johnmadden18

joined 1 year ago
[–] johnmadden18@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago

Purdy too. If he was a first overall draft pick it wouldn't be a question.

If Niners kept Trey Lance and he were playing as well as Purdy is right now on THAT team I guarantee you people would question his MVP candidacy nearly as much as they question Brock Purdy’s.

He would certainly not be the UNQUESTIONED MVP like he was 07 Brady or something.

[–] johnmadden18@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago

Can’t wait for a similar Reddit post in 5-6 years that goes: “Bill Belichick now has a higher winning percentage with Mac Jones than he did with Tom Brady.”

Just need a couple of 17-0 undefeated seasons and a couple more really good years. You’ll see. You’ll all see.

[–] johnmadden18@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago

If Bills make the playoffs with their brutal remaining schedule then Josh Allen should win MVP. Reddit always fixates on his interceptions and ignore everything else he brings to the table.

[–] johnmadden18@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago (2 children)

I’ve seen about 100 different Reddit comments saying that the Colts save 6.1 million by cutting Leonard.

But I saw some cap people say they only save that 6.1 million if Leonard is claimed on waivers (which seems very unlikely to me). If he’s not claimed, Colts don’t save any money.

So which is it? Are the Colts saving 6.1 million flat out or only in the unlikely event he’s claimed? Anyone have reliable info on this?

[–] johnmadden18@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago

Thanks for the thoughtful response.

[–] johnmadden18@alien.top 1 points 11 months ago (3 children)

Hey, really respect the methodology and work that goes into this. But these rankings have the Dolphins as the 2nd best line in football and the Rams as the 4th best line… and there’s just…. no way this is true in reality. And I know this is just a MODEL of reality based in a specific statistical methodology, but there’s just no way the Dolphins or Rams have a better offensive line than the Detroit Lions (12th).

I think this is a great example of why the complexities of football sometimes don’t always lend themselves well to pure statistical methodology like this. If you told me that based on this production metric, the Miami Dolphins offensive line has PERFORMED as one of the best offensive lines in football (largely due to their scheme imo), then yes, I would believe that.

But there’s no way that in actuality the Dolphins have a better line than the Lions. It would be like arguing Deandre Jordan is a better shooter than Steph Curry because Deandre Jordan has a significantly better career FG%.

Of course, I still think these types of metrics are useful because they give us a look at actual production, so please don’t take it as me trashing this methodology.

[–] johnmadden18@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

No one has mentioned it yet but Leonard Floyd was the specific player who was the “12th” man on the missed kick. He was the only player not out on the field for the game winning FG that was on the field previously.

Floyd was one of several players on regular defense on 3rd down that didn’t run off after the kneel.

According to someone on Twitter, Floyd was on the field for the most recent 3 FG block plays in the game prior to the penalty. Meaning he didn’t start the game on the FG block unit but an injury at some point had him on the field midway through the game.

My speculation is that the injured player came back but this either wasn’t communicated to Floyd or he forgot during the rush of the sudden change.

Again, just speculating here from the available evidence. Surprisingly I haven’t seen anyone do a thorough film breakdown yet to verify if these claims are true.

[–] johnmadden18@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

It’s okay man Bill dominated the NFL for 20+ years. People will hate him. It’s not that deep

Except this logic is totally wrong when it comes to head coaches.

No one who was dominated by the Patriots over the past 20 years thinks Belichick is a fraud or that he’s a bad coach and was waiting for his downfall to jump on him.

To the contrary, the biggest defenders of Belichick are Colts fans, Packers fans, etc. There’s a Dolphins fan who comes into the Patriots sub just to talk about how Belichick is the greatest ever.

To that point, I guarantee you OP isn’t a Patriots fan.

[–] johnmadden18@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

“Brady made him”. You can use whatever stat you want here, but let’s use the most basic one. Points allowed per game. Of course there are influences here. Time of possession, special teams, ability to generate turnovers. But at its most basic level this is what determines the result of a game.

OP, do you understand why using a metric like “points allowed” (or even points per drive) when ranking defenses can be very very flawed when your QB is Tom Brady versus an average QB or say… Jameis Winston.

Not only FLAWED, but it can actually produce opposite of the correct results.

For example, by using this metric, the 2017 Patriots are in fact the BEST defense in the NFL (#1 in points allowed). But when we use a more sophisticated metric like DVOA, we see that this a in fact a terrible defense (30th in DVOA, worst defense to ever make the Super Bowl).

I mean, do you really believe the 2017 Patriots are the best defense in the NFL?

[–] johnmadden18@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

“Based on my conversations, I don’t think it’s 100% that Belichick finishes out this season,” Volin wrote in a column published Friday. “These next two games before the bye are huge, particularly the Germany game, which is practically the team’s Super Bowl for the Krafts. If Belichick loses at home to the Commanders and then to the Colts, and comes home from Germany with a 2-8 record, I think there’s a chance the Krafts could make the move in the bye week and install Jerod Mayo as the interim coach for the final seven games.”

Quite a few credible Patriots people seem to believe this is at least POSSIBLE, but isn’t the source on this Ben Volin?

Has Volin ever broken a legit Patriots story before? I can’t remember one.