this post was submitted on 20 Oct 2023
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So I'm a fairly new basketball fan. I didn't follow the NBA at all in 2019. I knew that the Warriors were one of the best teams and I knew who Stephen Curry and Lebron James were, but that was about as far as my basketball knowledge went. I certainly didn't know who Shai Gilgeous-Alexander or even Paul George were back then. So just today I was reading through Shai's Wikipedia article and found out that not only did he used to play for the Clippers, but he was traded to Thunder for Paul George.

Just to refresh your memory, the Clippers sent Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Danilo Gallinari, and five future first round picks to the Thunder in exchange for George. At the time Gilgeous-Alexander had just completed his rookie year, in which he started 73 games for the Clippers but averaged only 10 points and 26 minutes per game. Now, he was just named to the All-NBA first team with the Thunder.

So I'm curious what you thought of the trade then and what you think of it now. What did people generally think of the trade at the time? Was it panned or did people think it was a good deal? For me, I think the Clippers made a mistake. Paul George is still good and I'm certainly not saying he's washed, but he's a full eight years older than Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. Shai could easily play 10-15 more years, while George has 5 years left at best. If the Clippers had won a championship with George, you could argue it was worth it, but they haven't. I think that the Clippers with Kawhi Leonard, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and whatever they could have turned those five first round picks into certainly would be better than just Kawhi Leonard and Paul George. The Thunder on the other hand, with their young core of SGA, Giddey, and Holmgren, could look pretty scary in 2-3 years. I certainly think the Thunder got the better end of the deal.

What did you think of the trade at the time? Have you changed your mind in retrospect?

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[–] TatumTopFye@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

The idea of Paul George > the actual Paul George product. Then add that SGA is MVP-conversation caliber now. Clippers got robbed.

[–] jrlandry@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Great win-win trade for both sides. Both teams got what they needed

[–] LoxDnw@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I don't think it's a win for Clippers unless they win it. Everyone understand the gambles that they did, and needed to do, but they haven't won the trade (yet), not close.

[–] jrlandry@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Yes they have

This may come across as an asshole Boston sport's fan looking down on the Clippers. But that was a shitty franchise. Kawhi and PG (little more PG) got them to their first conference finals in franchise history. Made them a real contender. People take the Clippers seriously now. I'd take that as a win any day

[–] ajteitel@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Paul George trade also got them Kawhi which made them favorites to win a championship for 4 (?) years. Plus good depth, only injury has really kept them back. It was the right move even without the expected success. It won't be remembered that way, but you can't predict the future.

[–] KingNephew@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Win-win. OKC got a young star and a bunch of picks. Clippers landed Kawhi because of the PG trade and have a yearly swing at the title. Helped them stay relevant post CP3/Blake era.

[–] roastedhambone@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I think it’s a really tired discussion. Thunder wouldn’t do the deal without SGA, Clippers wouldn’t get Kawhii without getting PG. you can’t predict injuries, both teams would do it again

[–] DowntownJohnBrown@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Yeah, re-evaluating trades after the fact has never made sense to me. You can only evaluate based on the trade and the value of the pieces involved at the time.

The Lakers trade for Russell Westbrook was a bad trade. I’m not saying that because it didn’t work out. I’m saying that because it was a bad value proposition at the time.

The Clippers trade for Paul George was still a good trade. It obviously didn’t work out, but giving up what they gave up to acquire two top-10 players in their primes is a no-brainer deal.

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[–] joebreezy12@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (2 children)

clearly a win for the thunder but -- nothing wrong with the clippers going for it. it was a massive swing for them and universally considered an amazing summer for them to land PG and Kawhi.

i guess you could have forecasted injury issues for PG and Kawhi, but no one knew SGA would turn into a 30 ppg star, or that the 2022 Clippers pick would land in the lottery (getting the thunder Jalen Williams).

The "good picks" from the trade ('24, '25 swap and '26) haven't even conveyed yet so in hindsight it's going to look very lopsided unless the Clippers make a deep run this year or next.

[–] jrlandry@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

The 2025 swap might not even convey though, and the clippers will probably be a playoff team next season. The 2026 one is really the last pick that’s left to convey that could be in the top 10 imo.

[–] deejpro11@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I wouldn’t bet either way - they lost in the play-in in ‘22 and were only 2 games out of 9th last year. The West is probably going to be a similar jumbled bloodbath this year too.

If you told me they were in the WCF this year, I wouldn’t be surprised. If you told me they handed OKC another lottery pick this year, I wouldn’t be that surprised (I’d probably just chalk it up to PG and Kawhi missing too much time with injuries and their depth being too old).

They’re easily the highest-variance team out there due to how many games Kawhi and PG miss, and they can’t rebuild quickly if one or both leave after this year either

[–] jrlandry@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Kawhi and PG aren't leaving for nothing after this season. Stars don't move in free agency anymore. And I don't think anyone is gonna want to pay them as much as Balmer is going to be willing to. The Clippers won't have incentive to tank either if they don't have control over their own pick for 2 seasons.

They are a high variance team, but I still think most of their outcomes, they end up as better than OKC for the next two seasons. The swap might convey, it might not. And if it does, do you really see the swap moving OKC's draft position up more than a couple of spots? If they do use the swap, I would be shocked if it was more than like 13 for 16

[–] deejpro11@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

This year I’m more inclined to agree that LAC should be better than OKC, if PG and Kawhi play 50+ games. And maybe they both gut out more games since they’re in contract years. But if they’re in the 35-40 games played range OKC could definitely be ahead of them and LAC could be in play-in range or worse.

Next year and ‘26 all bets are off completely though. And if LAC is anywhere in the lottery next year that swap is going to look a lot better. (Also with another year of growth OKC should have a pick in the 20s)

I wouldn’t downplay the risk of losing PG and Kawhi after this year though. I agree it would most likely be a S&T so LAC would get something if they left, but what assets are they getting back to prevent a large step back? They can get draft picks sure but is any young team going to trade a blue chipper on a rookie deal for either of them, or even both?

I mean maybe Ballmer just grossly overpays them for the opening of the new arena, but they’re going to be 34 and 35 when they sign their new deals.

[–] AnotherAccount4This@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Aka

Clippers took a swing, and it didn't pan out.

Thunders traded for potentials, and it's panning out.

[–] MagicalHurdles@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Don't let hindsight bias cloud your evaluation

[–] SwiggySiggyDoc@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Dub for the Thunder but a good trade all round

[–] __boof@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

clippers needed to do it. went the furthest in the playoffs ever with them. listen to zach lowe talk about it, you need to understand just how bad the clippers historically have been and what making conference finals meant.

[–] Harry_Glickman@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Fair trade. Clippers are among the pre-season title favorites every year.

[–] dash_44@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Bad trade in retrospect, but no one knew PG and Kwahi would have missed this many games

[–] RVAIsTheGreatest@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Clippers made the right deal at the time. Just because it hasn't ended in a title doesn't mean it wasn't a great deal. They got the furthest they ever have with this team and their expectations going into seasons are the highest they've ever been with this team. That matters with the Clippers history. Clippers made the right deal and bagged a superstar in his prime who wanted to play on their team....which in combination led to another superstar in his prime.

It may be something we look back at as a failure to launch with the Clips not being able to reach their lofty expectations with this pair but it isn't for a lack of trying. The Thunder obviously have been able to create a new core led by Shai who they got from the Clippers. It was a win/win deal for both sides in the end as both got exactly what they wanted from the deal itself.

[–] Stayy_Saltyy_Seattle@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

copium post lmao clippers are shit and fucked

[–] FakeRingin@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Level headed evaluation without emotion is copium? Do you even know what that means?

[–] StormSaniWater@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Clippers fleeced

[–] hatsofftoroyharper41@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

At the time it was seen as a bit play by the clippers and a crazy amount of draft picks, SGA was a great piece to it but largely wasn’t seen as much in the deal compared to the picks is my memory

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[–] JoJonesy@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Good decision for both sides. Even if the Kawhi/PG thing hasn’t worked out for the Clippers, you have to take big swings sometimes— hindsight is 20/20 but it was a worthy attempt

[–] ogqozo@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

The trade was highly seen for Clippers. On Reddit, Clippers were seen as the overwhelming favorites for the 2020 NBA championship that summer. Oklahoma was expected to be 100% outside of the playoffs, usually around 12th in the conference (yes, after the Chris Paul trade).

Just saying those facts probably can make you imagine the vibe. Definitely it was not AS amazing for Clippers as people were sure then.

Some would say that the only lesson is that you cannot predict injuries, and the trade indeed was super amazing for Clippers. Kawhi Leonard had injury issues, but seemed to have just proven that if he goes to a good team where he can rest for half of the games, he's amazing. And Paul George had played almost all games in the previous 4 years.

Reactions for the Thunder's haul were very mixed. "Trade grades" from A to D. I was pretty high on Shai (now I'm a bit less), but most people were not so high. Some people expected better players for one of the league's best in George. Gallinari was also a very controversial player, some said he was great... some not. Trade picks were called a great get by majority, but few others said that picks that far (again, Clippers were expected to be 1st for many seasons) were not of great value. This one is still midway - so far, Thunder got Tre Mann at 18th, Jaylen Williams at 12th, and they still have two more picks from that trade in 2024 and 2026, there is also a swap possibility in 2025, so it's still a bit abstract to say exactly what they got back for Paul George. Overall I think most people said that OKC got a good get considering the situation, and that it was a very nice deal of the standard "present for future" type.

Went far better for the Thunder but if you’re the clippers it was worth it. No Kawhi without PG and they needed to make an ambitious move.

[–] melOsjR@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Was great for Shai since Doc figures a way to bench him for an Older player. We lucky Sam Cassel was around to convince Doc to play Maxey after he gave Denver 40pts

[–] jackmtr@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Unfortunately the clips didn't win with that aging core, so they lose this trade. Ofc even one chip could change the perception of the trade.

[–] cantcooklovefood@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Kawhi messed up, he should've rolled with the existing team, they would've done well

[–] chapoktt@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Guys of Kawhi's level don't have time to waste and play with unproven and/or young guys. It's why LeBron sent off the Lakers young core the first chance he could to get AD, which ended up working out for the Lakers. It's always funny when people say this like superstar or star level players should just wait it out and play with the team already there instead of making moves to compete right away.

[–] La_Underscore@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

If I’m the Clippers I’d do that trade every single time. If you’re not swinging for the fences trying to win a championship then why even bother

[–] SnooPies5622@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

We also managed to stay a contender and relevant for years. We knew Shai was great even from the beginning, but in all likelihood if we keep him we put up some losing seasons and who knows if he flourishes like he has with OKC (I think he's great but the circumstances of the move, the year with CP, and the Thunder taking time with lots of young assets were huge in building him to near-MVP status).

[–] getoutofmysandwich@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

It was a win-win for both clubs. Clippers were ready to contend and wouldn’t have gotten Kawhi without PG. Thunder looked at SGA as a building block for the future. Both are All-NBA level players and two of the better players to watch with the ball. Both teams and fan bases should be happy with the trade

[–] IRanOutOf_Names@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Basketball wise it's a massive Thunder W so far and will only get better, but it changed the Clippers forever. They're getting FA, they're looked at as a good organization, and they make the playoffs (or are close) every year. Outside of Lob City, Clippers had been a joke their entire existence, and becoming an actual respected NBA team is worth whatever basketball consequences are down the line.

[–] notprodigy@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

An absolute heist. Everyone got what they wanted but OKC had maximum leverage and set up a truly incredible runway to serious contention. The Clippers will run through the remaining years of two great but injury prone stars, and then start from less than zero on the rebuild.

[–] SnooPies5622@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I remember the last time we were starting from less than zero on a rebuild, a year later we got Kawhi and PG

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[–] chapoktt@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Every team in the NBA makes that move 9/10 times. Hindsight is always 20/20 but it doesn't really matter what SGA ends up being when it's all said and done. Clippers wanted to win now, that's just the cost of doing business in the league. I say all this as an SGA fan btw.

[–] Lildikcnrg@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Interestingly PG’s trade to the Thunder from Indiana also seems in part to have benefited his previous team since they were able to net Oladipo and Sabonis ,both of whom became all stars for Indy and later lead to them getting there best player today Tyrese Haliburton.

[–] KafkaesqueJudge@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

They had no other choice than to pull that trigger. Jerry West was working to have two Max slots for the 2019 off season for years. The list of free agents was otherworldly that summer and Kawhi was topping it, coming out of the season he had with the Raptors. He was willing to sign on one condition and the Clippers really had to go with it.

[–] magic_spam@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Neither of them have done anything of significance since and are pretty much in the same situation they were in at the time of trade. So even, with a slight edge to OKC because there is still a possible future there

[–] TalkQuirkyWithMe@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Real ones knew Shai was a promising young player. The fact that they got 5 FRP along with Shai is a huge steal. With hindsight the more "fair" proposal would be ~2 picks for the chance that you win a ring in the next few years.

[–] ParsnipPizza@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

They got Kawhi by trading for PG. It hasn't worked perfectly but fans always love blow up moves more than they like aggressive moves, and the Clippers had real chances.

[–] nz_nba_fan@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I loved SGA and still do. But he hasn’t proven anything yet and we’re 5 years on. Let’s see what he can do in the post season. And how many years removed from the trade will it be before anything significant happens. The clippers got PG AND Kawhi in that deal. They had chances but injury fucked them so far (as is tradition). So far for me it was the right decision.

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[–] CreatiScope@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

Eh, looks worse in hindsight but you pull the trigger on that deal every time. Shai could’ve been the next Levert.

You don’t get Kawhi without PG either

Curious as to what led you to becoming an NBA fan? Genuine curiosity.

[–] ChannelNeo@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

At the time it was worth a shot. PG was more proven, even after his horrific injury. Clippers were in win now mode. All things fair, it's even, since the Clips came within two wins of the Finals

[–] runaway86s@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

this post happens every month somehow there's always a reevaluation of those clippers trades

[–] hansislegend@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

In hindsight, I gueeeeessssss OKC won the trade? I don’t even know tbh. But the Clippers had to do it.

[–] dongerlord456@alien.top 1 points 1 year ago

It’s a disaster, the Clippers haven’t done anything and most people have Shai as a top 10 player in the league.

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