalties? in c/nfl@nfl.community
[–] jfgiv@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago

really hasn't been that pronounced even in the usual suspects of "game's gotten soft":

Season Defensive Pass Interference Defensive Holding Roughing the Passer Unnecessary Roughness
1999 1.09 0.50 0.27 0.56
2000 1.01 0.63 0.30 0.48
2001 0.88 0.42 0.31 0.34
2002 0.93 0.49 0.39 0.50
2003 0.86 0.59 0.42 0.55
2004 0.69 0.57 0.50 0.43
2005 0.78 0.77 0.45 0.42
2006 0.64 0.50 0.37 0.52
2007 0.57 0.32 0.23 0.48
2008 0.61 0.49 0.22 0.60
2009 0.69 0.41 0.26 0.52
2010 0.76 0.39 0.34 0.64
2011 0.80 0.48 0.39 0.74
2012 0.95 0.56 0.36 0.85
2013 0.94 0.67 0.35 1.06
2014 0.80 0.84 0.39 0.82
2015 0.90 0.85 0.39 0.89
2016 1.09 0.80 0.33 0.76
2017 1.04 0.93 0.41 0.78
2018 0.93 0.93 0.45 0.80
2019 1.05 0.95 0.52 0.61
2020 1.20 0.66 0.48 0.63
2021 1.10 0.57 0.55 0.59
2022 0.83 0.77 0.34 0.57
2023 1.09 0.74 0.43 0.65

We're talking about an extra defensive holding every five games. an extra roughing the passer every eight.

Has anyone else found themselves enjoying watching football much less than years prior due to the number of penalties? in c/nfl@nfl.community
[–] jfgiv@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago

Sure, I’ll do that for you in a few hours

I will say that the share of first downs achieved by penalty is similarly pretty stable

edit: busy as hell, and hitting the character limit so i'll split into increases and decreases, but here you go, sorted by highest increase to smallest increase (decreases in child comment)

penalty_type 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Slope r^2
Neutral Zone Infraction 0.59% 0.52% 0.85% 0.94% 1.26% 1.08% 0.81% 1.18% 1.51% 1.57% 1.79% 2.29% 3.62% 3.55% 3.90% 3.52% 4.64% 3.41% 3.69% 4.16% 4.70% 5.36% 3.52% 2.71% 3.08% +0.17% 0.7198
Defensive Holding 3.83% 5.05% 3.71% 3.80% 4.53% 4.13% 5.33% 4.21% 2.84% 4.36% 3.47% 3.26% 3.77% 4.49% 5.47% 6.39% 6.14% 6.00% 6.94% 6.95% 7.08% 5.85% 4.86% 6.93% 6.00% +0.12% 0.4888
Unnecessary Roughness 4.33% 3.84% 3.00% 3.92% 4.26% 3.14% 2.88% 4.41% 4.24% 5.33% 4.43% 5.26% 5.78% 6.79% 8.70% 6.21% 6.47% 5.68% 5.83% 5.99% 4.52% 5.57% 4.98% 5.11% 5.29% +0.10% 0.3082
Defensive Pass Interference 8.35% 8.08% 7.73% 7.23% 6.63% 5.01% 5.36% 5.36% 5.03% 5.47% 5.85% 6.27% 6.24% 7.57% 7.68% 6.09% 6.53% 8.12% 7.82% 6.89% 7.80% 10.72% 9.34% 7.39% 8.86% +0.08% 0.1901
Defensive Too Many Men on Field 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 1.22% 0.87% 1.08% 1.09% 1.35% 1.03% +0.05% 0.5435
Roughing the Passer 2.06% 2.41% 2.72% 3.04% 3.21% 3.62% 3.12% 3.13% 1.98% 1.99% 2.18% 2.78% 3.04% 2.90% 2.85% 2.93% 2.86% 2.47% 3.10% 3.31% 3.89% 4.25% 4.64% 3.00% 3.51% +0.05% 0.284
Ineligible Downfield Pass 0.44% 0.68% 0.42% 0.40% 0.48% 0.34% 0.38% 0.20% 0.79% 0.80% 0.89% 0.23% 0.30% 0.16% 0.29% 0.71% 0.48% 0.58% 0.41% 0.46% 1.10% 0.77% 1.34% 2.77% 1.89% +0.04% 0.3182
Offensive Holding 19.54% 20.10% 18.36% 19.73% 20.05% 17.10% 18.87% 15.56% 16.87% 16.38% 17.75% 19.57% 18.35% 19.63% 18.08% 18.57% 20.21% 20.41% 19.41% 20.69% 20.85% 15.98% 20.42% 19.60% 18.64% +0.04% 0.0353
Illegal Formation 0.69% 1.08% 1.20% 0.88% 0.39% 1.50% 1.48% 1.51% 1.61% 1.99% 1.85% 2.00% 1.46% 1.25% 1.89% 1.24% 1.67% 1.89% 1.32% 2.09% 1.83% 1.64% 2.02% 1.62% 1.94% +0.04% 0.4155
Illegal Use of Hands 1.99% 2.77% 1.73% 2.13% 2.16% 1.61% 1.64% 1.55% 0.72% 0.98% 1.22% 1.26% 2.22% 2.49% 2.37% 4.85% 3.31% 2.59% 3.16% 2.06% 2.78% 1.67% 2.33% 1.81% 1.89% +0.03% 0.0643
Horse Collar Tackle 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.74% 0.88% 0.75% 0.96% 0.50% 0.37% 0.58% 0.61% 0.41% 0.55% 0.73% 0.50% 0.33% 0.32% +0.03% 0.4132
Offensive Pass Interference 2.46% 2.12% 2.15% 1.43% 2.04% 1.73% 1.88% 2.01% 1.75% 2.23% 2.48% 2.26% 2.07% 2.37% 1.95% 3.02% 2.91% 2.56% 3.37% 2.47% 2.84% 2.16% 2.43% 2.01% 2.16% +0.03% 0.1939
Illegal Blindside Block 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.17% 0.06% 0.06% 0.28% 0.10% 0.33% 0.28% 0.09% 0.32% 0.20% 0.87% 0.49% 0.34% 0.36% 0.43% +0.02% 0.6034
Illegal Shift 0.72% 0.36% 0.49% 0.64% 0.48% 0.68% 0.57% 0.66% 0.89% 0.49% 0.66% 0.61% 0.76% 0.56% 0.83% 0.50% 0.93% 0.96% 0.67% 1.28% 1.16% 0.80% 0.78% 0.89% 1.13% +0.02% 0.4566
Lowering the Head to Initiate Contact 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.49% 0.84% 1.18% 0.34% 0.00% 0.00% +0.02% 0.2114
Delay of Game 4.67% 4.37% 3.88% 3.53% 3.27% 3.45% 3.55% 3.03% 5.48% 4.71% 4.17% 4.43% 3.83% 3.99% 4.54% 4.14% 4.10% 4.05% 3.66% 3.31% 3.51% 4.14% 5.01% 5.21% 4.48% +0.02% 0.0459
Offensive Too Many Men on Field 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.06% 0.17% 0.38% 0.28% 0.28% 0.53% 0.22% +0.01% 0.5038
Disqualification 0.09% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.09% 0.08% 0.00% 0.03% 0.03% 0.03% 0.10% 0.10% 0.24% 0.09% 0.13% 0.12% 0.06% 0.17% 0.18% 0.26% 0.32% 0.59% 0.12% 0.26% 0.32% +0.01% 0.5134
Player Out of Bounds on Kick 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 0.20% 0.15% 0.28% 0.19% 0.40% 0.22% +0.01% 0.518
Taunting 0.03% 0.16% 0.49% 0.79% 0.81% 1.13% 0.27% 0.72% 0.31% 0.31% 0.23% 0.26% 0.40% 0.19% 0.90% 0.71% 0.71% 0.90% 0.50% 0.70% 0.26% 0.35% 1.34% 0.56% 0.49% +0.01% 0.0529
Illegal Double-Team Block 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.46% 0.38% 0.31% 0.07% 0.05% +0.01% 0.2603
Low Block 0.09% 0.13% 0.04% 0.03% 0.18% 0.34% 0.19% 0.07% 0.24% 0.35% 0.23% 0.19% 0.15% 0.28% 0.22% 0.18% 0.11% 0.06% 0.15% 0.06% 0.03% 0.00% 0.50% 0.40% 0.27% +0.00% 0.0494
Unsportsmanlike Conduct 1.56% 1.01% 1.06% 1.16% 0.57% 0.79% 0.81% 1.84% 1.64% 1.57% 1.55% 1.36% 1.67% 1.12% 1.50% 1.83% 1.92% 1.86% 1.99% 1.39% 0.90% 0.84% 0.96% 1.06% 0.92% +0.00% 0.004
Leverage 0.06% 0.03% 0.18% 0.12% 0.06% 0.11% 0.03% 0.03% 0.07% 0.07% 0.00% 0.06% 0.09% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 0.35% 0.29% 0.17% 0.03% 0.03% 0.16% 0.07% 0.22% +0.00% 0.0655
Kick Catch Interference 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.15% 0.17% 0.03% 0.06% 0.00% 0.05% +0.00% 0.2427
Lowering the Head to Make Forcible Contact 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.27% +0.00% 0.1154
Roughing the Kicker 0.06% 0.10% 0.18% 0.24% 0.18% 0.14% 0.11% 0.23% 0.21% 0.10% 0.07% 0.10% 0.24% 0.19% 0.10% 0.18% 0.06% 0.35% 0.03% 0.23% 0.23% 0.24% 0.28% 0.16% 0.05% +0.00% 0.0321
Player Out of Bounds on Punt 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.15% 0.08% 0.16% 0.03% 0.17% 0.07% 0.17% 0.19% 0.40% 0.56% 0.45% 0.24% 0.34% 0.17% 0.26% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% +0.00% 0.0033
Illegal Peelback 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 0.03% 0.00% 0.13% 0.00% 0.03% 0.00% 0.09% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.05% +0.00% 0.0716
Delay of Kickoff 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 0.00% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.07% 0.00% +0.00% 0.0848
Illegal Wedge 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.16% 0.00% 0.06% 0.00% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 0.00% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% +0.00% 0.0068
Illegal Kick/Kicking Loose Ball 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 0.00% +0.00% 0.097
Leaping 0.06% 0.00% 0.00% 0.03% 0.03% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.06% 0.03% 0.00% 0.00% 0.11% 0.09% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.05% +0.00% 0.0004
Has anyone else found themselves enjoying watching football much less than years prior due to the number of penalties? in c/nfl@nfl.community
[–] jfgiv@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago

bigggest takeaway for me: false start and defensive offside way down, dpi (and arguably defensive holding) up moderately, the rest holding steady at <5% of penalties called

fouls as share of total penalties by season

Has anyone else found themselves enjoying watching football much less than years prior due to the number of penalties? in c/nfl@nfl.community
[–] jfgiv@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago (3 children)

Sure, I’ll do that for you in a few hours

Every Single One of the Chargers' 98 (100) One-Score Games Since 2014 in c/nfl@nfl.community
[–] jfgiv@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

if anyone's curious how the rest of the league stacks up in that timeframe, here you go

team regular_season regular_season post_season total reg_season_record post_season_record combined_record
PIT 95 95 4 99 63-30-2 (0.674) 2-2 (.500) 65-32-2 (.667)
MIA 72 72 1 73 45-27 (0.625) 0-1 (.000) 45-28 (.616)
KC 84 84 10 94 52-32 (0.619) 5-5 (.500) 57-37 (.606)
GB 78 78 7 85 46-31-1 (0.596) 3-4 (.429) 49-35-1 (.582)
MIN 84 84 4 88 48-35-1 (0.577) 2-2 (.500) 50-37-1 (.574)
LV/OAK 89 89 1 90 51-38 (0.573) 0-1 (.000) 51-39 (.567)
DAL 70 70 7 77 40-30 (0.571) 2-5 (.286) 42-35 (.545)
NE 66 66 9 75 37-29 (0.561) 6-3 (.667) 43-32 (.573)
PHI 80 80 6 86 43-36-1 (0.544) 3-3 (.500) 46-39-1 (.541)
SEA 88 88 7 95 47-40-1 (0.54) 3-4 (.429) 50-44-1 (.532)
WAS 76 76 1 77 40-34-2 (0.539) 0-1 (.000) 40-35-2 (.532)
LA/STL 70 70 5 75 37-33 (0.529) 5-0 (1.000) 42-33 (.560)
NO 81 81 5 86 42-39 (0.519) 2-3 (.400) 44-42 (.512)
TEN 82 82 4 86 42-40 (0.512) 2-2 (.500) 44-42 (.512)
IND 86 86 1 87 43-42-1 (0.506) 0-1 (.000) 43-43-1 (.500)
BUF 74 74 5 79 36-38 (0.486) 2-3 (.400) 38-41 (.481)
ARI 72 72 1 73 34-36-2 (0.486) 1-0 (1.000) 35-36-2 (.493)
DET 84 84 1 85 39-43-2 (0.476) 0-1 (.000) 39-44-2 (.471)
ATL 89 89 2 91 42-47 (0.472) 0-2 (.000) 42-49 (.462)
SF 70 70 4 74 33-37 (0.471) 3-1 (.750) 36-38 (.486)
BAL 88 88 4 92 41-47 (0.466) 1-3 (.250) 42-50 (.457)
DEN 81 81 2 83 37-44 (0.457) 2-0 (1.000) 39-44 (.470)
HOU 81 81 1 82 36-44-1 (0.451) 1-0 (1.000) 37-44-1 (.457)
TB 85 85 3 88 38-47 (0.447) 2-1 (.667) 40-48 (.455)
NYG 85 85 1 86 37-47-1 (0.441) 1-0 (1.000) 38-47-1 (.448)
CAR 81 81 2 83 35-45-1 (0.438) 1-1 (.500) 36-46-1 (.440)
LAC/SD 98 98 2 100 42-56 (0.429) 1-1 (.500) 43-57 (.430)
CIN 73 73 7 80 29-41-3 (0.418) 4-3 (.571) 33-44-3 (.431)
NYJ 82 82 0 82 34-48 (0.415) n/a 34-48 (.415)
CHI 85 85 1 86 35-50 (0.412) 0-1 (.000) 35-51 (.407)
CLE 75 75 1 76 30-44-1 (0.407) 0-1 (.000) 30-45-1 (.401)
JAX 70 70 5 75 23-47 (0.329) 3-2 (.600) 26-49 (.347)
Tonight's TNF game is emblematic of TNF in c/nfl@nfl.community
[–] jfgiv@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (2 children)

week 9 2018 pitted the 2-7 49ers against the 1-6 raiders.

it was 14-3 by two minutes into the 2nd quarter, after which point the 9ers scored another twenty points and the raiders scored another....zero

Week 9 - Broadcast Maps in c/nfl@nfl.community
[–] jfgiv@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

what's the fort meyers connection to LAR @ GB?

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