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Zach Wilson, Russell Wilson, Geno Smith, Kenny Pickett, Sam Howell, Jimmy Garoppolo, PJ Walker, Jalen Hurts, and Trevor Lawrence all have two. That’s 9 other players or over one quarter of the league.

Source

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https://preview.redd.it/ilkz2t053txb1.png?width=1412&format=png&auto=webp&s=9a3c9162ffafde075183390e72ee8599b217ce08

Certainly an interesting group of names here. By my count there's at least 8 guys here who were considered controversial or a part of a scandal or negative news story.

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If Tyreek Hill were to retire today, would he go down as a top 20 WR of all time?

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Like, if you kick the ball down the field 50 yards, then possess the ball, the other team gets the ball there.

If you kick the ball down the field 15 yards, then possess the ball, you get the ball there.

What's the rule that determines if it's onside or not? Intent?

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Who is the most underrated player in the NFL right now that is not on your favorite team? I ask this because people will obviously know a lot about their own teams players compared to fans of other teams, but are there players on other teams that you have come to rate highly despite not getting much attention?

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Week Away Team Home Team Winning Team Winning Conference
1 Lions ~~Chiefs~~ DET NFC
1 ~~Titans~~ Saints NO NFC
1 49ers ~~Steelers~~ SF NFC
1 Eagles ~~Patriots~~ PHI NFC
2 ~~Jets~~ Cowboys DAL NFC
2 Commanders ~~Broncos~~ WSH NFC
3 Chargers ~~Vikings~~ LAC AFC
3 Bills ~~Commanders~~ BUF AFC
3 ~~Bears~~ Chiefs KC AFC
3 ~~Rams~~ Bengals CIN AFC
4 ~~Falcons~~ Jaguars JAX AFC
4 Broncos ~~Bears~~ DEN AFC
4 Rams ~~Colts~~ LAR NFC
4 ~~Patriots~~ Cowboys DAL NFC
5 ~~Texans~~ Falcons ATL NFC
5 ~~Giants~~ Dolphins MIA AFC
5 Saints ~~Patriots~~ NO NFC
5 Bengals ~~Cardinals~~ CIN AFC
5 Chiefs ~~Vikings~~ KC AFC
5 ~~Packers~~ Raiders LV AFC
6 ~~Seahawks~~ Bengals CIN AFC
6 ~~49ers~~ Browns CLE AFC
6 ~~Panthers~~ Dolphins MIA AFC
6 ~~Saints~~ Texans HOU AFC
6 ~~Eagles~~ Jets NYJ AFC
6 ~~Giants~~ Bills BUF AFC
6 Cowboys ~~Chargers~~ DAL NFC
7 Jaguars ~~Saints~~ JAX AFC
7 ~~Raiders~~ Bears CHI NFC
7 Steelers ~~Rams~~ PIT AFC
7 ~~Packers~~ Broncos DEN AFC
7 ~~Dolphins~~ Eagles PHI NFC
7 ~~Lions~~ Ravens BAL AFC
8 ~~Buccaneers~~ Bills BUF AFC
8 ~~Falcons~~ Titans TEN AFC
8 Saints ~~Colts~~ NO NFC
8 Jets ~~Giants~~ NYJ AFC
8 ~~Texans~~ Panthers CAR NFC
8 ~~Browns~~ Seahawks SEA NFC
8 Ravens ~~Cardinals~~ BAL AFC
8 Bengals ~~49ers~~ CIN AFC
8 ~~Bears~~ Chargers LAC AFC
8 ~~Raiders~~ Lions DET NFC
9 Cardinals Browns
9 Commanders Patriots
9 Seahawks Ravens
9 Buccaneers Texans
9 Colts Panthers
9 Giants Raiders
10 Packers Steelers
10 Titans Buccaneers
10 49ers Jaguars
10 Lions Chargers
11 Chargers Packers
11 Cardinals Texans
11 Vikings Broncos
11 Eagles Chiefs
12 Panthers Titans
12 Buccaneers Colts
12 Patriots Giants
12 Bills Eagles
13 Falcons Jets
13 Cardinals Steelers
13 Dolphins Commanders
13 Browns Rams
13 Chiefs Packers
14 Rams Ravens
14 Vikings Raiders
15 Vikings Bengals
15 Bears Browns
15 Broncos Lions
15 Cowboys Bills
16 Colts Falcons
16 Seahawks Titans
16 Commanders Jets
16 Jaguars Buccaneers
16 Cowboys Dolphins
16 Ravens 49ers
17 Panthers Jaguars
17 Steelers Seahawks
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Happy All Saints Day, /r/NFL! I hope everyone had an awesome and safe Halloween with tons of candy. We're into Turkey season now, with the temps getting cooler, fall in full effect, and we're starting the back end of the season. We have a game in Germany this week and it looks like it'll be a good one. The byes are back as well with fours teams off this week, meaning two less games to watch. I had a great Week 8, going 14-2 and bringing me to 79-43 on the season. How did everyone else do? We only have one division game this week with eight inter-conference and six cross-conference games lined up. With the trade deadline over and some shake-ups with certain teams happening, some picks may change based on that. Let's get to it!


Winner Loser Comments
Steelers over Titans With Tannehill out, Levis threw four TDs in Week 8 in a great debut that included three scores for Hopkins. Pittsburgh is 2-2 in home games this season, and Pickett might be out on a short week. That means Trubisky is probably starting. Take the under on a coinflip game.
Chiefs over Dolphins Tua and Mahomes rank first and third, respectively, in passing yards. The Phins have an opportunity to score a major step toward home-field advantage in the AFC with a win here. I just don't see the Chiefs losing back-to-back games. It took Mahomes being sick and pumped full of IVs to lose his first Broncos matchup.
Falcons over Vikings Battle of the backup QBs. Hall replaced Cousins, out for the season with a torn Achilles. Heinicke replaced Ridder in Week 8. The Falcons are 3-1 at home, but they might want to keep tabs on Addison who has five TD catches in his last four games. Both teams turn the ball over too much, so we'll stick with the home team.
Browns over Cardinals Murray is closer to a return for the Cards, who are on a five-game losing streak. They now have to face a tough Cleveland defense. Tune will start if Murray can't go, and Watson remains a week-to-week decision for the Browns. Cleveland is 3-1 at home, but they are 0-2 as a favorite this season. Could be a good, low-scoring garbage game.
Packers over Rams The Packers have been a miserable first-half team, and could lose their third straight at Lambeau. Rypien replaced Stafford for the Rams in Week 8 and they are 2-1 on the road. but I think the Packers break a four-game losing streak with a late TD drive from Love. This game may be trashy, but Green Bay breaks the curse at home this week.
Commanders over Patriots The Patriots rank 31st in the NFL in scoring at 14.8 PPG; a show of just how bad the offense has been this season. Washington has been in a free fall, but Howell's protection was much better in the loss to Philly. The Commanders have allowed 30+ PPG five times, but they are 2-2 on the road. Could be another trashy matchup, being either the lowest scoring game or the highest... take your pick.
Saints over Bears Happy 57th Birthday, Saints! Last week we finally saw what this offense could do, coupled with a defense that has been great all season. With Chicago ranking 30th in pass defense, look for Carr to continue his 50+yard deep ball relationship with Shaheed.
Ravens over Seahawks Bird battle. This is the fourth meeting between Carroll and Harbaugh, and Carroll has a 2-1 advantage. Seattle is 2-1 on the road this season, and Smith has a 93.7 rating with three TDs and two INTs in those games. Jackson has a 71.4% completion percentage with 5 TDs and one interception in a three-game win streak. The Ravens win, but this game will be tight
Texans over Buccaneers Houston is home to face the 6th-ranked Bucs scoring defense. Not an easy challenge for a rookie QB, but Stroud has looked up to the task so far. Houston is also ranked 6th on defense, with 18.3 PPG. This may come down to how much the QB turns over the ball, and Baker is not as good as Stroud.
Colts over Panthers Carolina finally won a game and now every team has won at least one game this season. Indy is stuck in a three-game skid, allowing an average of 38 PPG. The Panthers stay at and Reich is up against his old team, but Carolina allows 139.4 rushing YPG. This could be the Taylor breakout game for this season.
Giants over Raiders Vegas has so much drama going on with them right now. The HC and GM have been fired, Adams hates it there, and they're coming off a short week. Jones is expected to be back this week to hopefully bolster an offense that is last in the league in scoring (11.9 PPG). This will be a low-scoring game, but the team with a HC will win this one.
Eagles over Cowboys The only division game this week, and it's a good one. These teams split in the regular season last year. Philly could take a commanding lead in the division here. Dallas has limited Hurts to an average of 31 rushing yards in his last two starts vs Dallas, but the Cowboys have been an average road team at 2-2 this season. The Eagles haven't lost at home, and they are 4-0 when favored by less than six points.
Bengals over Bills Another great matchup. These two teams have emerged as AFC rivals in recent seasons. Burrow has a 77.9% completion percentage, 8 TDs and two INTs in his last three games. Chase has 31 catches for 372 yards and four TDs in that same stretch. How will Allen and Diggs (with five 100-yard games) counter in this one? Cincy is 15-6 the last three seasons with Burrow. It'll be a shootout with the safe bet being the home team.
Chargers over Jets The Jets continue to find ways to win games. They have one of the best pass defenses in the league, forcing 13 turnovers in their first seven games, the 4th-best in the NFL. But on offense they're averaging just 18 PPG. With a Chargers defense that has been pretty stout against the run and is also consistently forcing turnovers, Herbert will have another follow-on great game from last week.

Byes: Broncos, Lions, 49ers, Jaguars


Those are my predictions, let's hear yours. Keep it civil and fun. Best of luck!

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Trade deadline grades. One A, for a non trade, and one F, for a repeat offender. If you would like to read the entire post: NFL Trade Deadline Grades - Winners & Losers

TLDR:

Las Vegas Raiders Fire Head Coach McDaniel & GM Ziegler

Raiders – A +++

Bills get CB Rasul Douglas from Green Bay in a swap of 3rd and 5th round picks

Green Bay – B+

Buffalo – B-

Lions get WR Peoples-Jones from the Browns

Lions – C+

Browns – B

49ers get Chase Young – Bears get Montez Sweat from the Commanders

49ers – B+

Commanders – B+

Bears – F

Vikings get Joshua Dobbs from Cardinals for a bag of peanuts

Vikings – B

Cardinals – C-

Seahawks get Leonard Williams from the Giants for 2nd & 5th round picks

Seattle – B

NYG – B

Jaguars get OG Cleveland from the Vikings for a 6th round pick

Jags – B

Vikings – C

Falcons get Kentavious Street from Eagles for 6th 7th round swap

Eagles – B

Falcons – C+

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Rank Team Adj. Win % Weekly Ranking Change
1 Philadelphia .775 +1
2 Jacksonville .718 +2
3 Baltimore .708 --
4 Kansas City .695 -3
5 Detroit .688 +2
6 Miami .652 +3
7 Seattle .625 +5
8 Cleveland .613 -3
9 Dallas .609 +2
10 Pittsburgh .599 -4
11 San Francisco .586 -3
12 Buffalo .586 +3
13 NY Jets .583 --
14 Cincinnati .574 +4
15 Minnesota .477 +5
16 Atlanta .473 -2
17 Tennessee .469 +4
18 Tampa Bay .466 -1
19 Houston .462 -9
20 Indianapolis .458 -4
21 New Orleans .449 +2
22 LA Chargers .446 --
23 LA Rams .445 -4
24 Denver .391 +5
25 Washington .380 -1
26 New England .366 --
27 Las Vegas .362 -2
28 NY Giants .324 -1
29 Green Bay .288 -1
30 Carolina .258 +2
31 Chicago .251 -1
32 Arizona .225 -1

I'm using a simplified/modified Colley Matrix iteration process (https://www.colleyrankings.com/method.html)

To summarize, you take the win percentage of every team and correct it against the win percentage of their opponents. Then you have a new win percentage. And I repeat that process until the correction factor is below .001. Essentially this is what I would expect the win percentages to be if the teams played an average team every week.

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